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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2020 20:40:41 GMT -6
Never forecasted anything except to say weren't getting much at all, like nws and other have. If we get 2inches I'll hang my head in shame. I think you said 2 flakes? which isnt much at all. You people take things so literal. 2 flakes doesnt mean 2 flakes an 8 yr old knows that. Lol |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 20:42:05 GMT -6
WSC I think you’re in the money on this one. I’m pessimistic. The NWS is going with 2-3 and seems more interested in Lake Shore flooding. Will try to get video of some massive waves tomorrow though |
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Post by mchafin on Jan 10, 2020 20:43:09 GMT -6
I think you said 2 flakes? which isnt much at all. You people take things so literal. 2 flakes doesnt mean 2 flakes an 8 yr old knows that. Lol My 9 year olds don’t know your translations. I wasn’t aware 2 flakes meant “not much”. But I’m 44. |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 10, 2020 21:05:11 GMT -6
Decent hook just NW of Sullivan heading to west STL County and St. Charles County just after 9pm. Moving at 53kts!!  Out where I live. Hopefully no power outages. There was definitely something there. Went away pretty quick  |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 21:09:47 GMT -6
RAP is starting to look good as well. It is basically rapidly deepening the low , it goes from a 1002 to 994mb in about 6 hours . It looks like it has a decent snow shield developing at the end of its run.
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Post by sullivandave on Jan 10, 2020 21:13:50 GMT -6
I am approx 5 miles north of sullivan, just had a few minutes of absolutely heavy rain with ripping wind.... that momentary blip shown by previous post was wicked..... luckily no damage and still have power. Thanks to all and stay safe friends.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 21:25:23 GMT -6
00z Icon looks fantastic for western counties. Warren county in the bullseye
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Post by dschreib on Jan 10, 2020 21:27:13 GMT -6
Most people should figure out that 2 flakes means the same as a woman's (my wife's) 2 minutes. It's anywhere from 0 to 15, and go wait in the car.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 21:28:01 GMT -6
RGEM looks good as well
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 21:29:11 GMT -6
So...are we thinking a rain to snow scenario, or rain to ice to snow? That would make a HUGE difference of the chance that it sticks.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 10, 2020 21:36:55 GMT -6
Welp the heavy rain has arrived here.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2020 21:42:26 GMT -6
So...are we thinking a rain to snow scenario, or rain to ice to snow? That would make a HUGE difference of the chance that it sticks. Would think there will be a period of sleet during the changeover. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 21:42:40 GMT -6
00z gfs is weak. Not much snow for anyone.
Hopefully the deformation zone is more impressive than that
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 21:46:17 GMT -6
00z Icon has joined team ice storm for late next week
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 21:50:23 GMT -6
Nothing like 61* with a 58 DP at 10pm on January 10th
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2020 21:50:35 GMT -6
Big sigtors across SE TX as the line moves thru
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 10, 2020 21:55:10 GMT -6
I am approx 5 miles north of sullivan, just had a few minutes of absolutely heavy rain with ripping wind.... that momentary blip shown by previous post was wicked..... luckily no damage and still have power. Thanks to all and stay safe friends. I've had a half dozen or more 5 to 15 minute rounds of incredibly heavy rain this evening. Sounded like there was a crowd of people ónnthe roof river dancing. And with all this rain there is, no doubt, a number of Rivers flowing down the roof from which they can choose. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 22:12:51 GMT -6
00z gfs still showing an ice storm late next week.
Things are interesting again
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Post by dschreib on Jan 10, 2020 22:13:10 GMT -6
I am approx 5 miles north of sullivan, just had a few minutes of absolutely heavy rain with ripping wind.... that momentary blip shown by previous post was wicked..... luckily no damage and still have power. Thanks to all and stay safe friends. I've had a half dozen or more 5 to 15 minute rounds of incredibly heavy rain this evening. Sounded like there was a crowd of people ónnthe roof river dancing. And with all this rain there is, no doubt, a number of Rivers flowing down the roof from which they can choose. We've been dry-slotted most of the night. It's been great, but it's going to end soon. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 22:20:02 GMT -6
Ive had the same experience as guyatacomputer....numerous intense rainy episodes alternating with less heavy rains. The large yellow blob looks to be timed around midnight for me and be more constant overnight. Things are transpiring pretty much according to the msg ive been getting from going forecasts, so kudos to all responsible for public forecasts.
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Post by jeepers on Jan 10, 2020 22:20:34 GMT -6
Chwcked the station about 15 min ago. 1.8 in and still coming down. Yes several rounds of heavy stuff, some thunder, lightning in the distance, and I’d swear to some light hail at moments.didnt last long enough nor sound big enough to go outside and verify lol.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 22:24:12 GMT -6
Saw some pretty amazing hail pics out of spf from earlier this eve late afternoon.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 22:37:38 GMT -6
I looked out my window and it was still raining.
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Jan 10, 2020 22:52:19 GMT -6
Sitting at 2.5” at this point and still pouring.
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Post by bear1 on Jan 10, 2020 23:12:39 GMT -6
Getting close to 3.5" here in Bourbon & the temp has dropped 6° in the past hour, 48° right now.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2020 23:24:25 GMT -6
I like the HRRR's trend for our deformation snows tomorrow.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 10, 2020 23:24:35 GMT -6
Sure got windy
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 23:29:54 GMT -6
I like the HRRR's trend for our deformation snows tomorrow. Looks like a quick but hard hit of sleet and snow
Ukie showing this storm why it's a world class model
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2020 23:33:36 GMT -6
I like the HRRR's trend for our deformation snows tomorrow. Looks like a quick but hard hit of sleet and snow
Ukie showing this storm why it's a world class model
Yeah! Sleet at the onset, but it will change to snow very quickly. For sure, Ukie is on top! |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2020 0:01:27 GMT -6
Euro has 2-3 inches of snow from Rolla to Stl and nw from there..less further se
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