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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 20, 2020 10:02:11 GMT -6
Drove in light snow from Sparta to Red Bud so I decided to check my web cam at home and of course the sun is out đ
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 20, 2020 10:05:25 GMT -6
GFS has another inch or so of rain later in the week, cold rain. No snow here. Though it may be trending in that direction. It has trended cooler and toward the other models...what a friggin weird setup. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 10:08:47 GMT -6
GFS has another inch or so of rain later in the week, cold rain. No snow here. Though it may be trending in that direction. It has trended cooler and toward the other models...what a friggin weird setup. February of 2016 had this same setup. Poured snow in St. Charles, donât think others faired well |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 20, 2020 10:09:00 GMT -6
Question...GFS has upper level temps PLENTY cold to support snow Thursday night into Friday morning, yet it is spitting out rain (other models for the most part show snow). Is this just because the surface temps are 33-35? Double check the 850mb temp charts. It looks like for a majority of the period temps are around 1C. Edit: Nevermind I see what you're talking about, in the latter part Thursday/Friday temps aloft are cold enough. So yeah precip typing is probably based off the warmer air near the surface. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 20, 2020 10:37:27 GMT -6
GEM continues to show the dream scenario.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 10:42:16 GMT -6
Gem looks good metro north and west
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 10:43:35 GMT -6
We ready want the low a little further east and south east
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 10:43:49 GMT -6
Ukmet looks like it will remain east.
Waiting for the better charts to load though, so not written in stone
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 10:43:55 GMT -6
We really want the low a little further east and south east |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 10:45:00 GMT -6
Itâs odd the Ukmet and Euro or not closer , the GFS really came in line this run. Itâs slightly warmer yuan the other models.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 10:46:39 GMT -6
Itâs odd the Ukmet and Euro or not closer , the GFS really came in line this run. Itâs slightly warmer yuan the other models. The euro and ukmet have been at odds a bit more this season. They used to be in lockstep |
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 20, 2020 10:47:38 GMT -6
I am so tired of âSinging in the damn Rainâ
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 10:48:49 GMT -6
06z euro ensembles look good. Snowfall mean in the metro is 3.5â
Alittle more north, less south
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 20, 2020 10:49:21 GMT -6
No sign of significant snow last night in north St. Peters.
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 20, 2020 10:50:13 GMT -6
A rain snow mix is better than ice!
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Post by landscaper on Jan 20, 2020 10:52:41 GMT -6
Snow , what did the 6z Euro show for snow in the metro?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 10:53:46 GMT -6
12z gfs ensemble mean has about 2 inches of snow late week for STL.
Best accumulations from Iowa through Chicago.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 10:54:13 GMT -6
Snow , what did the 6z Euro show for snow in the metro? 06z/18z Operational runs only go out 90 hours Off hour ensembles go out 144 hours |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 20, 2020 10:54:26 GMT -6
The end of week system is going to be the haves and have not IMO.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 20, 2020 11:02:59 GMT -6
The end of week system is going to be the haves and have not IMO. and that's different from every other system how? |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 20, 2020 11:04:50 GMT -6
12z gfs ensemble mean has about 2 inches of snow late week for STL. Best accumulations from Iowa through Chicago. Hoping this is your storm. And ours too... Lol |
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Post by dschreib on Jan 20, 2020 11:05:08 GMT -6
Question...GFS has upper level temps PLENTY cold to support snow Thursday night into Friday morning, yet it is spitting out rain (other models for the most part show snow). Is this just because the surface temps are 33-35? Double check the 850mb temp charts. It looks like for a majority of the period temps are around 1C. Edit: Nevermind I see what you're talking about, in the latter part Thursday/Friday temps aloft are cold enough. So yeah precip typing is probably based off the warmer air near the surface. Yeah--probably not rain.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 20, 2020 11:07:13 GMT -6
12z gfs ensemble mean has about 2 inches of snow late week for STL. Best accumulations from Iowa through Chicago. Hoping this is your storm. And ours too... Lol Tough system to get everything to lineup. Could easily see the whole thing being nothing everywhere |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 20, 2020 11:08:34 GMT -6
The end of week system is going to be the haves and have not IMO. and that's different from every other system how? Itâs not LOL |
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 20, 2020 11:09:17 GMT -6
Good trends this am for Thurs-Fri system...thanks for the updates!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 20, 2020 11:09:21 GMT -6
Iâve noticed the âupgradedâ FV3 GFS has some trouble with p-types in borderline thermal profiles.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 20, 2020 11:17:46 GMT -6
The nam did a great job with last storm IMO from 60 hrs in.
Gfs completely missed the precip shield.
Hrrr was awful with temps.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 20, 2020 11:44:06 GMT -6
Driving West on 70 through Montgomery County and the snow is coming down pretty steadily out here now⊠ground is starting to turn white but only seeing snow snakes on the inner state at this point.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 20, 2020 11:58:52 GMT -6
The system later in the week bears close watching...it's an odd setup but with the mid-level low closing off and pivoting through slowly it has potential to drop significant snowfall across the region. It may have to rely on dynamical cooling through...the low-level thermal profile is pretty marginal.
Today's clipper looks to mostly miss us to the west despite a decent track of the 500mb vort max and 850mb low. Should see a few flakes this afternoon and evening though.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 20, 2020 12:01:35 GMT -6
Light flakes falling here all morning long so far. Nothing to get excited about just mood flakes. Looks like the main part of today with scoot just to the west of me
Dusting at my camper in Steedman MO (callaway county)
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