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Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2020 8:11:13 GMT -6
So true getting old
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 22, 2020 8:11:52 GMT -6
From near St. Joseph at 8 AM this morning.  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 22, 2020 8:13:30 GMT -6
About to log off for the day...
But Im thinking multi-day totals will range from as low as a sloppy dusting... to maybe as much as 3 inches in a few favored spots...especially west and north of the metro. This system/systems just is not organized enough or cold enough to dump widespread significant, long lasting snow. And because it comes in bits and spurts when temps are marginal, there will be melting between waves anyway. It will likely make for some inconvienent travel at times... but for now I'm not crazy impressed. Just a pain in the neck storm.
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 220 
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Jan 22, 2020 8:19:24 GMT -6
About to log off for the day... But Im thinking multi-day totals will range from as low as a sloppy dusting... to maybe as much as 3 inches in a few favored spots...especially west and north of the metro. This system/systems just is not organized enough or cold enough to dump widespread significant, long lasting snow. And because it comes in bits and spurts when temps are marginal, there will be melting between waves anyway. It will likely make for some inconvienent travel at times... but for now I'm not crazy impressed. Just a pain in the neck storm. Short for Nuisance. |
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Jan 22, 2020 8:24:53 GMT -6
You're going to get nuisance added to the list of banned terms lol.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2020 8:28:40 GMT -6
I think central and northern MO will do quite well with this one. Meanwhile after the mix stuff tonight (maybe) I will probably be singing in the rain once again in Pville.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2020 8:55:48 GMT -6
How warm we get today will have pretty big impacts tonight...as has been stated the ground is quite cold from the last several days. Clouds are quite thick already so getting temps from the low/mid 20's to the mid 30's may be a struggle.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 22, 2020 9:05:30 GMT -6
About to log off for the day... But Im thinking multi-day totals will range from as low as a sloppy dusting... to maybe as much as 3 inches in a few favored spots...especially west and north of the metro. This system/systems just is not organized enough or cold enough to dump widespread significant, long lasting snow. And because it comes in bits and spurts when temps are marginal, there will be melting between waves anyway. It will likely make for some inconvienent travel at times... but for now I'm not crazy impressed. Just a pain in the neck storm. Agree for the most part...but if models keep coming in with a more wound up/pivoting mid-level low, there's potential for this to drop some significant amounts, IMO. Probably favoring NE MO/WC IL but possibly into our region as well. The NAM/EC/GEM all have a favorable track of the 500mb vort/low...the GFS is a bit further N but still decent. All in all though, I'd expect advisories are the way to go with this one. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 22, 2020 9:16:46 GMT -6
This thing is already to Columbia.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2020 9:21:39 GMT -6
The 500 vort on the NAM is beautiful. Tracks across southern Mo then takes on a strongly negative tilt to our SE
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2020 9:25:48 GMT -6
It looks like we could do this again late next week with both the GFS and Euro showing a weird cut off low again
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 22, 2020 9:28:35 GMT -6
RGEM has loved the immediate metro for several runs now.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2020 9:29:30 GMT -6
I sure wish the RGEM could be right.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 22, 2020 9:37:05 GMT -6
Good bit of sun peeking out
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Post by scmhack on Jan 22, 2020 9:37:34 GMT -6
You're going to get nuisance added to the list of banned terms lol. Its become quite the nuisance |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2020 9:40:12 GMT -6
Temps still in the upper 20’s , dew points around 20. With clouds moving in and spotty precipitation, this will keep temps down . I don’t see us getting to 38 today.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jan 22, 2020 10:02:59 GMT -6
Looking on the horizon for a moment, middle of next week looks interesting As in... Temps in the 70's and 6 inches of rain followed by flurries? |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 22, 2020 10:40:24 GMT -6
I have full sunshine here. At for 5 or 10 minutes. Unexpected and nice to see. Thought we were done with it for several days after yesterday afternoon.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
Member is Online
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 22, 2020 10:42:41 GMT -6
Sure looks like that stuff near Columbia has hit a wall. Hasn't moved further west in some time.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2020 11:02:07 GMT -6
Dry air is definitely eating into the precipitation, but that should help keep the temps down. It’s still 29-30 with dew points in the low 20’s. I do t expect precipitation to move in the metro until the 5-7 pm time frame. A little earlier out west and later to the East . Even if we rise into the low 30’s, we should wet bulb down a few degrees this evening. That combined with frozen ground and precipitation falling at night we should have some light accumulation for sure by morning. Definitely not a big storm , but in this above normal winter any frozen precipitation is a plus.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2020 11:03:30 GMT -6
The ukie is beautiful with its setup for us. Just don’t know how much is snow
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 22, 2020 11:06:53 GMT -6
Dry air is definitely eating into the precipitation, but that should help keep the temps down. It’s still 29-30 with dew points in the low 20’s. I do t expect precipitation to move in the metro until the 5-7 pm time frame. A little earlier out west and later to the East . Even if we rise into the low 30’s, we should wet bulb down a few degrees this evening. That combined with frozen ground and precipitation falling at night we should have some light accumulation for sure by morning. Definitely not a big storm , but in this above normal winter any frozen precipitation is a plus. Agree on your last sentence. Anything wintry with this screaming EPO and NAO is a minor miracle. |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2020 11:13:50 GMT -6
Does it have a good def zone through our area
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 22, 2020 11:16:38 GMT -6
Why do people keep saying temps will struggle, it's 33 now at Lambert, 36 here, lol.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 22, 2020 11:17:03 GMT -6
The wet bulb thing didn’t work out last Friday. My temp dropped one degree for 45 minutes and then rose 2 degree and sat there the rest of the day until about 10:00PM
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Post by bear1 on Jan 22, 2020 11:17:37 GMT -6
Currently in Bourbon,Mo. still have snow on N facing hillside, Cloudy & temp of 33°
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 22, 2020 11:17:40 GMT -6
I’m also setting at 34° on my front porch and it is on the NE side of the house
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 22, 2020 11:17:53 GMT -6
Does it have a good def zone through our area It keeps the area in the pivot point so we go straight from frontside precep to backside trowal precep. Atleast that’s what the 6 hour precep charts show |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 22, 2020 11:20:22 GMT -6
With a SSE breeze temp should continue to rise through the afternoon. It won’t be a quick process though.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 22, 2020 11:21:23 GMT -6
The sun keeps popping out in St. Louis, that is not helping keep temps down
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