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Post by maddogchief on Feb 22, 2020 19:14:53 GMT -6
I’d say the chance of snow here is 50/50 Either it happens or it doesn’t Thanks for attending my TED talk I completely agree- 40% 60% of the time it works all of the time |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 22, 2020 19:18:00 GMT -6
I’d say the chance of snow here is 50/50
Either it happens or it doesn’t Thanks for attending my TED talk And there's only a 10% chance of that |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 22, 2020 19:36:37 GMT -6
Again snow season has not been bad 12 to 20 inches for the nw half of the viewing area is not bad and darn near average for this era. Folks are acting like its been a dud. yes it has for the area south and east of st.louis but areas from metro and north and west have seen 12 inches or more this season. So id say its been a darn near average st.louis winter. Which is better than some of the nearly snowless winters. I have recorder 15.9 here in st.peters and with a inch or 2 possible befor winter is over we would benat our exact average of 17 inches.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 22, 2020 19:40:00 GMT -6
It has absolutely been a dud. Extremely spotty and localized the few times it did snow. We haven’t had a nice area wide (or really even half the area wide) snow. It’s been a hit or miss, isolated, borderline temperature piece of crap of a winter and there’s really no arguing that. It happens sometimes, this was just one of those years. We are due to turn the corner soon.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 22, 2020 19:42:36 GMT -6
Statistically speaking the metro is right where it should be for snowfall so far. Central Mo has been a sweet spot. Southerners are having a rough one  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 22, 2020 20:41:55 GMT -6
00z nam looks bizarre, but would have light snow flying across the metro Wednesday morning
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 22, 2020 21:46:52 GMT -6
NAM seems to suggest low-topped t-storms on the southeastern quadrant of the low pressure center with maybe small hail? Infrared Satellite projection seems to be going with that idea given the bubbly convective nature of the cloud tops.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 22, 2020 21:54:49 GMT -6
00z nam looks bizarre, but would have light snow flying across the metro Wednesday morning kinda looks like a gem trend |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 22, 2020 21:58:05 GMT -6
00z nam looks bizarre, but would have light snow flying across the metro Wednesday morning kinda looks like a gem trend 00z icon certainly trended towards the ukmet/ggem. 00z gfs still sucks |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 22, 2020 22:06:02 GMT -6
Yes , the ICON, GEM and NAM do look very similar
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 22, 2020 22:18:30 GMT -6
Yes , the ICON, GEM and NAM do look very similar Well if that’s not the kiss of death. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 22, 2020 22:29:51 GMT -6
lol..still betting on the GEM? It's north now too
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 22, 2020 22:46:17 GMT -6
lol..still betting on the GEM? It's north now too Nope, rolling with the ukmet. You might find the 00z run compelling |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 22, 2020 22:48:06 GMT -6
Ukie wants to play ball
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 22, 2020 23:14:07 GMT -6
Ukie did last night too only to poop it out at 12z
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 22, 2020 23:44:44 GMT -6
It doesnt look too impressive to me
You look at last nights by mistake ? Lol
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 23, 2020 0:09:09 GMT -6
Euro meh
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 23, 2020 8:25:03 GMT -6
Eastern Iowa to Chicago just getting slammed on nam.
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 23, 2020 8:29:16 GMT -6
So aggravating. We get 4 straight Memphis lows with no cold air or strong precip in cold sector and then this.
I know things can change but it’s looking bleak.
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 23, 2020 8:30:25 GMT -6
I am very happy for WSC though!
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Post by landscaper on Feb 23, 2020 8:35:54 GMT -6
Yep, we will be luck to get a few wrap around snow showers and temps near 32-33 during the day . Not a good recipe. After this little short cold snap , there’s really no cold air on the models for the next 2 weeks. I know several outlets NOAA and the weather channel have a colder March outlook, but there is really no support for that with the teleconnections or MJO. I really wish we get in a above normal pattern with no storms. We need to dry the ground out a lot. There’s always a chance for snow in March and early April I’m St. Louis but we have to have so many factors line up to produce accumulating snow in March .
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 23, 2020 8:48:17 GMT -6
Yep, we will be luck to get a few wrap around snow showers and temps near 32-33 during the day . Not a good recipe. After this little short cold snap , there’s really no cold air on the models for the next 2 weeks. I know several outlets NOAA and the weather channel have a colder March outlook, but there is really no support for that with the teleconnections or MJO. I really wish we get in a above normal pattern with no storms. We need to dry the ground out a lot. There’s always a chance for snow in March and early April I’m St. Louis but we have to have so many factors line up to produce accumulating snow in March . Also December, January, and February |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 23, 2020 8:53:37 GMT -6
Unfortunately, So True!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 23, 2020 10:39:59 GMT -6
Moberly... Quincy... Chicago.
3 to 6...
1" or so in metro STL.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 23, 2020 10:47:17 GMT -6
Moberly... Quincy... Chicago. 3 to 6... 1" or so in metro STL. 12z ukmet looks pretty good for STL |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 23, 2020 10:48:29 GMT -6
Moberly... Quincy... Chicago. 3 to 6... 1" or so in metro STL. I think that's a good call at this point...deepening 850mb low across central IL and strong cyclonic flow argues for good snow shower production. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 23, 2020 11:15:33 GMT -6
* yawn *
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 23, 2020 11:58:38 GMT -6
Gonna be hard to get any accumulation with ground temps running warm as they are right now.
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Post by notchjohnson on Feb 23, 2020 12:30:52 GMT -6
I’m putting my boat back on the dock on Saturday 2/29. Lake St Louis barely froze this year, don’t think it will again this year.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 23, 2020 12:34:06 GMT -6
Can’t wait to watch snow fall with temps between 32-35 and struggle to accumulate for the 90th time this winter
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