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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 24, 2020 19:02:55 GMT -6
Wow, with the Davenport Disco 2:30pm update....just wow. I would think that scenario would/should really dampen the excitement WRT the trends south. Any thoughts from the pro's??? straight and to the point. love it. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 24, 2020 19:19:05 GMT -6
Wow, with the Davenport Disco 2:30pm update....just wow. I would think that scenario would/should really dampen the excitement WRT the trends south. Any thoughts from the pro's??? straight and to the point. love it. I think they should share their work with the Chicago NWS. |
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Post by amstilost on Feb 24, 2020 19:23:31 GMT -6
Wow, with the Davenport Disco 2:30pm update....just wow. I would think that scenario would/should really dampen the excitement WRT the trends south. Any thoughts from the pro's??? straight and to the point. love it. Do you believe that Chicago will stay under a WSW with a forecast of 5-9"? It doesn't look cold enough for any Lake Effect Snow or will LES keep the chance for the higher forecast numbers likely? I hate seeing anyone get ripped off from snow, especially me, and of course, forecasters. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 24, 2020 19:26:47 GMT -6
straight and to the point. love it. Do you believe that Chicago will stay under a WSW with a forecast of 5-9"? It doesn't look cold enough for any Lake Effect Snow or will LES keep the chance for the higher forecast numbers likely? I hate seeing anyone get ripped off from snow, especially me, and of course, forecasters. I think they’ll give up after 00z runs come in. They have an extreme aversion to changing their forecasts. |
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 220 
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Feb 24, 2020 19:46:39 GMT -6
Not you, the other nuisance guy. I'm here? Someone calling my name? I'm Craig. What's Up? |
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Feb 24, 2020 19:57:58 GMT -6
Not you, the other nuisance guy. I'm here? Someone calling my name? I'm Craig. What's Up? Craig! I get it now. I’ve been pronouncing your name “gee-arc” this whole time. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 24, 2020 20:07:21 GMT -6
Gotta like the look of the NAM
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 24, 2020 20:12:02 GMT -6
Gotta like the look of the NAM You can’t make me look at it |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 24, 2020 20:18:13 GMT -6
Gotta like the look of the NAM You can’t make me look at it It’s amazing how much the models have changed the last 24 hours. Not that’s it’s uncommon lately |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 24, 2020 20:22:15 GMT -6
Hi res NAM is beautiful setting up the deformation zone across the area
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 24, 2020 20:25:43 GMT -6
Well if the hi res NAM is correct that'd be interesting. It's perfect. lol
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 220
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Feb 24, 2020 20:27:26 GMT -6
Gotta like the look of the NAM Will Glen change his forecast tonight or more time is needed? |
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Post by amstilost on Feb 24, 2020 20:28:42 GMT -6
If the lead wave were to slow down some instead of it heading off the east coast would that help more with a stronger Def Band for us or would that make it turn more north?
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Feb 24, 2020 20:34:19 GMT -6
what does Nam show
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 24, 2020 20:38:08 GMT -6
Whoa at the NAM...The 500mb is closed and negative with a straight connection to the gulf.
EDIT: Almost negative
This is destined to bust 1 direction or the other.
I’ll believe it when I see.
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Post by amstilost on Feb 24, 2020 20:40:42 GMT -6
3K NAM closes off at 500mb for 4 hours then opens up for 9 hours then closes briefly for 2 hours over IN. I would like to see it stay closed as it passes us then go negative. It "looks" like it really wants to go negative, just needs to stay closed.
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Post by cozpregon on Feb 24, 2020 20:46:06 GMT -6
3K NAM closes off at 500mb for 4 hours then opens up for 9 hours then closes briefly for 2 hours over IN. I would like to see it stay closed as it passes us then go negative. It "looks" like it really wants to go negative, just needs to stay closed. It’s actually deepening as it moves thru- it’s opening up as the heights fall |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 24, 2020 21:05:33 GMT -6
Well if the hi res NAM is correct that'd be interesting. It's perfect. lol You gave up on this one!!  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 24, 2020 21:05:42 GMT -6
This is starting to look more and more like an stl storm. Rarely do you see one continue to make significant jogs south as you approach but she keeps on goin.
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 24, 2020 21:11:19 GMT -6
No way Ballwin sees a flake. 😉
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Post by tedrick65 on Feb 24, 2020 21:13:55 GMT -6
Gotta like the look of the NAM Will Glen change his forecast tonight or more time is needed? Should he issue a Minor Nusiance Watch or go straight to a Warning? |
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 24, 2020 21:17:07 GMT -6
Grounds too warm and wet
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Post by landscaper on Feb 24, 2020 21:19:36 GMT -6
RGEM looks very similar to the NAM. 1out of 10 storms usually trend in our favor. We’re definitely past due, maybe we cash in last minute.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 24, 2020 21:21:18 GMT -6
I’m really starting to like my 50/50 odds of snow in STL
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 24, 2020 21:28:10 GMT -6
Wrf really shows the strong banding potential.
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 220
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Feb 24, 2020 21:31:49 GMT -6
I’m really starting to like my 50/50 odds of snow in STL Looks like a nuisance to me. Ground to warm. If we haven't learned already. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 24, 2020 21:37:10 GMT -6
I’m really starting to like my 50/50 odds of snow in STL Looks like a nuisance to me. Ground to warm. If we haven't learned already. Time of day will be our friend |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 24, 2020 21:42:13 GMT -6
We have perfect timing 10pm - 8am mostly all night time snow.
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Post by landscaper on Feb 24, 2020 21:43:05 GMT -6
It looks like we may get to salt again on a Wednesday night.
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 24, 2020 21:53:23 GMT -6
It looks like we may get to salt again on a Wednesday night. Doubtful ( at least for my clients) with the winds it’ll dry things out quite a bit before it gets cold enough to freeze up IMO |
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