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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2020 13:55:38 GMT -6
Ended up with 2.25” of rain in Arnold yesterday. Could use a rain free day
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2020 14:41:31 GMT -6
Blech..... a few adult beverages and this is still yucky... and only half an inch of rain yesterday.
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Post by Tilawn on May 25, 2020 14:44:57 GMT -6
Looks like the places that got the most of the rain yesterday, about this time, are not getting anything right now. Almost like looking at a negative! Not here.......just at 1.75” yesterday and just rolled over the 1” mark so far today and still coming down moderately......this weeks mowing schedule is in extreme jeopardy at this point especially with the forecast for Tuesday thru Thursday.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2020 14:51:34 GMT -6
Looks like the places that got the most of the rain yesterday, about this time, are not getting anything right now. Almost like looking at a negative! Not here.......just at 1.75” yesterday and just rolled over the 1” mark so far today and still coming down moderately......this weeks mowing schedule is in extreme jeopardy at this point especially with the forecast for Tuesday thru Thursday. Bummer man.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 25, 2020 16:04:36 GMT -6
Interesting bit of training just east of the nws radar with further development on the southern flank.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 25, 2020 16:44:35 GMT -6
Looks like the places that got the most of the rain yesterday, about this time, are not getting anything right now. Almost like looking at a negative! Meanwhile we just had about a 1/2 hour deluge. No hail that I saw. Few good wind gusts but nothing severe.
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Post by scmhack on May 25, 2020 16:50:24 GMT -6
Interesting bit of training just east of the nws radar with further development on the southern flank. coming right for my house...yay. I'm glad i got the front mowed at least.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2020 17:05:42 GMT -6
Outflow from something came through here dropped the temp 15 degrees. Still a huge rain/storm void over Mascoutah today.
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Post by yypc on May 25, 2020 17:18:58 GMT -6
Cells are moving N to NW almost
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2020 17:19:35 GMT -6
Converging outflows (one from the eadt and one from the west) over St Clair and Monroe counties in Illinois should ignite the as yet untapped CAPE over metro east very soon. There is a very good chance of rapid development from near Fairview Heights back to near Waterloo in the next 30 to 60 minutes.
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Post by yypc on May 25, 2020 17:32:19 GMT -6
Converging outflows (one from the eadt and one from the west) over St Clair and Monroe counties in Illinois should ignite the as yet untapped CAPE over metro east very soon. There is a very good chance of rapid development from near Fairview Heights back to near Waterloo in the next 30 to 60 minutes. Woohoo! Thanks Chris.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2020 17:43:13 GMT -6
suprised to see nothing there yet.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2020 17:51:34 GMT -6
suprised to see nothing there yet. Dramatic pause? Lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2020 18:17:09 GMT -6
Hmmmm.. that was not how Inexpected that to go. A wet fuse lol?
9 times out of 10... two outflows collide in an untapped airmass and the result is pretty explosive development. Oh well.
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Post by REB on May 25, 2020 18:40:49 GMT -6
Nothing here today
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Post by unclesam6 on May 25, 2020 20:42:33 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 26, 2020 6:37:21 GMT -6
Most global models remain insistent on a tropical system in the GOM next week. If that verifies it'll be quite impressive from a long range forecasting standpoint.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395
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Post by twocat on May 26, 2020 9:45:23 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof reports .51" of rain in North St. Pete yesterday late afternoon/evening.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 26, 2020 9:48:48 GMT -6
Doesn’t feel as bad out today. Nice breeze feels less humid so far.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on May 26, 2020 10:43:51 GMT -6
Hmmmm.. that was not how Inexpected that to go. A wet fuse lol? 9 times out of 10... two outflows collide in an untapped airmass and the result is pretty explosive development. Oh well. I was watching that last night also.....both boundaries literally made an x over Waterloo and nothing fired up..... very surprising
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Post by maddogchief on May 26, 2020 11:35:53 GMT -6
It’s a bit soupy out. Looking at the winds and national radar, this airmass is straight outta the GOM.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 26, 2020 14:25:48 GMT -6
Dry here today so far. Feels a lot less humid and a nice cool breeze.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 26, 2020 15:49:47 GMT -6
Most global models remain insistent on a tropical system in the GOM next week. If that verifies it'll be quite impressive from a long range forecasting standpoint. It is impressive, plus if it is close to the path currently progged, some parts of the mid ms valley and lower oh valley are going to get amazing rains. I wld imagine the gfs is stingy on the rainfall amts even here given the path, but im going to also bet on a veer to the west with that high pressure to the east. If that happens, time to test those sump pumps. But that is approaching 2 weeks away. This upcoming weekend is going to be a top 10. Might be our last truly comfortable weekend for a while with alot of heat and humidity building over the ms valley after that. I wld guess that tropical system passes by around june 11, hard to say what kind of pattern will carry us into mid june. Guessing typical summerlike with storm track to our north.
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Post by bdgwx on May 26, 2020 16:24:07 GMT -6
NHC now has 70% odds of tropical development down there. The question is...will it cross over from the Pacific to the Atlantic like what the GFS says? The Euro says no. The fact that GFS sniffed it out at all deserves a tip of the hat regardless.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2020 18:00:54 GMT -6
Most global models remain insistent on a tropical system in the GOM next week. If that verifies it'll be quite impressive from a long range forecasting standpoint. It is impressive, plus if it is close to the path currently progged, some parts of the mid ms valley and lower oh valley are going to get amazing rains. I wld imagine the gfs is stingy on the rainfall amts even here given the path, but im going to also bet on a veer to the west with that high pressure to the east. If that happens, time to test those sump pumps. But that is approaching 2 weeks away. This upcoming weekend is going to be a top 10. Might be our last truly comfortable weekend for a while with alot of heat and humidity building over the ms valley after that. I wld guess that tropical system passes by around june 11, hard to say what kind of pattern will carry us into mid june. Guessing typical summerlike with storm track to our north. I'm torn on what to expect this summer...part of me thinks the excessive rains so far this spring will hamper the heat, but there's also been a tendency lately for anomalous upper ridging to build across the Midwest and Eastern US so there's some conflicting signals so far. I would think with a developing La Nina, a hot summer and active tropical season could be in the cards but I just don't get that gut feeling...guess we'll see.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 27, 2020 4:46:47 GMT -6
pouring. Again.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 27, 2020 5:58:22 GMT -6
Well got some rain this morning that’s for sure.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 27, 2020 6:13:27 GMT -6
TS Bertha has formed off the South Carolina Coast between Charleston and Myrtle Beach. Won't last long as it makes landfall in a few hours near Francis Marion National Forest north of Charleston, SC. Winds @ 45MPH.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 27, 2020 7:07:44 GMT -6
So far only slightly damp here.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 27, 2020 7:26:06 GMT -6
TS Bertha has formed off the South Carolina Coast between Charleston and Myrtle Beach. Won't last long as it makes landfall in a few hours near Francis Marion National Forest north of Charleston, SC. Winds @ 45MPH. Was this the old remnant MCS that Chris mentioned a couple days ago?
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