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Post by jmg378s on May 27, 2020 9:12:56 GMT -6
It is impressive, plus if it is close to the path currently progged, some parts of the mid ms valley and lower oh valley are going to get amazing rains. I wld imagine the gfs is stingy on the rainfall amts even here given the path, but im going to also bet on a veer to the west with that high pressure to the east. If that happens, time to test those sump pumps. But that is approaching 2 weeks away. This upcoming weekend is going to be a top 10. Might be our last truly comfortable weekend for a while with alot of heat and humidity building over the ms valley after that. I wld guess that tropical system passes by around june 11, hard to say what kind of pattern will carry us into mid june. Guessing typical summerlike with storm track to our north. I'm torn on what to expect this summer...part of me thinks the excessive rains so far this spring will hamper the heat, but there's also been a tendency lately for anomalous upper ridging to build across the Midwest and Eastern US so there's some conflicting signals so far. I would think with a developing La Nina, a hot summer and active tropical season could be in the cards but I just don't get that gut feeling...guess we'll see. Yeah I sorta agree, my guess would be hot/humid summer. Maybe not many (or any) 100+ days but plenty of days where the temp/humidity combo leads to plenty of heat advisory/warning days. And if that La Nina that Frivs was talking about develops faster then tropics should be quite active too. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2020 11:01:29 GMT -6
Looks like after a nice weekend of NW flow we jump into pure summer with a big ridge building over the central US. Heat and humidity galore
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Post by anotherwxfan on May 27, 2020 11:24:47 GMT -6
Does anyone know the weather criteria for a launch at Cape Canaveral today? It doesn't look too promising from the radar down there.
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Post by amstilost on May 27, 2020 12:04:44 GMT -6
I just heard that there is a 40% chance of "acceptable" launch weather. That is not just at the lauch site, but also possible splashdown sites if problems occur. Here is a live link that was just showing the crew being buckled in. Something else on there right now. launch preps Edit: I just noticed this is on youtube. You can go to nasa.gov if you prefer. |
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Post by amstilost on May 27, 2020 12:09:31 GMT -6
Kind of looks like the same voice recognition to type that my cell phone uses. Needs some tweeks for sure.
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Post by REB on May 27, 2020 13:13:38 GMT -6
1.32” and still “raining cats and dogs”
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campingfamily
Weather Weenie
Birdie Hills and Knaust Rd St. Peters, MO
Posts: 54 
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Post by campingfamily on May 27, 2020 13:31:52 GMT -6
Watching the space shuttle prepare for launch. We were in Florida when the last launch of Discovery was to occur. The weather didn't cooperate, so we watched it weeks later from home. It is so exciting to get back into American space travel!
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399
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Post by lunchladyd on May 27, 2020 13:47:59 GMT -6
We have 4 inches of rain since the big storm Monday night. Lots of damage up this way. Thankfully not at my house. Buts lots of leaves all over the yard, and did a number on my pionies just bloomed out.
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Post by bdgwx on May 27, 2020 13:57:21 GMT -6
It looks like there are several YouTube live streams. Here is the NASA stream.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 27, 2020 14:21:30 GMT -6
Launch was just scrubbed. Bummer
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 27, 2020 14:22:29 GMT -6
Yep was watching live. Dang.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 27, 2020 14:36:57 GMT -6
I figured it would be postponed the last 3 days lol. Didn't get too excited for it for today. Hopefully can get 'er up there Saturday.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 27, 2020 15:01:35 GMT -6
85% humidity... 75 degrees and a DP of 70... yuck.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 27, 2020 15:50:45 GMT -6
Yep was looking forward to watching the launch. But understandable as to why it was a no go. Looks like Sat is the new launch day. Better anyways, as more folks are home to watch it live.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 27, 2020 18:58:07 GMT -6
Summer 2020 should be a very hot dry one. We're due. June and July probably the worst with some more breaks come late July into August. Trends call for powerful 594+ DM ridging for some time in June with likely upper 80s to upper 90s common with flirts of 100s towards month end. Really any rains in June will depend on tropical remnants or perhaps a ridging running shortwave or 2 if the ridge backs off west enough. But thinking it's gonna camp over the area for several weeks with only brief retreats.
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Post by unclesam6 on May 27, 2020 23:12:08 GMT -6
big old GOM storm on the 00z gfs.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 28, 2020 6:00:12 GMT -6
I have been very nervous about a completely dry forecast for the weekend... and this morning's trends are not helping the anxiety.
A weak shortwave is evident on all models now in the Saturday/Sunday time... the instability is next to nill.... and the 850mb jet stays well to our west. But there is a solid slug of mid-level moisture...the kind you find in clipper systems. I've cautiously increased clouds for Saturday and Sunday and took a degree or two off the highs. For now, I am mentioning "spot sprinkles" for late Saturday as a way to get the conversation started. To be clear... I'm not expecting much at all...but I don't want any surprises over a weekend that is supposed to be otherwise nice.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 28, 2020 7:16:06 GMT -6
It would make sense to be wet this weekend. Doesn't make sense that the pattern we've been in for the last 2 months would just suddenly disappear without a wimper
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Post by REB on May 28, 2020 8:36:53 GMT -6
.30” since midnight,1.79” since 5/27, 6.47” in May.
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Post by bdgwx on May 28, 2020 9:35:44 GMT -6
big old GOM storm on the 00z gfs. There are several cyclones showing up on the EPS as well. Some are cross overs from the Pacific side and some are fresh development on the Atlantic side. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 28, 2020 10:20:59 GMT -6
 I can hear it pouring down the street lol. Dry here. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on May 28, 2020 11:41:36 GMT -6
Been surrounded the last few hours by storms. Some places are really getting dumped on today. Not a drop here.
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Post by jmg378s on May 28, 2020 11:55:25 GMT -6
According to SPC forecaster Evan Bentley (via Twitter) there has never been a May in which the SPC has not issued a moderate or higher risk of severe storms for the entire month. This May could be the first. He also points out that the last time we've seen so few (so far) May tornadoes was back in 1952. Nowadays every dinky little landspout in the middle of nowhere gets reported so that's saying A LOT. Now we should counter-balance this point with the fact that April was unusually very busy.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 28, 2020 11:58:10 GMT -6
pouring. Again. Lol.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 28, 2020 12:28:38 GMT -6
According to SPC forecaster Evan Bentley (via Twitter) there has never been a May in which the SPC has not issued a moderate or higher risk of severe storms for the entire month. This May could be the first. He also points out that the last time we've seen so few (so far) May tornadoes was back in 1952. Nowadays every dinky little landspout in the middle of nowhere gets reported so that's saying A LOT. Now we should counter-balance this point with the fact that April was unusually very busy. I was surprised to see we are right at the average for the number of tornado reports year to date. Interestingly, we are way below average on the number of hail reports year to date but way above average on the number of wind reports year to date |
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 28, 2020 15:00:43 GMT -6
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Post by amstilost on May 28, 2020 16:48:42 GMT -6
easy 50mph wind gusts 7 miles west of de soto
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 28, 2020 16:50:55 GMT -6
easy 50mph wind gusts 7 miles west of de soto 1.5” hail report out of that cell |
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Post by amstilost on May 28, 2020 17:00:23 GMT -6
pretty big branch down in our yard.....probably closer to 60mph gusts. Nothing official.
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Post by amstilost on May 28, 2020 17:01:20 GMT -6
I haven't seen any hail...hope to keep it that way.
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