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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 15:02:45 GMT -6
Radar is exploding coming up 44. A huge green blob is going to fill in all along 44/64 and South and North to 70 on the Northern edge.
This is already way ahead of the models.
Which clearly underestimate lift processes in the super cold airmass
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 14, 2021 15:06:28 GMT -6
That 60 mile drive to work is going to suck this week.
Tilawn - you guys need to get those big blowers they use at the racetracks for snows like these. Mount them on the front of the truck instead of the plow.
Seriously--stay safe. Those 24+ hour days pushing snow suck worse than the 60 mile drive.
Nope......retirement from snow removal is very likely in my future starting next winter. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 14, 2021 15:06:37 GMT -6
zero degrees out with "a lot" of snow coming and -15 wind chill on valentines day sounds like the perfect weather to show the wife I love her by grilling fillets for dinner  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 15:07:06 GMT -6
Looks like a 4:30 to 5PM arrival time for the metro at it's current speed and velocity.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 15:08:24 GMT -6
RGEM/ICON all heavier and farther west with tonight/Monday's event.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 14, 2021 15:09:58 GMT -6
18Z rgem has 0.50" qpf from St. Louis to the SE.  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 15:10:18 GMT -6
RGEM has 10-11" for the immediate metro in a larger 6-10" that pretty much envelops the remainder of the area.
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Feb 14, 2021 15:13:41 GMT -6
18Z rgem has 0.50" qpf from St. Louis to the SE. In this cold and .5 QPF 10 inches seems super low |
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Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Feb 14, 2021 15:19:36 GMT -6
With steady winds of 10-15mph and gusts of up to 25mph there will definitely be whiteout’s and treacherous driving conditions.
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Post by weatherj on Feb 14, 2021 15:21:59 GMT -6
Are the models adding in what we already have on the ground or are what they showing is truly the storm total minus what we have on the ground?
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Post by jeepers on Feb 14, 2021 15:22:31 GMT -6
Stay safe, Tilawn!
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Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Feb 14, 2021 15:23:52 GMT -6
We are getting a pretty decent snow shower in Wentzville, currently.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 15:24:21 GMT -6
Are the models adding in what we already have on the ground or are what they showing is truly the storm total minus what we have on the ground? Kuchera and positive snow depth products are what has fallen, not what’s already on the ground. |
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Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Feb 14, 2021 15:26:56 GMT -6
That blob on radar is flying up 44. We should start seeing some really good snow showers within the next hour!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 14, 2021 15:28:30 GMT -6
OK, How big of a box, and what do I weigh it down with so it doesnt blow away? You should be OK without a box or snow board. But the rest of us should go ahead and put ours out.  |
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Post by landscaper on Feb 14, 2021 15:30:52 GMT -6
Steady light snow and it’s accumulating immediately, I wonder why😄
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 14, 2021 15:33:34 GMT -6
I developed a new non-choleric silicon based kitchen lubricant that creates a surface 500x more slippery than any cooking oil.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 15:34:07 GMT -6
Latest HRRR drops 3" up 44 tonight before the main show tomorrow
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 14, 2021 15:44:00 GMT -6
Did the radar break again?  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 15:47:31 GMT -6
Nah, the snow in MO evaporated. |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 14, 2021 15:47:38 GMT -6
Snowing right now in South Padre Island, TX. Unreal.
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Post by notchjohnson on Feb 14, 2021 15:48:34 GMT -6
 Seems accurate per the models and such |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 14, 2021 15:48:39 GMT -6
Nah, the snow in MO evaporated. It honestly wouldn’t surprise me haha |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 14, 2021 15:48:52 GMT -6
To say all systems are a go on the GFS would be an understatement, especially on the v16. The latter showing a foot southeast of downtown Saint Louis through Monday evening.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 14, 2021 15:52:27 GMT -6
18z GFSv16 getting into stud territory  |
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Feb 14, 2021 15:55:59 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 14, 2021 15:58:19 GMT -6
Tough not to get caught up in the frenzy right now, but try to slow down and realize that we are on the cusp of a historic storm here. The temps alone make it as such, whether we get 6 or 12.
We may never see this again in our lifetimes.
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 14, 2021 15:58:27 GMT -6
looks like current GFS is back north some for midweek
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Feb 14, 2021 15:58:43 GMT -6
snow storm what does GFSv16 show for the Wednesday system . I think it was the model that was showing a big storm
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Feb 14, 2021 15:59:04 GMT -6
I don’t miss that hobby, always helped a friend every year, for 15 years, because I loved doing it. Didn’t care for the long hours though, and had enough to keep me busy with my own business. I was lucky to have good supervisors taking care of the plant for me. That 60 mile drive to work is going to suck this week.
Tilawn - you guys need to get those big blowers they use at the racetracks for snows like these. Mount them on the front of the truck instead of the plow.
Seriously--stay safe. Those 24+ hour days pushing snow suck worse than the 60 mile drive.
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