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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:16:48 GMT -6
So do we. Kids were playing in the field out back about 2.5-3 hours ago. There foot prints are almost gone. Everyone is going to see at least 5". Yeah we are not reaching 8-12" with these baby flakes. We only need 2 more to verify the 8-12......... I think that’s doable It's definitely possible. I just meant all over the metro in mass it won't reach that level. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 15, 2021 14:17:20 GMT -6
We only need 2 more to verify the 8-12......... I think that’s doable It's definitely possible. I just meant all over the metro in mass it won't reach that level. I agree |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:17:37 GMT -6
I think 4.5 in Arnold and 3.5 in cahokia are both conservative.
I can't see how those places are that low.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 15, 2021 14:17:37 GMT -6
Some big fluffy flakes flying here all of a sudden
If we can get some fat dendrites for the latter half of this system we could really start piling up the totals
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 15, 2021 14:18:33 GMT -6
We have around 6 inches of new snow ..... still pouring snow Same here. It looks like a death band trying to get going directly to our S and heading straight N. You are correct... flakes are a little bigger in that band |
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Post by bororug on Feb 15, 2021 14:20:08 GMT -6
I measured in multiple spots w/ an average coming out to 5.5” 5 miles SW of Desoto. Demerson or amstilost are about 15-20 miles away from me. Hopefully our numbers are close. Wind is really starting to pick up. Temp:4
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 15, 2021 14:20:11 GMT -6
Some big fluffy flakes flying here all of a sudden If we can get some fat dendrites for the latter half of this system we could really start piling up the totals I think flake size will increase as the mid-level system and cold core moves across the region. There should be some banding potential on the tail end with the trof axis getting a bit squeezed as it moves into the lingering confluence. This looks to favor along/N of 70. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:20:24 GMT -6
Some big fluffy flakes flying here all of a sudden If we can get some fat dendrites for the latter half of this system we could really start piling up the totals That's what I saw in the models. Right on time. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 15, 2021 14:20:47 GMT -6
I think 4.5 in Arnold and 3.5 in cahokia are both conservative. I can't see how those places are that low. 4.5" is just from measuring in a flat sheltered location and clearing it off every once in a while. It could definitely be contaminated by blowing snow |
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Post by RyanD on Feb 15, 2021 14:22:44 GMT -6
Sure looks like 5-6" so far here but that's just a guess. Getting some decent drifting as well. 8" seems very doable on top of the few inches we already had. If we can get a decent snow on Wed/Thurs then we could easily have a snowpack well over a foot.
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Post by jmg378s on Feb 15, 2021 14:23:59 GMT -6
NWS employee reports M3.9 in O'Fallon, MO little while ago. Around the same time I measured 3.1" in St. Peters.
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 15, 2021 14:24:38 GMT -6
My version of eyeballing our current measurement.  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:25:46 GMT -6
A band of snow down by popular bluff is developing and will take the form of a tail end and love NE towards the immediate metro and SWIL/SWWIL.
This should end up being large flakes.
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Post by stlweatherguy - Hillsboro, MO on Feb 15, 2021 14:26:33 GMT -6
I measured in multiple spots w/ an average coming out to 5.5” 5 miles SW of Desoto. Demerson or amstilost are about 15-20 miles away from me. Hopefully our numbers are close. Wind is really starting to pick up. Temp:4 I measured about 4.5 at 12:30 or so shoveling so this seems about right to me. I am in Hillsboro, MO. |
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 15, 2021 14:26:34 GMT -6
Snow on snow on snow!!!! What we’ve been wanting!
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Post by weatherj on Feb 15, 2021 14:27:16 GMT -6
Wednesday ends up being a 3-5 I would think.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 15, 2021 14:27:53 GMT -6
Wife says 4.1. I think we can get our 6. Wind is blowing very hard
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:30:52 GMT -6
Here at 4pm you can see the hook over the immediate metro taking shape  |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 15, 2021 14:31:05 GMT -6
I'm going to estimate 3" in the St. Peters / Harvester area. I'll try to get a better measurement later.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 15, 2021 14:33:03 GMT -6
I would think most locations should be able to add a couple more inches through this evening. HRRR is very slow to bring the back edge through here. It keeps snow going from the metro points north well into the evening which other meso models agree with
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 15, 2021 14:35:26 GMT -6
4.5” of new snow and a snow depth of 6” in Arnold It’s brutal out there. Just got done with round 2 of shoveling and when the wind picks up the blowing snow goes crazy I am almost exactly the same. Just got a solid measurement of 5.5-6” total. So hard to tell. Had 1.5” down this morning. |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 15, 2021 14:35:31 GMT -6
Beaker and I both eyeball about 4.5-5 in O’Fallon/Dardenne before heading out for an official measurement
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 15, 2021 14:36:34 GMT -6
18Z NAM 12Km still solid for 4-8" more snow Wednesday into Thursday.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 15, 2021 14:37:12 GMT -6
I'm going to estimate 3" in the St. Peters / Harvester area. I'll try to get a better measurement later. So you estimate 3", another poster measured 3.1" and another relative measured 4.1" in the same city at the same time. Everyone ignore this post...I couldn't help myself. In the end your area should reach cost to 6". Edit: looks like you guys might be low based on measurements just to your West |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 15, 2021 14:37:50 GMT -6
Nam shows another 3-6” N of 44/70 and 6-10” S for Wednesday system.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 15, 2021 14:38:15 GMT -6
I measured in multiple spots w/ an average coming out to 5.5” 5 miles SW of Desoto. Demerson or amstilost are about 15-20 miles away from me. Hopefully our numbers are close. Wind is really starting to pick up. Temp:4 Just measured Average of right at 5 inches here. |
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Post by weatherj on Feb 15, 2021 14:39:29 GMT -6
That band to my S looks to be moving NNW and could impact you showtime. It looks a FGEN band.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 15, 2021 14:39:35 GMT -6
NWS employee reports M3.9 in O'Fallon, MO little while ago. Around the same time I measured 3.1" in St. Peters. That first band last evening left this area really short. Quarter to half inch at most. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 15, 2021 14:40:41 GMT -6
I’m only 29 but I’ll be shocked if we ever see anything like this again.
Snow on snow on snow.
Temps barely breaking 10° for a week straight.
Measurable snowfall falling with temps at or below 0°.
2-3 weeks straight with temps not breaking 32°
Unreal.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Feb 15, 2021 14:41:42 GMT -6
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