iceman
Wishcaster
Arnold, MO
Posts: 104 
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Post by iceman on Jan 14, 2022 22:07:23 GMT -6
Sooooo.... is it to early to mention the potential clipper next weekend?
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Jan 14, 2022 22:07:37 GMT -6
Had sleet, then sleet mixed with snow... now we've transitioned to a light freezing rain. What the heck!? Where's my evaporative cooling through the column? 32F dropped a degree at the surface but now I have liquid falling
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Post by thechaser on Jan 14, 2022 22:10:33 GMT -6
Watching the 925mb temps will likely be the key to when you guys changeover to hopefully all snow.
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Post by amstilost on Jan 14, 2022 22:10:39 GMT -6
Looks like snow on the La Plata VR Cam.
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57
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Post by seyahmit on Jan 14, 2022 22:10:41 GMT -6
La Plata switched to snow, let's hope this trend moves South in a hurry!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 14, 2022 22:10:51 GMT -6
It's still early. But I am tempted to post a YouTube video of “Singing in the rain.“
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 14, 2022 22:12:18 GMT -6
Still raining.
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 14, 2022 22:12:48 GMT -6
It's still early. But I am tempted to post a YouTube video of “Singing in the rain.“ I think Fish has reserved the right to doing that. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 14, 2022 22:15:18 GMT -6
I already hate that "rainy deformation" is in our lexicon. We better not add "rainy clipper". Just sayin...
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Post by cnagel3 - Festus on Jan 14, 2022 22:15:51 GMT -6
Actually climbed a degree from 36 to 37 just south of Festus.
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Post by jeepers on Jan 14, 2022 22:15:54 GMT -6
34 degrees
Just rain
Diet root beer
Precariously close to going to sleep
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 14, 2022 22:17:47 GMT -6
Had sleet, then sleet mixed with snow... now we've transitioned to a light freezing rain. What the heck!? Where's my evaporative cooling through the column? 32F dropped a degree at the surface but now I have liquid falling Well that can’t be good |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 14, 2022 22:18:46 GMT -6
Not gonna lie all the short range models are scaring me ….. they all have 2plus inch snow hitting a wall just past the river on the Illinois side …… very depressing
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 14, 2022 22:18:48 GMT -6
37 here with steady rain still. Gonna be muddy as heck.
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 14, 2022 22:19:56 GMT -6
La Plata switched to snow, let's hope this trend moves South in a hurry! Seeing white on the ground pretty quick. |
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57
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Post by seyahmit on Jan 14, 2022 22:22:50 GMT -6
Still all rain for me. Temp is now 34°. Started the night with a Bell's Hop Slam, but went back to low carb gin and tonics.
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 14, 2022 22:23:42 GMT -6
It has been raining pretty good here for the better part of four hours. This would have been a pretty cool event had there actually been a "quick" changeover. I don't see how we have a chance at much as slow as this is progressing. Losing lots of qpf to rain.
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seyahmit
Weather Weenie
Hwys K & N, O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 57
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Post by seyahmit on Jan 14, 2022 22:26:23 GMT -6
La Plata switched to snow, let's hope this trend moves South in a hurry! Seeing white on the ground pretty quick. Those rail ties are turning white pretty quickly. Unfortunately not much else at the moment. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 14, 2022 22:28:38 GMT -6
UPDATE...
Issued at 1016 PM CST Fri Jan 14 2022
The current forecast largely appears to be on track. As expected,
mid-level frontogenesis along with increasing ascent from isentropic
lift and large-scale height falls ahead of a closed low moving
southward from the Central to Southern Plains has led to an
increasingly broad band of precip generally positioned along the
Mississippi River. So far this evening, vertical thermal profiles
beneath this band have been supportive of accumulating snow across
far northeastern MO and west-central IL. Elsewhere along this band,
snow has been increasingly common to mix with the rain as cooling
from ascent and melting snowflakes occurs. This trend should
continue as precip rates become more intense and weak low-level CAA
occurs. Snowfall rates could be locally moderate to heavy at times.
Precip will become most widespread overnight as ascent becomes more
broad, with locations initially seeing rain, eventually
transitioning to snow.
Pfahler
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 14, 2022 22:31:31 GMT -6
Thanks, NWS
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Post by amstilost on Jan 14, 2022 22:32:01 GMT -6
That certainly sounds promising.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 14, 2022 22:36:49 GMT -6
The 5400 line blasted thru. I suspect the 2840 is the dividing line?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 14, 2022 22:41:44 GMT -6
The short range models have cut the QPF way back.
Now cutting it back everywhere.
On top of that.
The RAP and HRRR. Have like 50% of what is to come QPF wise falling as rain for STL.
The HRRR gives Lambert .43" QPF.
It has .22" of that the next 3 hours
Mostly rain
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jan 14, 2022 22:42:06 GMT -6
Just took the dogs out and guess what I heard???
The screams of millions of snowflakes as they died dropping from the clouds!
I have a feeling the ground will be a wet, sloppy, muddy mess tomorrow.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 14, 2022 22:42:31 GMT -6
Maybe…MAYBE a flake or two here or there in WashMO.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 14, 2022 22:43:15 GMT -6
The short range models have cut the QPF way back. Now cutting it back everywhere. On top of that. The RAP and HRRR. Have like 50% of what is to come QPF wise falling as rain for STL. The HRRR gives Lambert .43" QPF. It has .22" of that the next 3 hours Mostly rain Just had sleet for a few seconds. Like a burst of it. Could hear it banging hard then full stop No snow |
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Post by let it snow11 on Jan 14, 2022 22:44:02 GMT -6
Hello folks. Just checking in, I've been lurking for a few days. Great to see the old favorites still sharing a wealth of weather info.
Raining and 36 here currently. Northern St. Francois county.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 14, 2022 22:50:25 GMT -6
We are close Friv.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 14, 2022 22:51:05 GMT -6
This is yet another example of a learning experience for us to realize when temperature borderline.
Assuming they'll just change over faster than the model say or whatever is always seem to turn out AS COMPLETE BULL****.
HOW IN THE F*** IS IT STILL RAINING WHEN THE SO CALLED WARM LAYER IS UNDER 1C???
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 14, 2022 22:53:54 GMT -6
This is yet another example of a learning experience for us to realize when temperature borderline. Assuming they'll just change over faster than the model say or whatever is always seem to turn out AS COMPLETE BULL****. HOW IN THE F*** IS IT STILL RAINING WHEN THE SO CALLED WARM LAYER IS UNDER 1C??? LMAO FRIV!!! I would rather have DAM or Dry Slot than this damn RAIN!! Ugh. |
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