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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 20, 2022 23:03:36 GMT -6
I love watching it snow... I love driving in snow. I love more than anything going for a long walk outside in the woods when it's snowing. But I hate the brutal cold. I hate the look of grimy, dirty, muddy old snow. I hate watching snowmen crumble and tip over as they slowly melt. That is all.... That last part really tied it up for the St. Louis area. Even when we do get a glorious snowfall, 9 times out of 10 it turns into a mess the next day or two. We really should appreciate the week of pure winter we recieved last February...because we may never see something like that again in our lives...who knows. What I do know is that I've never seen it snow like that at or below zero before or really even close to it and I never remember it snowing for days straight...even if it didn't amount to that much. We just don't really see that kind of weather that around here. I think the opposite. I think we could see more of these extreme events, but in fewer occurrences, think like every several years, but in-between are several years of dull to at best marginal winters. If we do get hit by one of these rogue vortexes though, it would be remember able. Trends are throwing out a possible 3rd year La Nina if we make it through the Summer in a Nina state or cool ENSO. Also according to a poster from another national weather forum, we could see an active Spring of extremes including more severe weather, but also some epic winter storms too especially north of I-70. Summer is probably going to be extremely hot though especially if the PDO/PNA goes negative again during the warm season. A Positive AO/NAO at the same time would farther amplify things (this would be a perfect worst case scenario, not what's 'predicted' to happen). But during the Winters, I see more boom and bust winters, but less 'average' winters, though long term trends will continue to favor warmer temps and less snow overall. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 20, 2022 23:07:22 GMT -6
There is somewhere between 1000-5000 people in the ST Louis metro by area sleeping outside tonight.
This cold can get lost.
Most of you guys can't truly understand what facing that is like.
I'm fact many on the board literally go from home to car to work to car to home...
Spending a few seconds outside in the cold.
Unless your car still needs to warm up without remote start.
Just walking 5-10 mins with a decent wind at these temps will have your skin burning.
And to think there is thousands of people many mentally ill who have no where to go.
No money, no food... Just a horrible situation.
I used to be a cold air junkie.
Now I want to see it snow and it can melt after 24 hours.
Anyways if no snow. Give me 60s
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 20, 2022 23:15:45 GMT -6
Yes Friv, I hope the shelters are open tonight in the STL
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Post by NewTownWeather on Jan 21, 2022 3:09:53 GMT -6
I have somehow managed to avoid covid completely so far and honestly I’m beginning to wonder if I can even contract it… my roommate had it in 2020 and I didn’t catch it although we were careful and stayed separated and masked up when in the same room. Then my whole family caught it in 2021 but I didn’t despite being around them. Now I just got off a cruise a week ago and didn’t get it there or while traveling… still have yet to contract covid but I still feel like I’m dodging bullets on a battlefield. Also yes I’m vaccinated and boosted and have tested probably 6 times at this point for various reasons always PCR and always negative… maybe I’m just lucky 🤷🏻♂️. Anyway… please bring on the snow before I lose it with this snowless wasteland we call Saint Louis these last several years 🙏.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 21, 2022 4:03:54 GMT -6
I just want a dry summer. So sick of high humidity these past few yrs!!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 21, 2022 5:50:48 GMT -6
family members saw another fireball just before 445 am. Described as "greenish bluish" going straight down.
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Post by bororug on Jan 21, 2022 6:13:23 GMT -6
Sitting at 2 degrees in Festus.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 21, 2022 6:38:36 GMT -6
Brrrrr....  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 21, 2022 6:44:57 GMT -6
Newtown, it's almost a certainty that you've contracted it and just didn't show symptoms. A strong immune system goes a long way with outbreaks like these and it appears that certain genetic precursors like blood type and whatever else plays a strong role. You're just lucky to be a generally healthy person from the sound of it.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 21, 2022 7:22:48 GMT -6
Could get up to Mid 50’s Monday. Then back to almost single digits Tuesday.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 21, 2022 7:23:07 GMT -6
Touched -1° this morning for a little while. Back up to 0° now
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 21, 2022 7:59:20 GMT -6
Touched -1° this morning for a little while. Back up to 0° now Had to leave the house before sunrise, but it was hovering near 1* in rural Brighton. The ground is hard as diamond and eveything's froze up at work. Fun stuff! |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 21, 2022 8:45:57 GMT -6
I just want a dry summer. So sick of high humidity these past few yrs!! The problem with that is that if there is little humidity the temperature spikes even higher. |
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 21, 2022 9:18:45 GMT -6
That’s why winter in whatever form we get it can take its time leaving. July is ahead!
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 21, 2022 10:00:41 GMT -6
RIP Meatloaf and Louie Anderson
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 21, 2022 10:52:13 GMT -6
I still like the 1/30-2/2 timeframe for some action.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 21, 2022 12:01:49 GMT -6
I still like the 1/30-2/2 timeframe for some action. GFS sure has been consistent, I'll give it that. Normally when it does that, there ends up being a storm somewhere in the middle of the country. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 21, 2022 12:46:51 GMT -6
End of the month into early February does look promising with plenty of southern energy and cold floating around
Let’s hope the chips can fall into place
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 21, 2022 13:09:52 GMT -6
For those veterans in the audience, you can go to vettix.org and sign up for free or extremely discounted tickets to many events in Saint Louis.
Just found this and haven’t used it yet because so far, the events haven’t synced with my schedule. Many events in Louisville, Indy, and Chicago too.
Just passing along.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 21, 2022 13:45:56 GMT -6
End of the month into early February does look promising with plenty of southern energy and cold floating around Let’s hope the chips can fall into place Definitely a consistent signal of a retrograding longwave trof/vortex axis like WSC mentioned. I'd also keep an eye on the potential towards the middle of next week with the clipper digging in across the Plains like the GFS is showing. Not looking like a major storm...but there's a chance something develops with that loading pattern and potential phase. |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jan 21, 2022 15:34:43 GMT -6
I know we can still get snow in February and March here. Just wondering with January starting to wrap up what are the chance in general as we approach each month for snow.
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 21, 2022 15:44:21 GMT -6
I know we can still get snow in February and March here. Just wondering with January starting to wrap up what are the chance in general as we approach each month for snow. Food for thought...you have to go back to 1993 before you find a 6" event at KSTL. We got close last year with the 5.7" event though. |
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150 
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Jan 21, 2022 16:49:44 GMT -6
I know we can still get snow in February and March here. Just wondering with January starting to wrap up what are the chance in general as we approach each month for snow. Food for thought...you have to go back to 1993 before you find a 6" event at KSTL. We got close last year with the 5.7" event though. What about the Palm Sunday snowstorm of March 2013? KSTL recorded over 12 inches. www.weather.gov/lsx/03_24_2013 |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 21, 2022 16:56:56 GMT -6
Sorry...I meant for the month of February.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 21, 2022 17:57:14 GMT -6
The 18 GFS run tonight is pretty epic ….. only to dream
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 21, 2022 17:59:50 GMT -6
GFS is always epic in fantasy range, then 6 hours later it's not. lol Unfortunately.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 21, 2022 18:04:11 GMT -6
I know we can still get snow in February and March here. Just wondering with January starting to wrap up what are the chance in general as we approach each month for snow. Food for thought...you have to go back to 1993 before you find a 6" event at KSTL. We got close last year with the 5.7" event though. Not sure that is accurate. I can think of several 6-10 inch storms at Lambert over the past 10 years alone. I will have to dig at those numbers. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 21, 2022 18:16:16 GMT -6
Here are the two day snowfall extremes over the past 10 years. So five of the top 10 are in fact greater than 10 inches at Lambert.  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 21, 2022 18:30:52 GMT -6
Here are the two day snowfall extremes over the past 10 years. So five of the top 10 are in fact greater than 10 inches at Lambert. But, none of the ones above 6 inches happened in February, which I believe was the original statement from Bdgwx. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 21, 2022 19:13:24 GMT -6
All of the Mping snow reports in South and North Carolina are pretty hilarious
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