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Post by jmg378s on Nov 16, 2022 22:40:56 GMT -6
Tomorrow night HRRR is indicating 4-5"/hr snowfall rates for Buffalo area. I experienced 2-3"/hr rates in the Palm Sunday storm and that was crazy.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 16, 2022 23:28:24 GMT -6
This evening's sounding from Buffalo. Models indicate surface winds will become west-southwesterly at 25-30kts over the span of Lake Erie for an extended time. The lake surface is a very warm 50+F. That's going to be a hell of an experience somewhere in or near Buffalo where the narrow lake effect band sets up. If you take into account the 50F+ water temps and use that as a surface parcel, CAPE values are well over 1000j/kg
There's going to be some unreal thunder snow from this
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Post by jeepers on Nov 17, 2022 10:21:07 GMT -6
Some day I'm going to do something nuts, like...jump on a plane and go to Buffalo at a moment like this. It's a bucket list thing.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 17, 2022 10:40:10 GMT -6
If the 12z gfs is right about Thanksgiving/Black Friday, you might only have to take the train up to Chicago.
Produces a “Mini Buffalo” before actually going back to New York and hammering them again.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 17, 2022 11:16:02 GMT -6
"if the gfs is right". Are you trying your new stand up material out?  |
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Post by jeepers on Nov 17, 2022 11:20:44 GMT -6
I'm going to be with family in Wisconsin, so the only way I'm watching this one is from my iPad. :/
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 17, 2022 11:23:15 GMT -6
"if the gfs is right". Are you trying your new stand up material out? Yeah, observational weather humor is a niche category that Seinfeld left untouched. Given the economy, and the loss of all my crypto, I’m turning to my only other option. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 17, 2022 17:46:58 GMT -6
Dave going with a dry, but cold Winter especially January and February with below normal snow, but hints that southern counties might be on the edge of some decent systems mainly south of St. Louis with a minimum around the metro to the northwest. February being the coldest month overall.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 17, 2022 20:06:16 GMT -6
Watching the RadarOmega live cam from Depew NY. Got a solid coat of snow so far.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 17, 2022 21:39:32 GMT -6
kind of what I was thinking too...cold dry, nw flow dominating from time to time, that relaxes occasionally to bring us warmth from the west periodically, but overall clipper track stays to the north, and southern track too far south. Bad for heating bills, no snowcover to reflect sunlight into the windows. It's shaping up to be miserable cold at times, with no real activity to track during that cold. Very typical for La Nina years, IMO, but the intensity of the cold could be more severe this year. Very hard to get below 0 without snow cover, but this year could prove that it's still possible; or at most, we could have thin layer of crusty icy sleety snow during some of the coldest outbreaks that take us close to 0. Biggest widespread snows in this region may be at the tail end of winter - some of our southerners already got a pretty good storm, so it may be hard to top that.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 17, 2022 22:15:29 GMT -6
kind of what I was thinking too...cold dry, nw flow dominating from time to time, that relaxes occasionally to bring us warmth from the west periodically, but overall clipper track stays to the north, and southern track too far south. Bad for heating bills, no snowcover to reflect sunlight into the windows. It's shaping up to be miserable cold at times, with no real activity to track during that cold. Very typical for La Nina years, IMO, but the intensity of the cold could be more severe this year. Very hard to get below 0 without snow cover, but this year could prove that it's still possible; or at most, we could have thin layer of crusty icy sleety snow during some of the coldest outbreaks that take us close to 0. Biggest widespread snows in this region may be at the tail end of winter - some of our southerners already got a pretty good storm, so it may be hard to top that. SOI continues to tank. This La Niña is on its way out. Southern jet should be in play. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 17, 2022 23:39:48 GMT -6
Thunder snow in Buffalo!
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 18, 2022 10:10:19 GMT -6
hey ya'll Buffalo has snow
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 18, 2022 10:50:36 GMT -6
hey ya'll Buffalo has snow First I’m hearing about this |
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Post by dschreib on Nov 18, 2022 11:19:58 GMT -6
hey ya'll Buffalo has snow First I’m hearing about this Flurries. Nothing major.
Probably going to change over to cold rain soon, because that's what snow does...right?
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 18, 2022 11:30:56 GMT -6
Hamburg NY  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 18, 2022 11:36:59 GMT -6
A report that Reed Timmer is moving around on foot to provide video because vehicles aren't able to move.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 18, 2022 12:37:29 GMT -6
Hamburg NY jesus...that's a lot of snow. Jesus is buried |
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 18, 2022 12:53:19 GMT -6
BUF: 3 NE Boston
Time: 2022-11-18 18:00 UTC
Event: 30.3 SNOW
Source: cocorahs
Remark: storm total so far.
That is Boston, NY which is just southeast of Buffalo.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 18, 2022 12:55:55 GMT -6
BUF: 2 SW Blasdell
Time: 2022-11-18 18:10 UTC
Event: 42 SNOW
Source: trained spotter
Remark: storm total so far. athol springs.
Blasdell is just south of Buffalo.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 18, 2022 13:04:52 GMT -6
Oh, and WTF is the NFL thinking. Moving the Bills/Browns game to Detroit. Come on.
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 18, 2022 13:55:41 GMT -6
As of 200 EST
...Erie County...
2 SW Blasdell 48.0 in 0110 PM 11/18 Trained Spotter
Orchard Park 42.5 in 1230 PM 11/18 Trained Spotter
1 NW Hamburg 37.0 in 1041 AM 11/18 Trained Spotter
Orchard Park 36.0 in 1020 AM 11/18 Public
2 WNW Orchard Park 36.0 in 1100 AM 11/18 Amateur Radio
2 N West Seneca 36.0 in 1100 AM 11/18 Amateur Radio
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Nov 18, 2022 14:17:13 GMT -6
Oh, and WTF is the NFL thinking. Moving the Bills/Browns game to Detroit. Come on. The reason they selected Detroit is because the Bills are scheduled to play they on Thanksgiving day. |
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Post by dschreib on Nov 18, 2022 14:43:22 GMT -6
Oh, and WTF is the NFL thinking. Moving the Bills/Browns game to Detroit. Come on. "Lead blockers, don't forget your shovels!" |
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Post by jmg378s on Nov 18, 2022 15:02:58 GMT -6
NWS is reporting 48" in Blasdell now.
Edit: Ok I see now Coz already posted the report.
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Post by jmg378s on Nov 18, 2022 15:13:05 GMT -6
I'm usually among the first to criticize the NFL for moving/delaying games for snow.
But in fairness, pics of the Bill's stadium are ridiculous. That is a sh!% load of snow. It seems extremely unlikely they could even get remotely playable.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 18, 2022 15:40:20 GMT -6
I'm usually among the first to criticize the NFL for moving/delaying games for snow. But in fairness, pics of the Bill's stadium are ridiculous. That is a sh!% load of snow. It seems extremely unlikely they could even get remotely playable. 54” at 3pm in Orchard Park where the Bills stadium is located No sign of letting up anytime soon |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 18, 2022 16:54:56 GMT -6
a lock to get 5 ft, probably 6. I'd like to see them play in that lol.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 18, 2022 20:22:28 GMT -6
BUF: 2 SW Blasdell
Time: 2022-11-19 01:26 UTC
Event: 65 SNOW
Source: trained spotter
Remark: updated storm total so far. athol springs.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 18, 2022 20:32:06 GMT -6
I'm usually among the first to criticize the NFL for moving/delaying games for snow. But in fairness, pics of the Bill's stadium are ridiculous. That is a sh!% load of snow. It seems extremely unlikely they could even get remotely playable. 54” at 3pm in Orchard Park where the Bills stadium is located No sign of letting up anytime soon Trained spotter reporting 66" at Orchard Park as of 7pm. A well known poster on americanwx.com is reporting 68" at his location as of 9pm. |
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