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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 12, 2024 16:40:57 GMT -6
Euro ensembles showing a major SSW for President’s Day.
This is just in time to matter for us, so hopefully we have a record setting March of snow.
If we don’t, it’ll be baseball season so no big deal.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 12, 2024 16:53:53 GMT -6
My gut says this winter has one good one in it...my intuition says otherwise, lol
A big ol March blizzard would soothe a little.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 12, 2024 17:24:45 GMT -6
I’m not sure if all the models show the snow of the century for a week straight I will buy into it after this winter……. Until I see a full radar and snow coming down will I believe again lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 12, 2024 18:34:55 GMT -6
I’m not sure if all the models show the snow of the century for a week straight I will buy into it after this winter……. Until I see a full radar and snow coming down will I believe again lol What makes this even more interesting, is? The energy was camped out in the southwest u s for several days period. It's not like it was not getting sampled multiple times from the upper air network. And it had several samplings out of the mountains, ao that argument doesn't hold either. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 12, 2024 18:46:02 GMT -6
We’re not the only location where models have pooped the bed with this system
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Post by dschreib on Feb 12, 2024 19:24:54 GMT -6
Facebook friend in Arkansas has snow.
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 12, 2024 19:35:07 GMT -6
Do hope we get one more snow for the season. Even if it’s just a couple of inches.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 12, 2024 22:06:56 GMT -6
We’re not the only location where models have pooped the bed with this system Ouch! |
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150 
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Feb 12, 2024 22:38:06 GMT -6
Do hope we get one more snow for the season. Even if it’s just a couple of inches. No thanks. The only way this winter redeems itself in my mind is if we at least make up for the 12" deficit from our normal seasonal average all in one go. Otherwise, bring on spring. BLIZZARD OF 2024 OR BUST 🙂 I'm tired of 0-2" (and realistically at least for my location it's been 0-1" for anything that wasn't slushy and lasted more than 24 hours on the ground). |
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Post by ndolan387 on Feb 12, 2024 22:39:31 GMT -6
My gut says this winter has one good one in it...my intuition says otherwise, lol A big ol March blizzard would soothe a little. I've been saying Palm Sunday 2.0 (March 24th). Would be the 10 year anniversary this year! |
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Post by chowderhead54 on Feb 12, 2024 22:54:59 GMT -6
My gut says this winter has one good one in it...my intuition says otherwise, lol A big ol March blizzard would soothe a little. I've been saying Palm Sunday 2.0 (March 24th). Would be the 10 year anniversary this year! Don't look now but icon, ukie, and GEM want to bring us something Friday aftn...into night. Not big but 1-3..maybe 4. First real runs showing this with arrival of Cold Air for the Weekend.. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 13, 2024 5:27:55 GMT -6
After seeing a post about "changing forecast" for NYC I looked at their forecast last night. Mix of rain/snow, little accumulation. This morning, WSW issued expecting 5-9" now. What dreams are made of. 😁 I can’t remember the last time we had a forecast go from 1 to 3 inches to a 5 to 9 winter storm warning…… Snow hates us for some reason lol You can't?  It's happened in 2022!!!!!!!!!! November to be exact. The forecast was for Flurries or nothing within 6-8 hours of the event. We ended up with 6-8" November 12th 2022. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2024 5:46:00 GMT -6
I've been saying Palm Sunday 2.0 (March 24th). Would be the 10 year anniversary this year! Don't look now but icon, ukie, and GEM want to bring us something Friday aftn...into night. Not big but 1-3..maybe 4. First real runs showing this with arrival of Cold Air for the Weekend.. The UKIE had been showing that, but I had to quit looking at the models after yesterday's debacle, lol. It looked good for a moderate Fgen band to develop along the arctic boundary. Sounds like some other models are picking up on the potential. |
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Post by yypc on Feb 13, 2024 6:20:00 GMT -6
Relentless heat in February. Can only muster 1 below avg day until the 60s return
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 13, 2024 7:37:50 GMT -6
Just some slight differences between the gfs and euro for Friday 😂
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bfsmith81
Wishcaster
Edwardsville, IL
Posts: 150
Snowfall Events: Winter of 2023-2024:
01/05/24-1/06/24: 2.5" (Melted almost immediately)
01/12/24-1/13/24: 0.25"
01/15/24: 0.75"
01/18/24-01/19/24: 0.5"
02/16/24: 4.25"
Winter of 2023-2024 Total So Far: 8.25"
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Post by bfsmith81 on Feb 13, 2024 11:08:53 GMT -6
I can’t remember the last time we had a forecast go from 1 to 3 inches to a 5 to 9 winter storm warning…… Snow hates us for some reason lol You can't? It's happened in 2022!!!!!!!!!! November to be exact. The forecast was for Flurries or nothing within 6-8 hours of the event. We ended up with 6-8" November 12th 2022. I remember! It was a narrow but extremely intense band. Craziest part was it was near 70 degrees on the 10th.  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Feb 13, 2024 11:11:21 GMT -6
Relentless heat in February. Can only muster 1 below avg day until the 60s return Looks like the month will go with a bang in terms of 'heat' with 60-70s during the last 3-4 days of February and first 2 days in March, then it looks like things shift more in favor of a colder pattern. Nothing historic, but cold enough for some chances of snow and with greater instability and moisture there's a chance that somewhere could get a big dumping or 2 especially the first full week of March and perhaps around St. Patrick's Day. Then we warm up until the Eclipse 4/8/2024 before we get our last 'cold' shot of the season lasting about a week before we kick into an active warm spring pattern. Starting to hone in on Late April into early June for our best shots of Severe Weather and if El Nino does indeed collapse and start shifting into La Nina it could get gnarly. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 13, 2024 11:53:13 GMT -6
Late April to early June for the best chance of severe weather. So literally like every year. Every. Year.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2024 12:30:01 GMT -6
Just some slight differences between the gfs and euro for Friday 😂 A blend of the 12z GFS and EC paints a pretty snowy picture for much of the region Friday. Can't wait to see how that goes wrong... |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 13, 2024 13:11:09 GMT -6
You can't? It's happened in 2022!!!!!!!!!! November to be exact. The forecast was for Flurries or nothing within 6-8 hours of the event. We ended up with 6-8" November 12th 2022. I remember! It was a narrow but extremely intense band. Craziest part was it was near 70 degrees on the 10th. That was awesome. The map is definitely off a bit though. I measured an even 6” at the deer stand in Ste. Gen. Had right at 3” in Perryville. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 13, 2024 13:26:36 GMT -6
I agree that was an awesome surprise but it was gone in like a day lol hardly a WSW like I was referring to lol thank goodness for that surprise or we would really be in a snow drought
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Feb 13, 2024 13:28:38 GMT -6
Just some slight differences between the gfs and euro for Friday 😂 A blend of the 12z GFS and EC paints a pretty snowy picture for much of the region Friday. Can't wait to see how that goes wrong... I'm sure it will miss us to the north, south, east, or west. |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 13, 2024 14:49:29 GMT -6
So now that the ECMWF is showing snow for Friday we can start figuring out how we're going to get screwed. It's been awhile since we've had to worry about dry air. We should put that on our bingo card.
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Post by RyanD on Feb 13, 2024 15:39:55 GMT -6
most of the models agree on a light snow on Friday. 18z ICON however would be quite nice dropping 4-6" throughout the entire area.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 13, 2024 15:54:24 GMT -6
most of the models agree on a light snow on Friday. 18z ICON however would be quite nice dropping 4-6" throughout the entire area. The ICON was thr worst with yesterday's storm... by far! |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 13, 2024 16:09:24 GMT -6
18z gfs keeps inching south for Friday, getting closer to us. I can smell the disappointment, it's almost there, it's in the air.
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Post by RyanD on Feb 13, 2024 16:21:57 GMT -6
most of the models agree on a light snow on Friday. 18z ICON however would be quite nice dropping 4-6" throughout the entire area. The ICON was thr worst with yesterday's storm... by far! I know! It was consistent but BAD!! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2024 16:35:57 GMT -6
The ICON reminds me of the old GEM that was always over-amped with a major cold bias.
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Post by chowderhead54 on Feb 13, 2024 17:43:30 GMT -6
The ICON reminds me of the old GEM that was always over-amped with a major cold bias. Come on everyone The Germans want to throw us a bone..lol they know how starved we are..hey I'm in Waterloo and part German big German population here..I'll keep hope alive...well if it fails I'll just head over to the Stubborn German in town and drown my Winter sorrows.. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 13, 2024 18:09:43 GMT -6
The ICON reminds me of the old GEM that was always over-amped with a major cold bias. Come on everyone The Germans want to throw us a bone..lol they know how starved we are..hey I'm in Waterloo and part German big German population here..I'll keep hope alive...well if it fails I'll just head over to the Stubborn German in town and drown my Winter sorrows.. I always get my meat processed down that way(usually Trenton), the Germans know their sausage, lol |
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