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Post by ajd446 on May 4, 2024 15:12:35 GMT -6
I'm suprised we don't have a flood advisory in the st.peters, st.charles area
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Post by Jeffmw on May 4, 2024 15:31:34 GMT -6
I like these type of storms.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 4, 2024 16:38:09 GMT -6
Heavy rain. Husband said 50 from Fairview Heights to OFallon is flooding. Creek behind our house is up.
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 4, 2024 16:50:04 GMT -6
1.77 inches today
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on May 4, 2024 17:05:55 GMT -6
Over 2" in Arnold so far today.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2024 17:20:11 GMT -6
Over 2" in Arnold so far today. Yep just measured 2.1” My yard has turned into a swamp marsh |
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Post by jeepers on May 4, 2024 17:30:34 GMT -6
Mowing every 3 days. Today was tough. I don’t handle heat well. Ugh. That stinks. *hug* |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on May 4, 2024 17:39:05 GMT -6
I was at a retirement party in Legacy Park in Cottleville, talking to a 97 year old math professor emeritus from semo university while heavy rain and pings of hail were coming down. His son was retiring from the IT field but it was remarkable that while i was getting worn out standing there, and a little freaked out about the close lightning strikes, he remained unphased, and he was practically giving me advice on how to design databases and the latest computer architectural direction with managing data. 97 years old, about to turn 98 in a few days, still lives on his own, drives every where, and apparently keeps up with the buzz in computer technology in his retirement years. He was a colleague of my dads in the 1960s and 1970s in the math dept. I asked him about some of the other math professors from that era. His answer, "all but 3 are dead, but one of them is in a nursing home". Classic.
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Post by REB on May 4, 2024 17:46:10 GMT -6
Wow. Not quite an inch here |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 4, 2024 17:59:39 GMT -6
Wow. Not quite an inch here The rate was about 5 inches an hour for a short period. We were in church, I got soaked pulling cars up to the door for the old folks |
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 387 
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Post by twocat on May 4, 2024 18:43:45 GMT -6
Two posts in one day! The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete got wet. He reports 1.3" for today.
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Post by tedrick65 on May 4, 2024 18:47:32 GMT -6
Somehow...only 0.09" in my part of High Ridge. It all kind of split and went around me. Pretty good evidence of much heavier north south and east of me.
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Post by Jeffmw on May 4, 2024 19:19:06 GMT -6
You know it’s almost Summer when there is still some daylight at 8pm
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on May 4, 2024 22:54:28 GMT -6
Heavy rain. Husband said 50 from Fairview Heights to OFallon is flooding. Creek behind our house is up. We were stuck at the Sports park during the storm, huddled up under a pavilion. It was raining sideways! |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 5, 2024 9:56:37 GMT -6
Heavy rain. Husband said 50 from Fairview Heights to OFallon is flooding. Creek behind our house is up. We were stuck at the Sports park during the storm, huddled up under a pavilion. It was raining sideways! I live a couple blocks away from the sports park. Yeah, it was coming down like gangbusters. That park is going to be absolute mush today. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 5, 2024 11:06:48 GMT -6
 Hard and fast. 2.08 total last night |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 5, 2024 15:09:00 GMT -6
Tuesdays severe threat is looking confined to a morning MCS from that stuff that fires on the plains Monday night. Could see some minimal severe from that. The threat Wednesday is looking much higher with the warm front lifting back north and storms firing in the afternoon. NAM has been showing a high end environment Wednesday afternoon for a couple runs now.   |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 5, 2024 20:25:15 GMT -6
Wednesday is looking like a near-ideal setup for discrete supercells which could very well be tornadic. The weak height falls and WSW mid-level flow with backed surface winds within the larko's triangle region is a concerning setup for the Metro.
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Post by jmg378s on May 5, 2024 20:51:33 GMT -6
It's the NAM being the NAM, but it looks absolutely diabolical Wednesday.
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Post by jmg378s on May 5, 2024 20:58:18 GMT -6
Tuesday morning is looking somewhat concerning too. HRRR holding on to 1500 j/kg of MLCAPE with 300 m2/s2 1km SRH as the QLCS approaches.
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Post by let it snow11 on May 5, 2024 21:46:24 GMT -6
Nice soaker down here tonight.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 6, 2024 4:05:18 GMT -6
The moderate risk in central OK and southern KS wording has two sentences that stand out to me...
"This is a high-end environment. An upgrade to a tornado-driven High
Risk was considered. There remains some lingering uncertainty with
regard to the number of intense tornadoes that will occur."
If that doesn't get your attention, I don't know what will.
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Post by jmg378s on May 6, 2024 6:28:21 GMT -6
Per meso discussion a portion of that outlook IS being upgraded to high risk.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 6, 2024 7:01:02 GMT -6
Per meso discussion a portion of that outlook IS being upgraded to high risk. It was been issued, significant tornadoes expected. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2024 7:04:19 GMT -6
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Post by ajd446 on May 6, 2024 7:05:22 GMT -6
appears Slight risk has moved into the western metro now as well. While not a major threat in the metro, tomorrow morning could be a little nasty as well in our area.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 6, 2024 7:07:52 GMT -6
Ya very concerning indeed.
Some of the data that these models are spitting out is mind blowing.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 6, 2024 9:30:06 GMT -6
Scary for folks in Central Oklahoma and South Central Kansas
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 6, 2024 9:34:22 GMT -6
And Wednesday into Thursday is concerning for us.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2024 10:15:39 GMT -6
Latest outlook from the SPC for today states “multiple intense, long track tornados expected” across the southern plains
That’s the most ominous wording you will hear them use
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