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Post by tedrick65 on Jun 28, 2024 22:17:32 GMT -6
I'm in Osage Beach this weekend. Lots of lightning in the western sky even though the line is still 60+ miles off.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 28, 2024 23:19:02 GMT -6
I'll be honest, some of the latest trends have me questioning if any significant rain will make it into the metro. Coverage may end up being much more spotty and much less widespread... which is a big change compared to what was being portrayed 24 hours ago. The fact that 700mb temperatures are in the 13-14 range is not encouraging either. That's very warm and may be tough the break through. Yeah, that's far from ideal...also noticed that there's mid-level height rises forecast despite the shortwaves trickling though. May be be tough to sustain deep convection. A lot will hinge on how organized those storms to the W/Nw get and if they send an outflow ahead of it to get storms going before instability wanes. It's warm and humid out right now but those storms have a long way to go. Well that stinks. Our troubles getting decent rain in here continues |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 28, 2024 23:33:10 GMT -6
Name out of the past for long time Cardinals fans
Rest in peace Orlando Cepeda dead at age 86
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2024 4:42:57 GMT -6
I'll be honest, some of the latest trends have me questioning if any significant rain will make it into the metro. Coverage may end up being much more spotty and much less widespread... which is a big change compared to what was being portrayed 24 hours ago. The fact that 700mb temperatures are in the 13-14 range is not encouraging either. That's very warm and may be tough the break through. Well you were certainly on target with your skepticism, Chris. 5 minutes of light rain about 4 AM seems to be the extent of my precipitation. And it looked so promising. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 6:19:32 GMT -6
0.01" of "heavy rain" so far..."not great"
Upstream radar looks somewhat encouraging though with widespread storm development across NW MO...models have it getting very CAPE-y today ahead of the front.
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Post by sgdragons on Jun 29, 2024 6:41:24 GMT -6
Is there a map that consolidates years of drought maps to see which areas in Missouri have spent “x” amount of time in “drought” conditions. I’m sure there would be a way to overlay for severity?
Seems certain areas of our state have traditionally been hit harder than others, but would be interesting to look at along with a topographical overlay.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Jun 29, 2024 7:30:53 GMT -6
The Davis on the roof in North St. Pete is sorely disappointed to report 0.0 I noticed the sidewalk was damp, but that's it. More please.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2024 8:43:20 GMT -6
There's hope. A number of thundershowers have developed. But there's a gap right along I-70 that I'll probably slide through and get skunked again.
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Post by dschreib on Jun 29, 2024 8:55:15 GMT -6
I’d be ok if the northern and central areas got some rain and the southern flank dried up today. Pool day with friends planned this afternoon/evening. We had ours earlier this week.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 9:35:37 GMT -6
TWO hundredths!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2024 9:40:04 GMT -6
LOL! Sad, but more than us so far. I heard thunder but no raindrops. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 29, 2024 9:41:29 GMT -6
Im going to mow... that way it's sure to start raining here.
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Post by REB on Jun 29, 2024 10:15:44 GMT -6
Im going to mow... that way it's sure to start raining here. Please do |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 10:30:57 GMT -6
Finally got one to line up decent for MBY...
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Post by amstilost on Jun 29, 2024 10:45:34 GMT -6
Im going to mow... that way it's sure to start raining here. I've had about a hundred raindrops today, that is, until I started the barbecue for a big family get together at the house. So there's a second way to guarantee rain.😁 |
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 29, 2024 11:05:42 GMT -6
Got about a quarter inch just south of 70 in st.peters.
This afternoon could get a few decent cells with rapid destabilization
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jun 29, 2024 11:09:08 GMT -6
Im going to mow... that way it's sure to start raining here. Please do It sprinkled a few times, but the mowing is done. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 11:43:27 GMT -6
Cold front is still up near IRK...plenty of time for the juice to let loose and there's ample clearing across much of the region. Shear is relatively weak but at ~25kts that will allow for multi-cell clusters to develop with a marginal severe risk. These will likely be very hit or miss with only subtle large-scale ascent. But they could pack a punch in a few spots.
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Post by let it snow11 on Jun 29, 2024 13:49:42 GMT -6
A change of fortunes, I've received plenty of rain this week IMBY. I had 2.75 inches in my guage over the course of the past 4 days or so. Pond is full and grass is green.
Hopefully those of you that need it can get some.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 29, 2024 14:51:04 GMT -6
We now have Hurricane Beryl in the Atlantic Forecasted to become a major hurricane when it strikes the windward islands in a couple days. It looks like after that it will weaken and head west into Mexico  |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Jun 29, 2024 17:03:12 GMT -6
I turned on on the sprinkler, so now it’ll rain...lol Im going to mow... that way it's sure to start raining here. |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Jun 29, 2024 17:09:22 GMT -6
I passed a lot of Electric Utility trucks this morning on I57/I24, on the way back from the farm in S Illinois. They were headed southbound and must have been 30-40 trucks total running in groups. We now have Hurricane Beryl in the Atlantic Forecasted to become a major hurricane when it strikes the windward islands in a couple days. It looks like after that it will weaken and head west into Mexico |
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 29, 2024 18:23:08 GMT -6
Got a quick half inch in st.peters under that thundershower. I will take it
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 18:54:45 GMT -6
Looking like a nothing burger with the cold front around here. I guess I should be happy with the tenth today since that doubles what we've had in the past 3 weeks or more *shrug*
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 29, 2024 18:57:37 GMT -6
I got a rock.
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Post by amstilost on Jun 29, 2024 19:56:29 GMT -6
The few rain drops that postponed the starting of the barbecue was all that fell along with the earlier 100 drops. Feeling 'shafted' over the last 24 hours 7 miles west of De Soto.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 29, 2024 20:19:09 GMT -6
Big plans for the 4th. We'll get it then
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Post by tedrick65 on Jun 29, 2024 20:54:35 GMT -6
Staying at the SE corner of the Grand Glaize bridge. Obviously don't have any measurements but I would estimate a crapload of rain earlier and it is starting in again. Gotta love Missouri.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 29, 2024 21:06:07 GMT -6
Big plans for the 4th. We'll get it then I haven't really looked at the 4th much but I saw a PWAT forecast posted that showed a corridor of 2"+ values along 70...looked like a heavy rainfall setup. I'm sure it'll turn to light showers by Tuesday, lol. |
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Post by birddog on Jun 30, 2024 5:21:54 GMT -6
After a soggy May, June has been dry.
1.96" for the month IMBY
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