Post by Dkoellerwx on Jan 21, 2014 0:58:06 GMT -6
A classic post for everyone to always remember! It is more accurate than even our best forecasts 
and it happens EVERY time.
==================================================
For the newbies: This was posted a long time ago, and it has been recycled several times, but it bears repeating - read with caution, it is a cycle that repeats itself each storm cycle, without fail. It applies to every time there is a possibility of a "significant" snow fall in the Midwest:
1. Someone notices the possibility of a potent storm moving thru the area in 7-10 days.
2. 3-4 days are spent pointing out that off-hour runs are stupid and useless and throwing out any model that doesn't appear to confirm accumulating snow along the I-70 and I-44 corridor.
3. 2-3 days are spent trying to determine what the heck the I-44 and I-70 corridor actually means.
4. During the same period, every registered user askes the handful of posters who actually understand the models how much snow will fall at their nearest cross-street - and they ask 6-10 times after each model run.
5. System will be compared to every big snow event in the last 28 years (I don't think anyone every compares to an event before THE BLIZZARD OF '82 (note all caps)).
6. As the system approaches, people who may (or may not) know what they are talking about post accumulation maps.
7. Each registered user bemoans the fact that the system is missing them by 50 miles.
8. System actually comes on shore, completely throwing all models into chaos. (This is also when terms like "nowcasting" begin to be used and "discos" from other NWS offices begin to show up regularly.)
9. Users again frantically try to determine how much will fall at their cross street.
10. System hits Texas and Oklahoma. Every user gives up hope of seeing any snow at all (24 hours earlier, the models indicated 6-8 inches at their cross-street.)
11. Users try not to use off-color language to indicate their frustration with not getting any snow at all.
12. 95% of users watch in horror as 5% of users begin to post photos of snow actually falling on one of the requested cross-streets. (Does any of the other old timers miss the pictures of Rosie's feet??)
13. System pjazzes to the North/South/East/West and bombs out on someone else. Postings cease. Newbies are addicted......
14. New system shows up - See #1.
Ya' Gotta Love It!!!
and it happens EVERY time.==================================================
For the newbies: This was posted a long time ago, and it has been recycled several times, but it bears repeating - read with caution, it is a cycle that repeats itself each storm cycle, without fail. It applies to every time there is a possibility of a "significant" snow fall in the Midwest:
1. Someone notices the possibility of a potent storm moving thru the area in 7-10 days.
2. 3-4 days are spent pointing out that off-hour runs are stupid and useless and throwing out any model that doesn't appear to confirm accumulating snow along the I-70 and I-44 corridor.
3. 2-3 days are spent trying to determine what the heck the I-44 and I-70 corridor actually means.
4. During the same period, every registered user askes the handful of posters who actually understand the models how much snow will fall at their nearest cross-street - and they ask 6-10 times after each model run.
5. System will be compared to every big snow event in the last 28 years (I don't think anyone every compares to an event before THE BLIZZARD OF '82 (note all caps)).
6. As the system approaches, people who may (or may not) know what they are talking about post accumulation maps.
7. Each registered user bemoans the fact that the system is missing them by 50 miles.
8. System actually comes on shore, completely throwing all models into chaos. (This is also when terms like "nowcasting" begin to be used and "discos" from other NWS offices begin to show up regularly.)
9. Users again frantically try to determine how much will fall at their cross street.
10. System hits Texas and Oklahoma. Every user gives up hope of seeing any snow at all (24 hours earlier, the models indicated 6-8 inches at their cross-street.)
11. Users try not to use off-color language to indicate their frustration with not getting any snow at all.
12. 95% of users watch in horror as 5% of users begin to post photos of snow actually falling on one of the requested cross-streets. (Does any of the other old timers miss the pictures of Rosie's feet??)
13. System pjazzes to the North/South/East/West and bombs out on someone else. Postings cease. Newbies are addicted......
14. New system shows up - See #1.
Ya' Gotta Love It!!!
