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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 6, 2020 23:27:20 GMT -6
How far does it have the front getting? The front gets to KC then evaporates. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 6, 2020 22:07:36 GMT -6
Welp. There it goes. Won't even see Td's below 70 this week. Disgusting.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 6, 2020 17:14:36 GMT -6
amazing. no bermuda high in place at all... just on a count of the jet leaving the upper-low behind. this would be a heart breaker in Nov/Dec.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 6, 2020 17:13:36 GMT -6
lmao.
bye front.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 6, 2020 10:20:08 GMT -6
GFS/Nam slowing down the low, closing it off earlier... bigger snows for denver... longer warmth for us.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 5, 2020 18:05:54 GMT -6
101* as of last hour.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 3, 2020 20:12:17 GMT -6
Denver goes from 100 Sunday to 35 Monday night. Incredible. I will be here to witness and take photos for you guys!  You should find a good spot to do a before and after... and if you can, take temperature measurements and include them in the photos... would make for a really cool social media post on twitter/facebook. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 3, 2020 20:11:27 GMT -6
very few sprinkles when I took the dog out. Thank god the humidity will be gone soon. It was pretty spectacular in central MO this evening. Pretty much felt the Td dropping steadily in the hour or two I was outside after work. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 3, 2020 10:37:59 GMT -6
12z GFS holds the course.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 2, 2020 14:08:30 GMT -6
Euro continues with the front's disappearing act next week... looks... bizarre. Instead of progressing further south the high just continues to ripple east.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 2, 2020 10:41:38 GMT -6
some pretty wicked sfc-500 tilt on the GEM... This is certainly the type of setup that could call for a rapidly intensifying MLC i.imgur.com/0xz5Ine.png |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 2, 2020 10:38:06 GMT -6
The spread in the temps next week on the euro ensembles is huge  GFS/GEFS remain on course... with some consistency. EURO fwiw seems to have been playing catch up this entire time, and the EPS spread doesn't give me as much confidence that this particular solution is being handled well. GEM on board too, but seems to be slowing down a bit, allowing for some more robust cyclogenesis... FROPA not til 12z WED. Could end up being a wicked QLCS if that plays out. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 1, 2020 14:10:01 GMT -6
1030dm high on the GFS/GEM/EURO next week. Euro pushes 1040 across the front range of the rockies.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 1, 2020 10:33:55 GMT -6
holy cats that GFS run would be so beautiful if it were 2.5 months from now.
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 31, 2020 11:07:40 GMT -6
what a piss poor job from the CAMs.
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 31, 2020 6:52:11 GMT -6
Storms is western MO gonna make it here? doubtful... once they get a bit more organized and the cold pool takes over they should start diving south... looks like once it links of with the Oklahoma wave it should all start translating that direction... that would be later tonight into Tuesday morning. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 29, 2020 15:46:35 GMT -6
GEM is aggressive with the front ~8th as well. Classic "arctic" look to it.
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 28, 2020 20:12:15 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 27, 2020 22:50:38 GMT -6
00z GFS showing a major PV intrusion for early September. Widespread morning lows 30s/40s week of labor day.
It's been hinting at a longwave pattern shift, but this is the strongest signal I've seen
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 27, 2020 10:13:35 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 27, 2020 8:45:02 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 27, 2020 8:08:39 GMT -6
It could have been the forward speed of this thing that really proved to be the savior... too fast to do anything but wind damage...
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 26, 2020 20:52:39 GMT -6
Euro has been dethroned
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 26, 2020 18:10:00 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 26, 2020 16:51:37 GMT -6
Here's my contribution to the public today. What an unreal storm.
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 26, 2020 9:24:11 GMT -6
HWRF model deserves a round of applause. It was all over the intensity of this thing for days IIRC it was one of the few that handled the rapid intensification of Hanna to a C1 just before landfall. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 26, 2020 9:15:17 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 25, 2020 22:34:28 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 25, 2020 11:46:15 GMT -6
convective cloud tops also being circulated now too. Eye starting to develop it seems on vis. i.imgur.com/EOhyNLo.png |
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Post by unclesam6 on Aug 25, 2020 11:42:28 GMT -6
low level circulation reaallly starting to wrap up under the explosive convection.
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