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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 20:12:28 GMT -6
NAM continues to show the warm front draping itself over 70 tomorrow and storms riding along the boundary
That would be about the worst case scenario
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 19:25:52 GMT -6
Hello, do we have an updated timeline out yet for the Metro area. Deciding on weather to start work at the office and then WFH before it gets bad? Is this a 2 wave event? Here is the latest information package from the NWS that includes timing info www.weather.gov/media/lsx/DssPacket.pdf
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 16:44:29 GMT -6
Mean storms rolling off the southern tip of Lake Michigan. They may end up producing more than in the southern plains yesterday. A couple of PDS tornado warnings just issued. Tornado Emergency was issued a short time ago as well. First one ever in Michigan
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 11:04:30 GMT -6
Preliminary report of an EF-1 in Sullivan this morning and EF-0 near Defiance
Still waiting on official word from the NWS
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2024 0:20:13 GMT -6
The SPC added a 10% hatched for the area Wednesday
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2024 20:30:01 GMT -6
Looks like messy storm mode lowered the ceiling with today's setup. Wednesday's setup continues to look ominous around here...models have the warm front very close to the Metro. NAM continues to look insane around here Wednesday afternoon.
I know its the NAM, but its been consistent for several runs now
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2024 10:15:39 GMT -6
Latest outlook from the SPC for today states “multiple intense, long track tornados expected” across the southern plains
That’s the most ominous wording you will hear them use
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2024 7:04:19 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 5, 2024 15:09:00 GMT -6
Tuesdays severe threat is looking confined to a morning MCS from that stuff that fires on the plains Monday night. Could see some minimal severe from that. The threat Wednesday is looking much higher with the warm front lifting back north and storms firing in the afternoon. NAM has been showing a high end environment Wednesday afternoon for a couple runs now.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2024 17:20:11 GMT -6
Over 2" in Arnold so far today. Yep just measured 2.1” My yard has turned into a swamp marsh
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2024 13:32:37 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2024 12:45:06 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 4, 2024 7:53:37 GMT -6
The SPC has the area in 15% risks for Tuesday and Wednesday next week. CSU is going wild next week. Looking like one heck of a stretch of severe weather.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 3, 2024 15:49:35 GMT -6
This is just becoming normal this spring Every supercell seems to be able to spin up monster tornadoes
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 3, 2024 11:33:19 GMT -6
Ended up with 1.72” of rain here last night
Grass was only cut a few days ago and looks like it’s already overdue for a cut
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 1, 2024 19:08:32 GMT -6
That was an unreal shelf cloud that just passed
I’ll try to upload pics later
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 30, 2024 21:26:02 GMT -6
And now there is an anti cyclonic tornado with a very clear debris ball
What is going on
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 30, 2024 21:23:25 GMT -6
Dang, the current confirmed tornado warning in southern OK couplet and debris signature was moving slightly east, then turned around and went back NW. I sure hope no chasers were trying to come up on it from the back. That was one of the strongest couplets I’ve seen on radar. At one point it had a very clear vortex hole, almost like a hurricane eye on reflectivity.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 30, 2024 19:04:20 GMT -6
Speaking of severe weather, early next week looks primed around here.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 30, 2024 18:31:15 GMT -6
Another wild day on the plains...wow Today was a pretty low-key setup but it's sure producing some serious weather. Today was a bit of a sleeper setup. Looks like a few tornadoes in Kansas so far and some amazing storm structure in Oklahoma.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 29, 2024 13:57:23 GMT -6
1.3” of rain overnight here
Looks like the Marietta, Oklahoma tornado was just rated an EF-4
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 28, 2024 19:44:21 GMT -6
Looks like a tornado just touched down south of Springfield MO
We’re going to have to keep an eye out tonight for spin up’s
Some decent low level helicity will exist
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 28, 2024 9:30:57 GMT -6
Ya, the severe threat is low but certainly not zero later today. The 3km NAM is showing an environment ahead of a line of storms capable of some spin ups.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 28, 2024 7:43:06 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 27, 2024 21:30:06 GMT -6
As soon as the sun went down all hell broke loose in Oklahoma
Sometimes all it takes is a ramp up in the LLJ to kick things off
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 27, 2024 20:42:15 GMT -6
Surprised they issued a tornado watch into the metro
Storms will likely struggle to get this far east
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 27, 2024 18:14:00 GMT -6
Looking like an underperformer in the southern plains so far. Capping + messy storm mode + some dry air issues seem to be keeping things in check so far
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 27, 2024 9:52:27 GMT -6
100 preliminary tornado reports yesterday and not a single fatality is remarkable. A testament to the advanced warning the SPC gave and great job by the individual NWS offices.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 26, 2024 15:27:30 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 26, 2024 15:11:15 GMT -6
Unreal what’s going on in Nebraska right now
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