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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 9:29:35 GMT -6
Metro is in a solid spot for sure. Lets see the 00z tonight trends thats when it will be sampled fully
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 8:53:15 GMT -6
Good moderate showers off and on all morning in st.peters
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 8:30:54 GMT -6
Also relax yall, hi res is 3 to 6 for eastern mo
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 8:27:26 GMT -6
That is a solid 3 to 6 inch run for the metro on the nam. Yes central mo would not be happy
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 8:18:44 GMT -6
Nam looks amazing for the metro meaning st.charles and st.louis counties. This is a good run for the metro
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 7:06:18 GMT -6
Sleet rain mix, temp 34 in st.peters
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 6:42:26 GMT -6
Personally I feel like models will shift east at least 20 to 40 miles last minute.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 13, 2022 6:39:27 GMT -6
I agree River points west looks great, illinois side definately needs to worry bout dry air. I still feel 2 to 4 area wide looks good however
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 20:43:33 GMT -6
nams 4 to 8 west of river and 2 to 5 east, with somwthing special in the bootheel.
Wonder if a winter storm watch will be issued tomorrow
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 20:32:19 GMT -6
NAM is Beautiful
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 16:05:22 GMT -6
Yes I think the focus should be on the WAA Snow, but that is a solid run area wide
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:27:36 GMT -6
I would go 1 to 3 with locally higher amounts possible.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:21:20 GMT -6
RDPS is so close, and looks like if it kept going it could get the metro, in addition it has 3 to 7 along and west of the mississippi
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 15:04:22 GMT -6
Nws, has snow likely sat now, with 2 to 3 inches, after 1 to 3 friday night in the st.charles county forecast. Wondering if they are thinking there is a northerly trend as that seems pretty agressive this early in the game.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 14:42:52 GMT -6
Nam is noticeble north, couple more model runs and the metro could be in business
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 14:39:36 GMT -6
The nam is trying. Just not there yet.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 12:01:40 GMT -6
GEM is heading in the right direction for us
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 11:44:43 GMT -6
rdps drops a respectable snow on st.louis as well from waa
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 11:41:46 GMT -6
rgem looks like it wants to wrap up
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 10:23:20 GMT -6
the warm air advection will be a good hit though, as well as the gefs looks great to me.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 10:19:19 GMT -6
The end of the 51 hour rap is way north, however it is out of its reliability window
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 10:06:04 GMT -6
yep 31 inches in cape lol
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 10:02:58 GMT -6
all we need is a 50 mile shift north on the gfs and we are golden in the metro. northern shift is doable in my opinion
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 9:29:26 GMT -6
we definitely have a solid shot at a few inches, as far as big numbers we have to see if it gets squashed or not. very odd pattern for sure
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 8:41:16 GMT -6
Nam looks too far south in my opinion
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 8:13:03 GMT -6
Yes Chris Has done great allowing us here. Thats not the point I learn a ton and thats why I love this place.
You dont see me.posting maps either Nor will I ever.
Lets move on and.enjoy this storm.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 8:01:31 GMT -6
I understand, I dont take it personally I am hoping to be brutalized because we get burried this weekend because in the end that is what we all want.
I would rather be wrong and get dumped on because that is what we all want.
I love snow more than anyone on this board I bet, i just sometimes get in a slump and say screw it its never going to snow and lock that in, then once I am.proven wrong we are all happy because it actually snowed.
I know its a wierd way of thinking but thats how my mind is.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 7:55:49 GMT -6
So the metro is finally in a good spot for a change. With the northward adjustment each run its possible the metro ends up in the bulls eye, or it.keeps going and becomes a columbia storm lol.
All seriousness though great trends
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 7:24:07 GMT -6
Show time, this keeps up metro will be in double digits today lol. I like 1 to 4 in my opinion at this stage area wide
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 12, 2022 5:34:56 GMT -6
06z gfs is even better for the metro. 6 inch band getting in the the southern metro
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