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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 3, 2019 14:03:36 GMT -6
Please tell me you got up and caught that limit early..... I'm a trout fisherman myself, and now an envious one... have fun!! Thanks. Of course I’m a die hard!! Can’t keep them off the line. They released 1300 and nobody is here and got scared and left last night. Got the stream to myself although I can’t feel my hands. This is great!! Got about 1.5” - 2” of snow but it is melting now with the sun. I started a new job a few weeks ago and i couldn't risk getting stuck so i stayed home. Rest of the group left yesterday. Really wish i could have been there
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 26, 2019 19:36:50 GMT -6
What's the weekend looking like South of rolla around licking? Debating my Montauk trip at this point.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 23, 2019 14:43:42 GMT -6
Euro is a little later with the cold, but it gets there. Snow north west and south of here. All is right with the world. It gives Montauk a coating for opening weekend. I’d be happy with that. Always nice to fish in the snow. Let's meet up. I'll be down Friday after work
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 18, 2019 8:06:39 GMT -6
Most models are bring the 60F dewpoints into the southern part of the area next weekend. Severe weather may end up being a concern, perhaps even a significant concern, with that storm. Let's hope things don't get too unstable because shear, right down to the lowest levels even, is very abundant. SPC has a day 6 polygon posted. Chris, don't you have a 60 degree dp in Winter rule?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 11, 2019 21:09:39 GMT -6
Getting caught up on things after hunting snows all weekend in S IL(Jonesboro). They had a touch of ice down there yesterday but roads were fine. Anyway, I get the feeling tomorrow's event might be sneaky...it kind of has the look of those "surprise" systems that drop a narrow band of snow left of the vort max track. The NAM is trying to drop 1-2" along 44/70 and I think that's possible. It's going to have to snow hard to accumulate though. There's also some good low/mid-level CAA on the backside of the upper low which could cause some SNSH/flurry activity along/N of 70 tomorrow afternoon...especially in IL. Looking towards this weekend, the SE ridge gets squashed and we get into sort of a "slipstream" pattern with a pretty steady feed of shortwaves. That pattern typically favors light/moderate snowfalls roughly between I-70 and I-80. The system for Friday/Saturday isn't our classic setup for snowfall but there's potential. Upstairs, the EC and GFS are much different but both produce snowfall here which is a good sign, IMO. Looking out there towards next week, models are starting to get that overrunning look again with a very cold airmass oozing underneath SW flow aloft. Right now it looks like snow would be the predominant Ptype but I'm concerned about ice potential...but obviously that's way out there. So... question is, did you do any good? My buddy hunted at Kennett this past weekend and all they got was 1! He is trying to decide if he wants to go back next weekend or not. Been hearing it's a lot of adults and crappy weather. World championship in stuttgart wasn't that impressive from what I've seen. Looking to go president's day if we get good goose weather.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 9, 2019 11:55:52 GMT -6
President's day. I'm starting a new job that day so book a storm.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 30, 2019 16:06:21 GMT -6
Salt shaker snow in Belleville
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 26, 2019 20:00:28 GMT -6
From disco The combination of bitter cold ambient air temperatures and wind will yield dangerously cold wind chill values of 15 to 30 below zero periodically Tuesday night into Thursday morning across the northern half of the CWA, basically I-70 northward. Also, the forecast for st louis on south is really nothing special. Today is a good example of the gradient issues we will face.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 20, 2019 22:47:29 GMT -6
Cleared out nicely in time for totality. Took a couple pics before it reach full totality. Will take a couple more @ 11:12 which is when it's at max eclipse. How quick it cleared out almost reminds me of the 2017 Solar Eclipse when it was partly cloudy with clouds blocking the sun, then everything just got crystal clear as totality arrived. Perfect window when i went outside
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 20, 2019 22:16:44 GMT -6
I gouged my own eyes out so I won't have to watch the SB. Someone will need to describe the eclipse to me. Its like the moon is there man, and then it isnt...and then it's back man. Crazy It's like someone took a bite out of it, man.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 20, 2019 22:10:03 GMT -6
Pretty thick clouds here. Seeing that over the snow would be pretty awesome. That's what i thought looking through the window, but it is visible through the clouds here
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 20, 2019 22:04:43 GMT -6
The eclipse is visible in West Belleville.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 20, 2019 21:47:03 GMT -6
Of course clouds are going to stick around with a lunar eclipse tonight. I mean we wouldn't they not. Unless by some miracle we get a break in the clouds around 10-11PM most of us are gonna miss out especially along and near the Mississippi. I had a decent view around 645. Might get lucky.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 18, 2019 21:37:42 GMT -6
Hey..is that a pig's head on a spear I see over there? Can you guys stop posting? I have the conch!
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 18, 2019 21:04:33 GMT -6
I go away for a few hours and this place goes to hell. What the heck happened? People watching the qpf fields on every model run
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 18, 2019 20:17:52 GMT -6
Hi-Res more or less in agreement with the 12KM NAM (Standard one). The writing is on the wall folks. This will be a storm for the peeps that missed out on last week's event with St. Louis metro probably not even seeing a flake. In which case I'd actually be very happy about as teases are the worst. Either do something decent, or do nothing at all. Just stop.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 16, 2019 22:30:46 GMT -6
How the heck do you guys remember those storms? I can't remember where I park my car at the grocery store.... - The only ones I r\specifically remember is '82 and Sleetaromma/could have been a blizzard....One epic and one a major disappointment... Because they are in the top 10 biggest in my lifetime. I was born Sept 21 1982. I was born a few weeks premature. I was concieved during the 1982 storm. Preemie born 9.11 here. High five!
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 15, 2019 13:20:56 GMT -6
I’m just fine if this one misses me. Driver quit in midst of this last one and left me high and dry. Can’t find another driver so now I’m in the middle of terminating some contracts and or finding another provider to take it over for them. After setting in the truck for 55 hours straight and being up 68 over the weekend spring can get sooner then later 😊 Man that sucks. To bad you're an hour away. I have just been doing residential for myself with each storm with blowers
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 15, 2019 8:40:38 GMT -6
Appears our filter will not create a link.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 15, 2019 8:39:46 GMT -6
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 15, 2019 7:59:42 GMT -6
Have the earlier problems with the GFS been taken care of? The reason I ask is the GFS really had trouble handling the last system until the later runs closer to the arrival the storm. If it's still having the same data problems I don't know why we would expect it to be reliable at this point American models are not being maintained due to the shutdown. Their accuracy is degraded and will continue to degrade until noaa has the staffing to do more than just run them. A wash post article covered this pretty well. I just am too lazy to find it. Capitol weather blog.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 14, 2019 21:31:42 GMT -6
Outside reliability window.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 14, 2019 11:32:41 GMT -6
That's crazy the weekend storm is sitting over the Bering Sea. I'm currently sitting under it duck hunting on St. Paul Island. It's been brutal. Peak was yesterday afternoon right after the center of circulation moved through. Had gusts over 60. Finally looks like it's going to be calmer today. Bucket list hunt. Post pics.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 12, 2019 23:24:38 GMT -6
Went to dinner tonight at Kemoll's. The clouds obscured the view and we could see the cloud deck was about ten floors below the restaurant. As it changed to snow the cloud deck raised giving a decent view of the arch grounds. One thing i noticed was the pathways on the arch grounds were clear. Anyone know who was able to get that done in the shutdown?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 12, 2019 16:03:23 GMT -6
Rain in Belleville for 2 hours
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jan 1, 2019 21:06:31 GMT -6
Who else is going back to work tomorrow after being off for a week and a half? I always hate the feeling after New Year's. Same old same old....wish I could find a better job... That's my ny resolution. New job.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 21, 2018 20:37:26 GMT -6
I happen to know 2 of the observers at Lambert quite well...and two more kind of. Those are private contractors and they dont do any forecasting. If you want to get your hands dirty with forecasting, you will nees to go Air Force, NWS or private company like AqquWx...or one of the airlines. Southwest has a nice team of forecasters in Dallas. The president of the met club at sluh when i was there did the observer job. Might still, haven't talked to him in years.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 12, 2018 17:56:27 GMT -6
Pattern starts to look much better towards Christmas...the troffing in the GoA and downstream zonal flow/downsloping is only temporary in the modeling. The warning met at lsx said above avg temps and precip on kmox this asternoon and called for a brown Christmas.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 4, 2018 12:16:01 GMT -6
Snow in the city. Nothing before to the West and very little after. Look to be very localized That's why I asked. The accumulating snow has been VERY VERY isolated. We had video in Milstadt that showed about 1" and my jaw dropped. I was like... how did that happen (and when?) Nothing on radar looked like it could support that kind of snow there. I went into the gas station in millstadt at 650 and barely snowing. Walked out 5 minutes later and it was pouring snow. I had 3/4 to an inch on my car near althoff in West Belleville as well. Very localized event
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Post by John G -west belleville on Dec 2, 2018 21:53:24 GMT -6
Had to go to the app. The website for the forum is blocked by the spam again.
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