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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 8, 2024 22:39:40 GMT -6
All right I really need some help from some people in here. I just can't seem to get a straight answer from the NWS. I mentioned in here we're getting a roof on today, well it didn't happen. Now they're scheduled for tomorrow which two days ago the rain was supposed to start after 12:00 p.m. When they didn't show today I got on the NWS site to see if the forecast was the same. Now the rain wasn't supposed to start till 5:00 p.m. tomorrow.👍👍🤞🤞 This was maybe 6 hours ago. Now I get on there and it's supposed to start raining by 11:00 a.m. tomorrow.👎👎🤬🤬 How does anyone that works outside or has a business that needs accurate info deal with this? I was told that he will know by 5:00 in the morning if they are coming tomorrow. He's basically going to get up and look out the window and check the forecast. I just thought we had gone way past that with our technology.🤔🤔 Maybe the drought conditions will push it off farther in the day.🤔🤔 Don't mean to sound whiny but I really want to get this done. The shingles have been sitting up on the roof since March 1st. As someone who has worked outside, weather forecasts are the least trusted thing in the world. Always plan to work and adjust in the morning
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 8, 2024 16:21:27 GMT -6
Ended up with a half inch of rain in Arnold Not bad, but still a long way to go to mitigate any drought conditions .64 in Belleville. Drought wins again.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 8, 2024 9:55:45 GMT -6
Friends, Things have been really rough this past week. Your continued prayers are appreciated. Prayers. Reach out if you need anything
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 8, 2024 9:38:16 GMT -6
Nice steady rain for the last 90 minutes or so Finally. Up to a quarter inch. Plants are running 20 days ahead from what I read yesterday. Grass is getting really green and the blackberries are getting leaves
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 7, 2024 23:30:56 GMT -6
This is rather lack luster...
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 6, 2024 17:25:22 GMT -6
The GEFS ensemble is now in range. If you'll remember the 0Z cycle goes out to 840 hours, but it is lagged by almost a day. So right now we only have the 3/5 run available. There's about a 60-65% chance of clouds in the path of totality. It is my understanding that the GFS and GEFS do not simulate eclipses so this will probably result in a high bias in terms of cloud coverage due to the cloud thinning effect the eclipse itself causes. Obviously I question the skill even for a probabilistic ensemble this far out, but at least we can start gathering data and if nothing else do a time-lagged ensemble to get a better feel for the probabilities. I would just look at April cloud cover rates within the region of totality and go with that. I estimate the 840 hour GEFS has a 0.1% skill level. Climo says 45 percent chance of clouds. Not great.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 6, 2024 9:27:14 GMT -6
Heard some guy talking about the warmth and morels. I told him to not jump the gun
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 5, 2024 10:17:35 GMT -6
The drought wins again... Sangamon got some. Amazing how central il can get rain....
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 5, 2024 7:29:57 GMT -6
Zero point zero rain drops out there. Zero point zero one here. Another disappointment.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 4, 2024 18:14:14 GMT -6
Sorry if this has been asked and answered, but what’s the site for the terminal radar? Upgrade for rs
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 4, 2024 16:25:57 GMT -6
Some pretty decent supercells up north...could see a few hailers or wind producers overnight Saw some cumulus bubbling on my way home from work. Feels warm and humid
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Post by John G -west belleville on Mar 1, 2024 22:09:01 GMT -6
The Caltrans I-80 and US 50 webcams as well as the South Lake Tahoe Airport webcam are pretty intense! ❄️ All we gotta do is drive down one us highway to get there
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 29, 2024 17:52:48 GMT -6
DM's Spring forecast is available on Facebook.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 28, 2024 17:55:35 GMT -6
How dry was Feb compared to normal? Was the only precip the thunder snow event? Dry. It seems pretty droughty still for it being one of the wettest times of the year typically. Pretty concerned about this growing season unless things change pretty quickly. I focused so much on the snow event, I was surprised when there wasn't any rain on my station. Not good to be this dry.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 28, 2024 13:47:38 GMT -6
How dry was Feb compared to normal? Was the only precip the thunder snow event?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 28, 2024 10:29:07 GMT -6
58.3 degree swing from yesterday to this morning at the house. No precip though
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 28, 2024 7:53:04 GMT -6
86 degrees yesterday 25 this am You know you luve in STL when you go to bed and it’s 76 degrees out, and wake up shivering because you forgot to turn the heat on and now it’s freezing. We shut the windows while it was still hot and it had not dropped below 71 in the house this morning without running the furnace
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 27, 2024 10:35:50 GMT -6
Grand Forks County, North Dakota hit 60F yesterday. Currently snowing and 1F. Yuck.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 23, 2024 10:44:58 GMT -6
Just based on the outlines of the Outlooks next week, Wednesday over the mid-south will be a big day, seems that area always gets smoked. Tuesday will probably be more conditional, just based on geography.... Of course it will do something becuase its a storm forecast and not snow.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 22, 2024 14:38:00 GMT -6
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 22, 2024 13:22:12 GMT -6
Based on model performance this year, North Dakota better start preparing. Lock in the storms. We don't get missed with these systems.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 21, 2024 20:10:32 GMT -6
Decided to try my cheap spotting scope with cell phone mount to look at the moon. It's very shaky, but I'm under a hundred for the scope and tripod from Amazon.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 20, 2024 14:57:17 GMT -6
Could this be the last snowfall of the season unless something unexpected happens? Who knows, still almost 2 months of snow season left. Anyone know what happened to the SSW event that was supposed to happen this week?
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 20, 2024 11:05:45 GMT -6
That would be cool. I bought a spotting scope recently. I have been using it to observe an eagle's nest on the west end, but I'm planning on using it to look at the moon one night soon, and I'll buy a solar filter to use it on the eclipse. I haven't decided on a destination yet, probably going to head more east than south.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 16, 2024 21:59:31 GMT -6
The downside of allegiant. When it's good it's awesome. When it's terrible, it's downright terrible Did you measure??? I just didn't feel like measuring but I guestimate a very very healthy 5" like cardsNweather had in Ofallon. I was hoping the hour or so of legit very legit but not quite Jimmy Cantore level TSNOW was enough to challenge Mount Darthsnovius in St. Peters unprecedented streak of winning the golden snow shoe.. I very rarely measure snow. Once the grass is covered, I'm happy. Don't drive the hills on the bluff in this weather though. Horrible.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 16, 2024 16:11:10 GMT -6
This flight at Mid America boarded 4 hours ago. Have not let us off the plane, haven't even offered a drink of water. The downside of allegiant. When it's good it's awesome. When it's terrible, it's downright terrible
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 16, 2024 15:08:11 GMT -6
Roads up the bluff into Belleville are backed up pretty bad. Getting better now
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 16, 2024 13:06:32 GMT -6
Thunder snow. West Belleville
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 11, 2024 10:34:27 GMT -6
So much for the N shift...NAM barely gets precip into the Metro now. I'm loosing track of how many times SEMO/SOIL has been jackpotted while we're high and dry up this way. Someday we need to compile the data.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Feb 7, 2024 13:09:08 GMT -6
I'm done with winter. The kids are riding bikes in the cul de sac after school, the neighbors are coming down to play. Bring on spring
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