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Post by weatherj on Nov 25, 2018 17:29:44 GMT -6
Gotta love it! Quite fascinating to see, it's been a while. It reminds me of the big wound up systems in the past where sometimes blizzard warnings and tornado warnings were overlapped over the same county!
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Post by weatherj on Nov 25, 2018 13:29:18 GMT -6
Stl gets a wind blown dusting imo. Just enough to make you think about what could have been . It shows us what could potentially be fun around here as we head deeper into December and onward. The strong storm systems are telling us something I believe.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 25, 2018 9:22:57 GMT -6
short fuse advisory?
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Post by weatherj on Nov 25, 2018 9:13:09 GMT -6
Anything this time of year frozen wise is a bonus, IMO. Once we get to mid December and onward, then that's when at least a clipper or SW storm is expected. I know December has never been a big snow month, but at least a few inches should be feasible. It's very common for a few cutters to go to our NW till about the second week of December, even in a good winter. I'm still hoping to get that -10* departure at KSTL for this month, we have a legitimate shot.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 24, 2018 17:35:35 GMT -6
If you stand back and look at the winter weather there has been already, and it's only Nov 24, it's very impressive. Now either this is a sign of things to come for the next 3 or so months or our load will be blown in November and the winter will be abysmal. I've been doing a lot of reading back in the previous winters of this blog, and lets just say we don't want a Dec 2014/Jan 2015..lol. That year featured November getting off to a hot start too. I don't think this year will be like that though, as 920 points out we've seen some wrapped up systems already this year. The trend is set for organized systems and stronger/further NW tracks. We are not seeing the sheared out, fast/split flow like we have been seeing the past several years including '14-'15. I recommend anyone with any extra time to read back on some of the comments and systems of the past winters on the blog, I got some good laughs and memories out of it.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 22, 2018 8:37:41 GMT -6
Happy Thanksgiving to all. So far, November is running an impressive 10.9* below normal at KSTL. While we will be near to a bit above normal for a few days, I believe we will hold onto the double digit departure from average given the colder airmass due to arrive next week. That in my opinion is impressive in itself let alone the snowfall that occurred.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 16, 2018 15:24:41 GMT -6
I enjoyed watching you guys get jackpotted west of St Louis. Are sun angles in November similar to that of early spring? I had wondered if the snow would behave (melting/compaction) like a wet March or April snow. It's not that strong but still obviously very effective in melting with full sunshine. Thanks for answering. I was thinking it may not be quite as strong being on the downswing so to speak, but thought it could be somewhat close. Here's to hoping for many more systems of interest this winter! We're off to a great start in IMO.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 16, 2018 15:16:21 GMT -6
I enjoyed watching you guys get jackpotted west of St Louis. Are sun angles in November similar to that of early spring? I had wondered if the snow would behave (melting/compaction) like a wet March or April snow.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 15, 2018 11:40:52 GMT -6
About 2" here. You guys to the west enjoy it! Even with my lower snowfall total, I still find this quite amazing for this time of year.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 14, 2018 18:59:39 GMT -6
Steady light to borderline moderate snow here now. All snow from the looks of it.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 14, 2018 14:09:59 GMT -6
I should start seeing something pretty soon. The radar is juiced to my S/SE.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 13, 2018 12:33:39 GMT -6
Sounds like Euro clocks this area of S central IL good too. That would be the nice run for nearly everyone.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 13, 2018 11:10:32 GMT -6
I would love for everyone to cash in on this one. I've basically had trace amounts, although the grass got covered briefly from that intense snow burst last Friday evening. As someone stated, it's very tough (I believe Chris has said this as well) to get the whole CWA in on the robust/jackpot amounts. I would take another January 28, 2009 storm as far as totals spread out very evenly over the whole CWA. Amounts ranged from 6 on the lower end to 10 + on the higher end across the entire area. It's the amplified blockbusters that can really be the all or nothing to the extreme. Nov. 30th-Dec 1st 2006/GHD 2011 storms for example, 18 inches in the far NW CWA to zippo here as far as snow. Is it me, or does there need to be a flatter wave to produce the types of events that have a better chance at giving the whole area a decent snow? In any event, this has been quite an impressive stretch for November so far.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 11, 2018 10:46:15 GMT -6
right on cue....lol
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Post by weatherj on Nov 10, 2018 7:38:35 GMT -6
Very nice burst of heavy graupel around 8:00 pm last night quickly changed to large flakes/heavy snow. Only lasted about 10 minutes, but was very intense along with 35-40 mph wind gusts. Covered the ground nicely.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 7, 2018 9:12:22 GMT -6
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Post by weatherj on Nov 7, 2018 9:06:36 GMT -6
I understand Todd's concerns on the link he posted, but I really believe it should be allowed (Chris and the mods decision, of course). It is a great explanation of the new probability of snow product. Fish does an outstanding job breaking it down, it's a great tool and many on this blog would be very interested in the information provided.
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Post by weatherj on Oct 28, 2018 15:39:34 GMT -6
I like wind when it's whipping snow everywhere.
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Post by weatherj on Oct 28, 2018 14:22:09 GMT -6
Quite windy right now, good call on that one coz. I was looking back in the old blog through the winter seasons and what a mess 09/10 was..hah. Cold and a fascinating season nationally for sure, but man was that ever a cruel winter for all the big cyclones missing us (with frozen precip) in every direction. It's a good trend thus far more wrapped up systems are on the horizon and not sheared apart as wsc alluded to. Let's bring a couple, or more like several nice 3-6" type of events this winter season. Anymore, 6+ is a bonus IMO.
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Post by weatherj on Oct 21, 2018 22:55:35 GMT -6
I'm hoping we can get some wound up systems ( that produce snow or at least frozen precip..heh) this winter season. We're all so hungry for it! That 2011 storm was fun in the sense of tracking it and so much anticipation. Many in the middle were left in a sleet bath as you well know, but a blockbuster nonetheless. My favorite is 99's Christmas Eve storm of 2009 rant..lol!
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Post by weatherj on Sept 8, 2018 8:04:44 GMT -6
Approaching the 4" mark here..looks to be about 2 more hours of measurable rain before winding down.
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Post by weatherj on Sept 8, 2018 6:17:34 GMT -6
It's been a wet summer over here in the eastern CWA (over 16" of rain since June 1st)...we seemed to cash in on every isolated thundershower and complex that developed. This event is rapidly adding to it now with not much activity till the last 4 hours. Approaching 2.5" for the event and much more to come.
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Post by weatherj on Jul 1, 2018 20:24:37 GMT -6
Pouring here.
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Post by weatherj on Jun 28, 2018 17:21:35 GMT -6
Practically black to my northwest right now, it's getting very close.
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Post by weatherj on Jun 26, 2018 12:49:37 GMT -6
2.4" of rain since 6:30 am this morning. It's been very wet over here for the month thus far closing in on the 7" mark. It was actually dry here up until about 2 weeks ago when the MCS's were taking that track just to the N and E of the metro. Sun has been shining for the last 2 hours.
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Post by weatherj on Apr 3, 2018 9:08:29 GMT -6
Seems as though I'm in the higher threat. I'll be on guard, though it looks like the greatest risk will be just east of here. Still, concerned over here out near I-57.
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