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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 13, 2019 21:16:56 GMT -6
Measured 11.25" yesterday. Due to compaction and melting though making it hard to measure, I am going to say I got 12" in northern Wildwood!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2019 17:01:45 GMT -6
11 to 11.25" average in Wildwood.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2019 12:39:17 GMT -6
Pouring hamsters right now, beautiful!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2019 11:14:34 GMT -6
Snow is picking up nicely here in Northern Wildwood. 33*
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2019 10:53:30 GMT -6
I measured between 10.25" and a little under 10.5". Average comes out to 10.25" so far. I am on the northeast corner of Babler State Park in Wildwood.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2019 0:02:11 GMT -6
A little over 9" here in Wildwood now.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 21:51:20 GMT -6
A little over 8" on the ground in northern side of Wildwood by Daniel Boone Bridge.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 18:13:33 GMT -6
Getting closer to 6" here in Wildwood. Measured over 5.5".
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 15:14:06 GMT -6
just cracked open my first beer One beer for each inch? Edit: NDolan beat me to it. Great minds think alike!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 15:11:55 GMT -6
Every time you get a new inch of snow, you can open a new beer. I think he's trying to murder you based upon the model runs Haha, just joking around! jmg378s you were thinking the same thing as me. Man the snow is so pretty!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 14:42:09 GMT -6
Moderate snow in Wildwood now. About 1.5" right now.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2019 14:36:28 GMT -6
And many more where that came from? possibly Every time you get a new inch of snow, you can open a new beer.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 20:15:40 GMT -6
The lowest SREF member has 6.5" and the highest has 17.8" Pretty good clustering of members between 8-12" Just getting this saved for posterity. I just took a a screen shot, thanks for reminding me!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 12:18:20 GMT -6
The euro is seriously just crazy. Almost everyone in the area gets a foot minimum There are places just west of STL over 20" The metro is buried under 10-15" Farmington get 14" Wow!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 12:15:46 GMT -6
Think most see 6-9" by noon tomorrow... then light/moderate snow doesn't accumulate too much during the daylight Saturday- then maybe another couple inches tomorrow night. General 8-12" is what I will go with... with a few 12+" reports just W/SW of the metro. *by noon Sat you mean? Good to hear your opinion!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 12:09:52 GMT -6
The dry wedge does not look too foreboding IMO. Current real world obs show surface Tds in the teens over the ohio valley (our source region) with little if any additional drying. Even a weaker LLJ should overcome that. If the airmass to our northeast was of a more truly arctic origin (single digit Tds) then I would be more concerned. This is a great analysis about the dry air, thanks for sharing!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 11:01:44 GMT -6
Heres the NAM sounding tomorrow afternoon when the precep is moving into the area. Good amount of dry air 850 and below eating the precep but nothing crazy. Heres 3 hours later. Fully saturates column with heavy snow falling The 3 hr later column is pretty on the NAM. Thanks for sharing!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 10:58:40 GMT -6
Dave said on Facebook the models aren't picking up on the dry air Friday afternoon into the evening as well. The skew t on the GFS looks saturated through the whole column 6pm Friday where dendrites are forming. Anyone concerned about dry air at the start into the evening, cutting down on totals? Dry air will no doubt eat some of the precep tomorrow afternoon, but I dont think its going to hold the precep back for long. The amount of moisture with this system is incredible and will quickly erode away the dry air I agree with you, the amount of moisture with this system is impressive! This makes me feel better, you saying that.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 10, 2019 10:44:46 GMT -6
Dave said on Facebook the models aren't picking up on the dry air Friday afternoon into the evening as well. The skew t on the GFS looks saturated through the whole column 6pm Friday where dendrites are forming. Anyone concerned about dry air at the start into the evening, cutting down on totals?
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 7, 2019 21:26:49 GMT -6
Where was this? What city?? Arnold, Mo Thanks, that's a really amazing picture!
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 7, 2019 21:11:48 GMT -6
Walked outside and noticed this hole punch cloud to my SW Where was this? What city??
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 23, 2018 21:36:53 GMT -6
The 12z NAM is showing some 250mb upper level divergence after 00z Tues, especially into 03z Tues (9pm Mon) to add to the lifting ingredients. What's the link for this page? I'm interested in the isentropic charts that they appear to have. It's www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/MODEL/WXmodel.php! The isentropic charts are great! This is Dr. Graves's website.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 23, 2018 12:38:00 GMT -6
Right now though it's hard to say this will be enough lift, but Btrnwxman was talking about WAA also playing a role in lifting. Judging by the PWAT values there looks to be some moisture available. The NAM looks impressive with the mid-level WAA wing with wind crossing the gradient at nearly a perpendicular angle. There's also some marginal jet coupling for a short period. I'm surprised the QPF output isn't higher with .4-.6" PWATs... Yeah I agree! I think the NAM is under estimating this shortwave. I guess you really can't focus on QPF values all that much.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 23, 2018 12:21:27 GMT -6
Right now though it's hard to say this will be enough lift, but Btrnwxman was talking about WAA also playing a role in lifting. Judging by the PWAT values there looks to be some moisture available.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 23, 2018 11:39:26 GMT -6
The 12z NAM is showing some 250mb upper level divergence after 00z Tues, especially into 03z Tues (9pm Mon) to add to the lifting ingredients.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2018 20:45:08 GMT -6
I happen to know 2 of the observers at Lambert quite well...and two more kind of. Those are private contractors and they dont do any forecasting. If you want to get your hands dirty with forecasting, you will nees to go Air Force, NWS or private company like AqquWx...or one of the airlines. Southwest has a nice team of forecasters in Dallas. That's good to know! How hard is it to get into a Air Force weather career? Any other qualifications??
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2018 20:42:19 GMT -6
Good to know! Yeah I have heard that before, but at Lambert. Right now, the private sector is what I'm leaning toward. When SSI was sold half the forecasters went to DTN in MSP or Baron services in Huntsville- both top notch forecasting services- know quite a few people at both of these places if you need a reference Sounds good, thanks! I may have some future questions for you then!!
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2018 17:42:16 GMT -6
Thanks cozpregon! Any particular reason at Fargo? After I graduated... I applied with the NWS and they wanted me to put applications in the most remote places- Fargo/Missoula/Pierre SD etc...
I decided to go to the private sector and got my first job in Chicago.
Good to know! Yeah I have heard that before, but at Lambert. Right now, the private sector is what I'm leaning toward.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2018 16:21:53 GMT -6
Thanks Mr. Higgins, I appreciate it! When you graduate...please call me Chris lol. We hired a new IT guy at work and he calls me Mr Higgins. I appreciate the gesture but it makes me feel way too old lol. Sounds good, will do! Don't want to make you feel old.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 21, 2018 16:21:00 GMT -6
Well I'm happy to say I have officially made it through the meat and potatoes of Undergrad MET. Just finished up Synoptic and Dynamic MET II Monday and Tuesday this week with my finals. Man what a ride it has been and I hope to put it to good use! Merry Christmas and Happy New Years guys!! Congrats... now they will have you to take the hourly obs in Fargo. Thanks cozpregon! Any particular reason at Fargo?
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