gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 22, 2020 10:42:41 GMT -6
Sure looks like that stuff near Columbia has hit a wall. Hasn't moved further west in some time.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 22, 2020 7:50:45 GMT -6
Considering the fact that the precip has already begun in Kansas City, I’d be inclined to think we’ll see it here in Franklin County by 4PM. I run our aftercare program at our school. I’ve already encouraged my parents to have a backup plan to get their kids by 4:30. Have to play it safe.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 20, 2020 21:23:36 GMT -6
A friend of mine just told me Washington Schools are closed tomorrow. I didn’t realize roads were that bad. There are several highways north of the river that are still closed
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 20, 2020 16:49:05 GMT -6
Hwy 47 between Union and Washington is apparently moving about 10 mph from a couple people I talked to. Does that on a lot of days when it’s not snowing too. LOL!
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 20, 2020 12:11:14 GMT -6
Good “mood snow” for the last hour or so in WashMO. Hopefully this is a preview of the end of the week system. 🤞🤞🤞
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 19, 2020 21:19:45 GMT -6
Went to Clarksville today to see the eagles. They were very active. I’d say we saw no less than a dozen at a time flying over the river trying to feed. The cold weather I think helped.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 17, 2020 22:04:38 GMT -6
Decided to venture out for dinner with friends tonight. Roads in WashMO were all just wet. Sidewalks at the restaurant were also fine. My north-facing driveway was VERY icy when we got home. On a positive note, I had some of the best fried walleye I’ve ever had. It was amazing! If ever in WashMO, I highly recommend Tilted Skillet. Tried to go there a few weeks ago and we couldnt even get in the door! Really wanted to try it. If you don’t drink downtown Washington on a weekend night really isn’t that appealing. I doubt we would’ve gotten in had it not been “nasty” out. There was a fair crowd, but we didn’t have to wait for a table. Even got to watch the end of the Billikens game in the bar area. We may need to just plan our date nights on stormy nights. Seems to be the best time to go. 😂😂😂
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 17, 2020 21:11:34 GMT -6
Decided to venture out for dinner with friends tonight. Roads in WashMO were all just wet. Sidewalks at the restaurant were also fine. My north-facing driveway was VERY icy when we got home.
On a positive note, I had some of the best fried walleye I’ve ever had. It was amazing! If ever in WashMO, I highly recommend Tilted Skillet.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 17, 2020 16:23:04 GMT -6
Moderate to heavy rain right now in WashMO. Icicles on my deck are growing pretty quick.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 17, 2020 13:12:16 GMT -6
Steady light rain in WashMO. Don’t have a functioning thermometer at the moment. It IS freezing in contact though. Just Elevated or all surfaces? Just elevated. Sent one of the boys out to get mail and he said it wasn’t slippery at all. Sorry I didn’t clarify that earlier.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 17, 2020 12:53:04 GMT -6
Steady light rain in WashMO. Don’t have a functioning thermometer at the moment. It IS freezing in contact though.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 16, 2020 16:56:59 GMT -6
If anyone goes to work tomorrow or sends their kids to school etc then don’t complain if you are stranded because this has been advertised for sometime. I for one will be treating everything heavy tonight and I dont really plan to put myself at risk tomorrow while this unfolds. This is a dangerous type system and there is absolutely no reason why most people aren’t able to just stay home tomorrow etc. Our principal isn’t calling it yet, but told everyone to make plans in case we do call. She also encouraged anyone who doesn’t feel safe to stay home. She may call it in the morning, but wants everyone to have a backup plan just in case.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 15, 2020 12:32:06 GMT -6
I’m teaching tomorrow as though it were Friday. My principal is doing the same with the class she teaches. If the stuff does wait till later in the morning, schools and districts have to decide if it’s worth even starting. Remember a couple years ago when busses were stuck overnight on the roads? Nobody wants a repeat of that.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 14, 2020 16:16:24 GMT -6
(Thursday Night - Saturday) The Canadian high pressure is forecast to slide eastward into the Great Lakes Thursday night with easterly flow expected for our area around the southwestern periphery of the anticyclone. Low-level moisture advection intensifies late night into Friday morning coincident with a vorticity maxima cresting the midlevel ridge axis. Precipitation is expected to move into central Missouri first, and then spread east/northeast with time. The aforementioned cold, dry retreating airmass will be key as soundings strongly suggest everyone should start off as snow due to wetbulbing/sublimational cooling. The strong low-level warm advection will lead to the development of a strengthening warm nose from southwest to northeast Friday morning through the afternoon. Therefore, expectation is for the dominant precipitation type to transition over to sleet and then freezing rain. As surface temperatures warm above freezing in the afternoon/evening, a plain cold rain is expected. However, it does appear that there will be several hours of frozen/freezing precipitation between late Thursday night and Friday evening across parts of the area. While confidence is fairly high in the thermal profiles for this event, there is more uncertainty in the onset timing of the precipitation late Thursday night/Friday morning and the axis of heavier precipitation amounts. Right now, the favored areas where the stronger forcing will reside is across portions of northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois. This is where at least a couple of inches of snow (including some sleet) is favored, with lesser amounts the further southeast you are located. In terms of freezing rain (ice) amounts, they should be on the light side, generally ranging from a light glaze to as much as a tenth of an inch across the area. Lighter amounts are favored because it looks like there should only be a few hours where the thermal profiles favor a full melt of snowflakes aloft AND with surface temperatures remain below freezing. In addition, freezing rain occurring with temperatures near or just below freezing and with a deepening warm nose aloft (hence warmer water droplet temperatures reaching the surface) will not be very efficient accreting. Rain is favored areawide from late Friday evening through the overnight hours with the surface low traveling north of the CWA. The trailing cold front should move through the bi-state area late Friday night through early Saturday morning. This looks like a classic Schmocker rule scenario, where the precipitation shuts off before the air cold enough to support snow arrives. Drier, much colder weather is favored for the remainder of the day Saturday. Decreasing cloudiness along with falling temperatures is expected. Did they put out an ice map yet?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 13, 2020 20:10:13 GMT -6
The thing with freezing rain is that once the temperature gets above freezing, it doesn’t mean it instantly melts. It’ll take several hours still to melt it, depending on how much freezing rain falls, how fast it warms up, and if it’s still raining. School districts are going to have a tough call whether to start or not on Friday if the forecast holds true and perhaps it doesn’t roll in till mid morning. I used to have to make that call. Glad it’s not mine anymore.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 11, 2020 8:29:04 GMT -6
Just to be clear, are we still talking about today’s storm?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 21:29:11 GMT -6
So...are we thinking a rain to snow scenario, or rain to ice to snow? That would make a HUGE difference of the chance that it sticks.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 20:18:49 GMT -6
Hrr has a 5 to 5.5 inch bullseyw in st.peters lmao Please post the map for us novices.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 17:01:22 GMT -6
Haven’t been able to look at models......is current radar accurate with what modeling has shown recently? I don’t know how to read the models. Hence my reliance on all the experts in this forum.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 16:47:15 GMT -6
NWS has held pretty steady with their snow maps for the last couple days now. I think they’re afraid to change it with all the uncertainty being shown in the models. So glad I don’t have to make the professional forecasts.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 16:19:14 GMT -6
Has NWS updated any of their snow or ice laps for tomorrow yet?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 12:09:26 GMT -6
Euro is alittle further SE with the energy, still keeps the bulk of the accumulating snow just to the NW of the metro. Trend seems clear though So where does this put areas like Franklin and Warren?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 9, 2020 18:53:06 GMT -6
Pouring with thunder in Pacific, MO.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 9, 2020 17:10:08 GMT -6
So...are we inching our way back into the game?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 8, 2020 19:57:41 GMT -6
Did they put out an ice forecast?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2019 20:50:45 GMT -6
Friv... where at? Im here and wouldnt mind saying hey! That would call for a MTW selfie for the board.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2019 19:49:58 GMT -6
looked like some yellow returns around Shady Valley and new 21 or Hwy M and 21. Guessing with the location. Don’t eat the yellow returns.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2019 17:10:57 GMT -6
Def zone seems to be setting up right over the metro now- That batch over northern Franklin County, the darker band, isn’t moving.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2019 13:21:29 GMT -6
Looks like the radar is starting to fill in quite a bit. Hope that trend continues.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 16, 2019 9:41:25 GMT -6
Pouring snow in WashMO. Less than 1/4 mile visibility. I bet we’ve already got close to an inch just this morning.
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