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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 2, 2018 5:35:57 GMT -6
Kirksville appeared to bottom out at 6. That's a cold night for March. For April that's pretty silly
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 1, 2018 20:00:10 GMT -6
Some zr and sleet here. All done
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 1, 2018 15:09:40 GMT -6
Sleet and rain in Fairview hgts
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Post by guyfromhecker on Feb 25, 2017 20:45:30 GMT -6
I got stuff booked in Gatlinburg if anyone is interested
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Post by guyfromhecker on Feb 25, 2017 20:42:55 GMT -6
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Post by guyfromhecker on Nov 21, 2016 13:48:04 GMT -6
Crime Watch Daily (Weekdays on Fox2 @ 2 pm) is going to be doing a report on that guy from STL who died in that Bulldozer accident a few years back (I think he was a millionaire or something like that). It was ruled an accident, but his family is claiming murder. I think it airs Monday, but not sure (It may be during the week). Seems like an interesting story. That's the guy who created City Museum I believe
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Post by guyfromhecker on Nov 17, 2016 19:37:40 GMT -6
I spot checked a couple of hotels in the area and while several of them are sold out there is still plenty of availability. Prices haven't run up too much from what I can tell. The most likely won't till is get closer to the time, and they see the rise of demand. Most likely they (Those who booked), were smart to book ahead. He he he. Book ahead indeed. I have numerous rooms booked.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 15, 2016 15:36:10 GMT -6
I personally don't see the Cardinals going this season. About their only chance is if San Francisco just continues its free fall
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 25, 2016 7:03:22 GMT -6
I went to a website about photographing in the club and it seems tricky. I've worked with photographing lightning and stuff like that using a non slr camera. Trying to figure out how long you gotta set your exposure. It's definitely not something you want to use really short exposure on. You gotta have enough aperture to take in the light in that darkened situation. The website actually said a good Focus practice would be to go 2 weeks earlier and lock in on the full moon and don't change the settings. That would get your focus in.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 14:20:36 GMT -6
My wife doesn't understand my excitement over it and my best friend kind of wondered about it too. LOL
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 11:27:03 GMT -6
I'll have to take my son out of school so I don't want to go too far. It'll be an unexcused absence for Monday so I don't want him to miss Tuesday as well. Well, I wouldn't let that keep you from venturing into Nebraska a little bit just in case. You can get well into Nebraska and only be 8 hours away. Strategies I can suggest to you from doing stuff like this myself is go ahead and perhaps book a Motel 6 in York Nebraska for that Sunday night. The best thing about a Motel 6 if you can cancel all the way up to that day and they will not actually charge you until the booking. York is probably seven and a half hours from st. Peters. If you wake up that morning and have to make a decision about going west then you can consider that unexcused absence and whether it's worth it or not. The reason to go to York is you want to be away from a metro area and have easy access to a good rural road. You might find one with the hill like you are looking for. I already have reservations in North Platte and York. I don't feel bad about holding them because that is the way you plan these things. I will definitely cancel least one of them more than 2 days out and somebody is going to be very happy. I will definitely know the day before if I'm going to bother to go out there to the other one, and if not, somebody else is going to be happy
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 8:52:55 GMT -6
I'm willing to travel as far as St. Joseph to the northwest and Paducah to the southeast. I'll monitor forecasts and be willing to make last minute adjustments as needed. One thing I want to avoid is traffic. I'm certainly not going to assume that interstate travel will be normal. Hope for the best, but expect the worst... Both of those areas and st. Louis would have been bust potential yesterday. Even today all three look dicey. There are clouds over Nebraska now but they might be the type to burn off by midday. With the weekend before I think you ought to think a bit wider. Just my opinion. And you're not going to find as much traffic out there in Central and western Nebraska. They have multiple rural roads you can set up on. The place I have my sights set on is about 10 hours away. I'm going to treat this like a once-in-a-lifetime event. When it happens, it will be for me up to this point
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 8:18:12 GMT -6
I really think Nebraska is the place to go. It's a fairly dry area this time of year. Any place in the mountains you have a chance of cumulus build up. As you can see here in the Midwest you always have a chance of the flow off the Gulf. I really think Nebraska is the place to be
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 7:34:27 GMT -6
I have a hotel room booked in Nebraska. Now I'm going to work on the southeast part of this. We have a Resort just outside the gates of Great Smoky National Park and I think I'm gonna book something there when I can.
I have to book at least two nights at my Resort. If anybody is interested, that the cost would be $250. That would cover Sunday and Monday night. I am going to reserve a couple of extras and sell them to the general public for probably $500. These will be one bedroom condos of various types.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 24, 2016 6:30:12 GMT -6
I predict that as totality starts to engulf some interstates they will become parking lots. Folks that are in those areas will just stop and get out. Those unaware will be just shocked by the darkness and those aware will be there on purpose. And of course many side roads will be lined with cars parked on the shoulders. It'll be kind of like a storm chase where everybody knows where and when to go. That one we had in Kansas was kind of like that. It's going to be strange
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 23, 2016 15:10:08 GMT -6
I don't think people understand how remarkable this could be. They need to read the eclipse2017.org website. I'll probably be among those taking off work that day. Based on comments I've seen on Facebook a lot of people have that "meh" attitude because they saw the annular eclipse in 1994 and they're thinking this is the same thing. Please, please, please, let the ignorant remain that way. This is going to be huge and we don't need to make it larger. You cannot get a hotel in Central Oregon now for next August Eclipse week. I am taking off for sure and I'm going to have a couple of hotels reserved. One of them well to the southeast and one of them well to the northwest. My glasses are ordered. I feel like I have a good chance of being here next August but I don't know what my odds are 7 years from now so I'm throwing my eggs into the basket for this one. I remember 1994. I hope everybody keeps thinking it's the same thing.. If this one does pan out for a lot of people 2024 is going to be an absolute circus. That's another reason why I'm piling in for this one
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 19, 2015 9:01:40 GMT -6
To kind of put the solar in a nutshell.........from a watt perspective we have seen a variation of less than1/2 watt since we have started measuring sunspots. That's talking about the average for a cycle. Think about this. Folks, our livable range for watts is probably so narrow it is scary. I would bet the first 1365.7 or so are just enough to keep an ice age away. I mean, when we dip to what I call idle on sunspots the avg watt per cycle drops to around 1365.5, and we go into the deep freeze. If we take the average since we started measuring sunspots its probably around 1365.8 or so. During our maximum it was near 1366. So if the lowest at 1365.5 can make it miserably cold why couldn't 1366 make it silly warm? I mean they are both anomalies. Think about it.
Of course you could say solar variation does not matter. that's seems to be the way some see it.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 19:20:22 GMT -6
solid debate
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 18:59:59 GMT -6
You could easily say we've been coming down off the max since 1990. So let's run a bit of math: For CO2, the radiative forcing equation looks like this: In 1990, CO2 was 352 ppm. It's 402 now, so we can plug in 352 into Co and 402 into C. That translates into a deltaF of 0.69 W/m2. If we want to be thorough and add all of the other gasses like nitrous oxide, methane and the halo-carbons, it's 0.80 W/m2. If you want to compensate for aerosol effects, it's probably even more, but that's a very complex subject and I'll neglect that for the sake of brevity here. For the sun, TSI peaked at around 1366.7 W/m2 in 1990's big max and declined to 1365.3 W/m2 during the long 2009 min-- a difference of about 1.4 W/m2 (about 0.1%!) Of course, this is against a perfectly incident flat surface, and the earth is a sphere, so to compensate for that and albedo (about 0.7), the equation looks like this: Which translates to 0.25 W/m2 of radiative forcing from max to min. Even another big decline of equivalent magnitude from the '09 min (which is probably overly generous) would not go beyond 0.5 W/m2 total. This is the issue in a nutshell. Read more: morethanweatherstl.com/thread/126/chriss-corner-december-holiday-edition?page=21#ixzz3uirpawLLWell, you could easily say we have been coming of it since then. Cycle 23 was still a warming type cycle though. Sitting next to 22 it looks a bit weak, but that was a biggie. I know climate folks really like those simple equations. There is more than a little debate about the linear simplicity of that CO2 equation. I know if I graphed it into the translation in warming it would lay on the warmup graph of the later 20th century so neatly.........it would look like it was derived from it. No lag whatsoever. Kinda fishy. There are folks who think the relation is logarithmic and use other equations. Some claim it has pretty much "logged out" already There is still sold debate in the community.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 10:58:53 GMT -6
And of course we are about to have the "hottest year on record" again. This kind of bookends the period of the warmest weather that started with the el nino of 2000 or whatever.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 10:51:50 GMT -6
One thing that is not mentioned too often is that the non stop warming we saw from the late sixties till about 2003 has leveled off considerably. I hate to mention the coincidence, but you know what was going on with the Sun at that time.
Once you get that warm I think it takes more than just an average solar cycle or two to start bringing you down. This warmer earth is considerably different than it was back in 1965. It seems only true minimums and maximums actually make the temperature change. When we have what I call mediums it either stays as about as warm as it was or stays about his cold as it was.
By any measure the maximum we went through for most of the 20th century was a big one. Biggest ever recorded. Those who say that we shouldn't have warmed after 1950 or so just don't appreciate the Sun. If you make the assumption that basically it shouldn't have gotten warmer since the second half of our solar maximum then I guess you would give a lot of credit to other things. I mean you would have to. How else would you explain the warm up? I truly believe that's what many climate scientists are doing. They cannot put a value on solar so they discount it completely. That is incomplete science.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 10:24:26 GMT -6
Claiming arguing about climate change is the same about arguing about gravity is silly. The climate change stuff is still theoretical. Just because we have models and stuff now does not mean things don't have to stand the test of time. Gravity has graduated to scientific law climate change is still a young very theory that is changing. I still look at people say the solar minimums and maximums are not understood in their role in climate, but they seem to understand CO2's role exactly which is really not logical. If you can't understand one part of a theory it is not complete yet. Until the Sun's role is truly understood this stuff is still a theory. We may never fully understand the climate on this planet. It naturally swings from hot to cold over millions of years for reasons we can only speculate. But, that dosent mean we as humans arent doing anything to effect it by pumping millions of tons of a greenhouse gas into it in a short period of time. The earth is a closed system, those gasses only have so many carbon "sinks" to filter them out before they just increase in concentration in the atmosphere. It isnt a theory that more greenhouse gasses equals a warmer earth system. Again, im not saying you shouldn't be skeptical, because you should. We dont fully understand all the factors that make up the climate on this planet. But we shouldnt be blind to all the polluting we've done to this planet over the last 200 years. Thats what we do understand and it is something we can control , I realize that everything plays a part and I also realize we are not close to understanding at all yet. That is about all that I truly think is known about climate at this point
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 10:22:09 GMT -6
And by the way I'm a lifelong Democrat and will probably never change in spite of this one thing.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 18, 2015 10:03:34 GMT -6
Claiming arguing about climate change is the same about arguing about gravity is silly. The climate change stuff is still theoretical. Just because we have models and stuff now does not mean things don't have to stand the test of time. Gravity has graduated to scientific law climate change is still a young very theory that is changing.
I still look at people say the solar minimums and maximums are not understood in their role in climate, but they seem to understand CO2's role exactly which is really not logical. If you can't understand one part of a theory it is not complete yet. Until the Sun's role is truly understood this stuff is still a theory.
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A mindset
Dec 11, 2015 12:27:13 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 11, 2015 12:27:13 GMT -6
Some want to blame immigration others want to blame visas. It turns out this guy was already polluted almost 5 years ago. This was discovered during the investigation of this attack. The man who bought the guns was his neighbor then and they both planned an attack, but backed off when local FBI made a series of arrests in that area. This was reported to be in 2011 or 12. This guy was the veritable time bomb waiting to go off. Looks like he found the perfect partner. All of this information has been revealed by the interview the FBI is conducted with the man who bought the guns.
I swear it's a wonder we have not had more of these, but I guess the FBI has done a good job for the most part.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 8, 2015 20:59:15 GMT -6
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A mindset
Dec 4, 2015 10:19:24 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 4, 2015 10:19:24 GMT -6
Somebody said there's nothing to fear but fear itself. This country is so paranoid right now the that paranoia is breeding more paranoia. I wonder where the hell will end up.
I mean, you got people running around here ssying the Muslims are going to take over the country. Get serious folks, ain't never going to happen. Take your tin foil caps off. Yes we may take a few hits from these idiots, but if we don't act like idiots we'll get through it no problem.
Of course, some in this country never feel safe unless they are fighting a war. They never really consider the full cost.
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A mindset
Dec 4, 2015 8:15:36 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 4, 2015 8:15:36 GMT -6
And folks, listen to the description of this man closely. Polite, reserved, couldn't find a wife here so he finds a "perfect" one over there. Sounds like a mass killer to me. Throw in the fact that you can have automatic weapons in this country and my goodness look what you get. You can't stop crazy, but you can stop the stupid rhetoric.
By the way, I still have not heard of one instance where anybody defended themselves with an automatic weapon. Why in the hell did we approve them for people to own in this country? I mean, come on folks the 2nd amendment? Okay, I want a grenade launcher. You draw a line there, why there? Technically that's pretty much like a gun to me.
Some guns have no place in a civilized society. Of course it's hard to put the genie back in the bottle when we've got thousands of these guns around now. Hold on to your hats folks, there's plenty of crazy people left.
I know, I know, technically it wasn't an automatic weapon but it was easily altered to be one. Those guns were all bought legally in California
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A mindset
Dec 4, 2015 8:02:01 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 4, 2015 8:02:01 GMT -6
This California incident is a perfect example of why attacking Isis directly is just almost an impossibility. They are looking for delusional people who think they are being persecuted. Lord knows there are more than a few of them around. They actually want us to do exactly what we are doing this in this country and that is over react to Muslims in general and make them not feel welcome. God knows the rhetoric here has gone off the table at times against Muslims. Could you imagine this country if the same type of stuff was being said by political leaders about Christians? I guarantee you of one thing. That someone would come out of the woodwork saying he's trying to save the nation with a gun.
Did ISIS order this? Who knows? Does it really matter? No, but the way we act does. We are losing the mind game here. I would bet Isis does a little bit victory dance every time Trump opens his mouth. That kind of vitriol will send an idiot over the edge.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Nov 26, 2015 8:58:59 GMT -6
Hate to say it, but McDs does it best. They developed their own spud.
I love Ore Ida's crinkle cuts for home fries.
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