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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 3, 2018 10:30:50 GMT -6
What a wild pattern.
I've got a fire burning out in the woodstove waiting on potentially tornadic storms. Probably bring more wood in tomorrow...maybe dust off the plow.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 10:31:54 GMT -6
Didn't expand any westward.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 10:35:00 GMT -6
Didn't expand any westward. Nope in fact it shifted east a bit. Too early to say we're out of the woods, but the best probabilities are definitely well east of us. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Apr 3, 2018 10:35:15 GMT -6
This cold airmass is freaking ridiculous cold for April.
Combine that with the huge April moisture return and the ingredients for a major 6-12" snow is in order over a large Swath along the cold sector.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 10:42:01 GMT -6
This cold airmass is freaking ridiculous cold for April. Combine that with the huge April moisture return and the ingredients for a major 6-12" snow is in order over a large Swath along the cold sector. If you look past Friday/Saturday, the 12z gem and gfs both show phasing potential Sunday/Monday. It would be so awesome if one of these worked out to cap the season. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 3, 2018 11:00:28 GMT -6
Just had a chance to look at the GFS...that's pretty crazy! But considering the intensity of the HP... not surprising.
What's really crazy is that not only might it snow... it could snow again with temps in the 20s. April snows are known for being very marginal...like 34-36...that is not the case so far.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 11:20:30 GMT -6
Still quite overcast here in Mascoutah. The wind is howling though... gotta be gusting to 30 easy.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 11:21:40 GMT -6
Tornado watch issued for southern IN and southwest OH
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 11:23:02 GMT -6
Radar starting to light up too
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 3, 2018 11:25:59 GMT -6
12Z GEFS says "Yeah, let's do this thing."
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 3, 2018 11:28:50 GMT -6
Looks like a severe storm about to Bear down on me here in Evansville. Skies are very dark behind me
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 3, 2018 11:32:20 GMT -6
12Z GEFS says "Yeah, let's do this thing." Ya that’s pretty solid 3 days out. Crazy that a storm in April might be the best shot for area wide snow |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 11:32:35 GMT -6
12Z GEFS says "Yeah, let's do this thing." 3-4 inches is an impressive mean ensembel total. Things get real interesting with a double dipping opportunity Sunday. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 11:42:56 GMT -6
the clouds appear to be thinning a tad over here.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 3, 2018 11:47:11 GMT -6
This is a beautiful heavy snow sounding anytime of the year, let alone in April  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 3, 2018 11:48:06 GMT -6
70 degrees according to my thermometer
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 3, 2018 12:01:05 GMT -6
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 12:01:19 GMT -6
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 12:05:42 GMT -6
oh goody
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Apr 3, 2018 12:07:35 GMT -6
Front was crackin when it came through here an hour ago. Sharp temp drop, heavy rain and small hail. Lasted 10 minutes.
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 3, 2018 12:17:05 GMT -6
12Z Euro looks good for snow for south of I-70 and especially our southern members like toddatfarmington.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 12:21:48 GMT -6
12Z Euro looks good for snow for south of I-70 and especially our southern members like toddatfarmington. It looks outstanding. Wow |
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Post by Kathy Walker - Fredericktown on Apr 3, 2018 12:22:41 GMT -6
12Z Euro looks good for snow for south of I-70 and especially our southern members like toddatfarmington. Good Lord NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! No one I know down here wants that. That's horrible! We want to plant our gardens and enjoy some much needed outdoor time and sunshine. Winter's been going on for over 5 months temperature wise. I hate this crap. Tired of being cold all the time. I want Spring PRONTO! |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 12:29:22 GMT -6
Euro has crazy temps. Mid 20s at the surface and 850s in the -5 to -12C range.
Efficient snow making ratios right there.
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Post by Tilawn on Apr 3, 2018 12:32:44 GMT -6
Line came through here 10 minutes ago only sprinkles where I’m working today. But sharp change in wind direction.
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 3, 2018 12:35:20 GMT -6
12Z Euro looks good for snow for south of I-70 and especially our southern members like toddatfarmington. Good Lord NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! No one I know down here wants that. That's horrible! We want to plant our gardens and enjoy some much needed outdoor time and sunshine. Winter's been going on for over 5 months temperature wise. I hate this crap. Tired of being cold all the time. I want Spring PRONTO! Sounds like someone needs to be "punished" with 6" of snow.  920, let's get that bbq grill warmed up. I definitely want some beef in the metro area and double up those patties for the southerners! |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 12:36:15 GMT -6
From the last DISCO update...
"Ahead of this front, the atmosphere continues to destabilize. The
latest analysis data suggests surface-based instability has risen
anywhere from 1000-2000 J/kg across the region, with the highest
values over southern MO. Deep-layer shear is around 50 knots,
certainly supportive of organized convection. Think the cap will
slowly erode over the next 1 to 3 hours, with convection become
widespread along/ahead of the front later this afternoon mainly over
western IL and southeast MO. All storm modes will be possible, with
line segments capable of mainly wind damage along with some semi-
discrete cells which could pose more of a hail threat. There is also
a tornado threat which will be maximized with any discrete cells
that can develop ahead of the front, where near-surface wind fields
aren`t as veered and effective SRH values are maximized (around 300-
400 m2/s2). The convection will rapidly spread eastward and after
5PM the severe threat should largely wane across much of the region."
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 3, 2018 12:38:42 GMT -6
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 3, 2018 12:40:43 GMT -6
A watch has been issued with a 70% chance of 2 or more tornadoes. 50% chance for an EF2+. 70% chance for 2"+ hail.  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2018 12:51:42 GMT -6
This line has a little more chance to grow than I would like. Hopefully just a quick straight line wind situation.
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