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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2018 14:12:01 GMT -6
Thanks for re-posting that link Todd. Could get quite a show here before too long.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 3, 2018 14:12:37 GMT -6
I'm not going to think anything about a snowstorm until the low appears on the WPC
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 14:18:04 GMT -6
It would appear that St. Clair County in IL will get spared any severe.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 3, 2018 14:25:53 GMT -6
Temp has dropped more than 20 degrees here in about an hour. Just a guess but I think the front is through and so is our threat for severe weather |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Apr 3, 2018 14:31:38 GMT -6
It would appear that St. Clair County in IL will get spared any severe. We dodged the bullet for sure. Just some brief heavy rain and a couple split pea sized hail stones barely noticeable but they were there for a few seconds then just windy. Now comes the cold. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2018 14:34:27 GMT -6
Looks like the worst is missing Todd just to the south with potential hail core.
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Post by jeepers on Apr 3, 2018 14:37:33 GMT -6
So I go back and read the part of the thread that I missed and ... snow? wth? Yeah, okay. Hard to believe that we'd get more than flurries in April so i'll believe it when it falls on my head. Three years of bad winter will do that to you, let alone the history of STL and the models. That being said, temp is down to 50.
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Post by perryville on Apr 3, 2018 14:38:18 GMT -6
Looks like the worst is missing Todd just to the south with potential hail core. Southwest Perry County under the gun with that hail core? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 14:54:46 GMT -6
18z nam is pretty nuts lol.
Let the fun begin.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2018 14:56:30 GMT -6
18z nam is pretty nuts lol. Let the fun begin. Yea but further north. I don't like that haha but most likely what it will end up being. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 3, 2018 14:57:24 GMT -6
Looks like the worst is missing Todd just to the south with potential hail core. Southwest Perry County under the gun with that hail core? At least some small hail. When it rolls through could you post what you got? |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Apr 3, 2018 15:00:44 GMT -6
In the wake of the front there is some spotty, very small, storms refiring.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 15:04:24 GMT -6
18z nam is pretty nuts lol. Let the fun begin. Yea but further north. I don't like that haha but most likely what it will end up being. It won't be as far north as the 18z nam. It is super amped lol. Might be between the 12z Euro and 18z nam. Whoever gets it will be very happy. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Apr 3, 2018 15:05:37 GMT -6
Based on the 12 gfs, i wouldnt be surprised to see some intense shortlived snow fri night and again sunday. This time of year always a mixed bag. Common sense says a slightly north jog from where this past weekend happened but something in the back of my head says this is not common sense storm. Going with my gut and thinking through the metro with the highest potential for accumulating snow. Qpf looks impressive but lower lsr shld bear out although temps will be cold.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Apr 3, 2018 15:08:12 GMT -6
Going forecasts handling this weekend well from nws, imo.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 15:15:03 GMT -6
Based on the 12 gfs, i wouldnt be surprised to see some intense shortlived snow fri night and again sunday. This time of year always a mixed bag. Common sense says a slightly north jog from where this past weekend happened but something in the back of my head says this is not common sense storm. Going with my gut and thinking through the metro with the highest potential for accumulating snow. Qpf looks impressive but lower lsr shld bear out although temps will be cold. LSRs look good. Upper and surface level temps are great. |
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Post by snowday_lover on Apr 3, 2018 15:19:14 GMT -6
Remind me again-where can I see these models? I want to see if us southerners get in on the action this time. We didn’t see any flakes with this past system.
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Post by snowday_lover on Apr 3, 2018 15:20:06 GMT -6
We did have some decent sized hail come through about 3:40.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Apr 3, 2018 15:21:31 GMT -6
St. Clair county EMA reportingpossible tornado touchdown outside summerfield. They posted that At 350p.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Apr 3, 2018 15:22:27 GMT -6
Looks like the worst is missing Todd just to the south with potential hail core. Thankfully. Had some decent hail reports 1/2 mile or less south of town, it was a close one. Haven't heard anything from that hail core than passed throught Reynolds/Iron county, but can't imagine they didnt take a fairly hard hit. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 15:44:39 GMT -6
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Apr 3, 2018 15:53:34 GMT -6
Poplar bluff.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Apr 3, 2018 15:59:45 GMT -6
Just drove through that big storm in the DuQuoin area. Torrential rain some hail up to maybe nickel-sized.. I believe if there is circulation it was probably south of me
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 3, 2018 15:59:49 GMT -6
18z gfs looks solid Friday, especially just south of St. Louis.
Ratios could seriously be 12-1 or 15-1 (at the very end) for some of the metro in April lol.
Then it shows snow most of Sunday with cold 850 temps and surface temps around freezing. Of course if it snows a decent amount Friday night, Sunday would have no trouble accumulating even during the day with 32 degree temps.
This is truly an amazing thing to see modeled in April and within the 3-5 day range.
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Post by bdgwx on Apr 3, 2018 16:12:17 GMT -6
How cool would that be to get a snow-on-snow event...IN APRIL!
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Post by snowday_lover on Apr 3, 2018 16:15:07 GMT -6
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Post by snowday_lover on Apr 3, 2018 16:17:05 GMT -6
IMG_2482.jpg
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Post by perryville on Apr 3, 2018 16:29:49 GMT -6
Southwest Perry County under the gun with that hail core? At least some small hail. When it rolls through could you post what you got? Gusty winds and pea-sized hail. |
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Post by snowday_lover on Apr 3, 2018 16:40:59 GMT -6
I couldn’t get my pic to post but we had about quarter sized hail before 4:00.
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 3, 2018 16:46:03 GMT -6
Wow at the gfs lol. Lets hope the euro comes a bit north tonight and the gfs says about status quo. Not tour ordinary April snow for sure. Could be the biggest most widespread snow of the season for the area. Strange times.
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