Post by bellevillewxguy on May 30, 2018 22:01:48 GMT -6
Never a good sign when models are hammering Belleville. It's like a curse (if you want storms and cool interesting weather), if the models show it on top of you it will find a way to miss or dissipate before it gets to your house. Nevertheless, got at least 2 days of good solid potential if you add in Saturday in addition to tomorrow.
Location: Unincorporated West Belleville @ Stookey Township between IL Route 15 and Old St. Louis Rd/Route 13.
Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 5:44:54 GMT -6
HRRR has had a change of heart since last run and suggests the current line developing just to our west could be pretty strong. Then has the afternoon development further south. Seems like the best guess at this point.
Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 31, 2018 5:48:04 GMT -6
It looks like they started to fall apart and then got a second wind and strengthened again. Otherwise it looks like they would have faded to a few light showers or disappeared completely before they got to the city. Now it looks like they will still have some oomph.
Waiting for snow The first of the year I just can't believe That it almost is here Like cousins and Christmas And places to go Nothing takes longer Than waiting for snow - John McCutcheon
Post by Chris Higgins on May 31, 2018 6:00:49 GMT -6
As I said in the last thread... more than enough ML CAPE left to keep storms going longer than last nights models were showing. Outflow /wind shift associated with last nights severe MCS is intercepting that instability...stiring up news convective clusters in its wake as it sweeps east. It is also getting a boost from the LLJ which is veering off more to the east.
I think redevelopmet this afternoon is most likely near/SE of I-44 over into southern IL.
maddogchief: LOUD NOISES!!!
Feb 25, 2019 2:31:00 GMT -6
grizzlebeard: I'll put this here since it rarely rolls over: Please include your location in your profile, or identify your location when posting observations. You saying it is 20 and raining doesn't help if we don't know where you are. That is all.
Feb 7, 2019 13:44:40 GMT -6
giarC71: Hello...this could be historic. And those models of 16 inches or 19 inches.. coild be real..
Jan 11, 2019 18:04:52 GMT -6
snowday_lover: So weird.... sun is really out here right now. I just expected it to be full cloud cover by now. Hopefully the clouds move in soon. I'm ready to see what we get down here.
Feb 6, 2018 12:15:23 GMT -6
tk: Wagons East- Never was close....I'm with Snowman for once even though he is crazy negative but I get it....
Jan 9, 2018 20:50:54 GMT -6
STGOutdoors: Why is forum locked?
Dec 18, 2017 10:55:20 GMT -6
gonefishin - WashMO: Okay. I know these storms are no laughing matter, and I don't know if anyone has posted this, AND I know it's from the Weather Channel, which in and of itself causes it to lose some credibility, but this is one of the funniest things I've ever seen.
Sept 10, 2017 11:27:09 GMT -6
bellevillewxguy: Let's give a BIG Shout for the Great American Total Solar Eclipse! Here's to good viewing conditions for everyone!
Aug 20, 2017 19:09:33 GMT -6
MakeitRain: The 12z NAM wants to develop a line of storms through the metro around 1-2pm this afternoon. However, the HRRR is not picking up on this piece. I would not rule out the chance of severe weather as we head into the afternoon.
May 18, 2017 11:13:07 GMT -6
REB: 1.57 Wednesday. 2.31 since midnight. 5.92 since Friday. Total........7.49 and still coming down.
Apr 30, 2017 9:59:34 GMT -6
fojginmo: Glad I'm on higher ground & won't have to worry about flash flooding any more.
Aug 2, 2016 21:58:56 GMT -6