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Post by cozpregon on Aug 3, 2018 13:52:21 GMT -6
From Weather Channel Stu Ostro- pic near Albuquerque  |
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 3, 2018 19:07:28 GMT -6
Here is the radar at the time of the Redding, CA firenado. That couplet is 7500 ft up by the way.  |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 3, 2018 20:52:15 GMT -6
I am keeping a very tiny chance for a spot storm in the forecast for Sunday afternoon as models continue to show a weak shortwave....dipping into a developing shear zone. Just enough to pop a few storms I think. Otherwise it is a hot and dry weekend.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 3, 2018 21:08:21 GMT -6
NAM is pretty noisy Monday night
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 3, 2018 23:37:38 GMT -6
Here is the radar at the time of the Redding, CA firenado. That couplet is 7500 ft up by the way. That is pretty darn crazy. |
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 4, 2018 7:05:01 GMT -6
I could see metro area around 100 the next 3 days
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 4, 2018 8:08:41 GMT -6
There may be at least some low level fire danger in the far northwestern part of our area today where extreme drought conditions have developed. Here is the HREF ensemble probability of RH < 30% and winds > 15mph for this afternoon.  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 4, 2018 8:22:54 GMT -6
There may be at least some low level fire danger in the far northwestern part of our area today where extreme drought conditions have developed. Here is the HREF ensemble probability of RH < 30% and winds > 15mph for this afternoon. There's a mention of it in the hazardous weather outlook |
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Post by jeepers on Aug 4, 2018 11:28:05 GMT -6
CA fire makes me terribly sad. Spent my childhood in the Sierras camping, and that’s how you drive I5 to go north into Oregon and Washington. Gorgeous country. Big pine trees, old volcanic ridges. Drought sucks.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 4, 2018 22:07:17 GMT -6
NAM has good low level jet overnight Monday running into the frontal zone... with PWs close to 2"  |
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 4, 2018 22:53:03 GMT -6
I could see metro area around 100 the next 3 days 100 on Monday certainly seems possible. |
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 5, 2018 6:46:13 GMT -6
It looks like the Eastern Pacific is about to get busy and interesting. Models are showing 4 tropical systems; 3 of which may interact with each other.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 5, 2018 8:00:48 GMT -6
It looks like the Eastern Pacific is about to get busy and interesting. Models are showing 4 tropical systems; 3 of which may interact with each other. Sure would be nice to get some of that to move on to the west coast to help extinguish some of the fires. |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Aug 5, 2018 8:03:33 GMT -6
Pretty dry down here around Branson and Springfield. Unless it's been watered, the grass is really dry and crunchy.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Aug 5, 2018 8:10:45 GMT -6
Hope We Get Some Good Rains We Need It!
I Was In Biloxi Mississippi Last Week (mon-fri) Getting Fresh Gulf Shrimp For My Stores And There Was Spot Storms Daily It Was Nice I Dont Remember The Last Time Weve Had Spot Storms Daily For A Whole Week... I'm so ready for some real weather summer is boring!!!
facebook.com/thefruitstand
WEST COUNTY LOCATION
facebook.com/thefruitstandtwo
SOUTH COUNTY LOCATION
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 5, 2018 10:03:52 GMT -6
So how some are we going to start to see less of the 90s.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 5, 2018 12:26:32 GMT -6
havent looked at any models but in recent years we have seen 90s well into september. way too soon to think less 90s imo. any pattern change in aug wld be temporary and may just prolong our potential for 90s.
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Post by Tilawn on Aug 5, 2018 13:03:13 GMT -6
So how some are we going to start to see less of the 90s. October |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 6, 2018 4:20:22 GMT -6
Any severe weather chances with these storms tonight or tomorrow?
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 6, 2018 12:27:20 GMT -6
Is Hurricane Hector still a real threat for Hawaii?
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Post by jeepers on Aug 6, 2018 12:31:00 GMT -6
NWS says we're supposed to see thunderstorms by 7, but there is popcorn stuff already on the radar.
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Bruce - N0NSR
Weather Weenie
Posts: 57 
Snowfall Events: 2.5" - Jan 15, 2015
0.5" - Feb 4, 2015
2.0" - Nov 14-15, 2018
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Post by Bruce - N0NSR on Aug 6, 2018 12:39:30 GMT -6
NWS says we're supposed to see thunderstorms by 7, but there is popcorn stuff already on the radar. I'll vouch for that - rode the motorcycle back to work after lunch (didn't think to check radar) and ran thru a nice surprise shower just north of Fredericktown. When I popped over the hill just to the north of Fredericktown, I could see it was raining hard in town. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 6, 2018 16:10:34 GMT -6
A few spot storms around this afternoon... but not very many. If you got wet, you were one of a chosen few.
Storm potential will be increasing tonight...and especially tomorrow...although the exact morphology of it all is still uncertain.
The best dynamics/instability overlap over central Illinois...north of STL... but there is enough bulk shear to support some strong to severe storms down into the STL area tomorrow afternoon as well. It definitely doesn't look like an all day rain...but more like a couple of loosely organized storm complexes capable of some strong wind gusts and hail.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 6, 2018 18:09:33 GMT -6
I had a couple of sprinkles around 3 PM and enough to wet the pavement at around 530
Video, via Facebook, from Beartooth Pass Montana shot August 5. For those not familiar Beartooth Pass is on a highway that goes northeast from Yellowstone NP. Because of elevation and other factors they shut it down in September because it gets snowed in so much and it remains closed usually until June
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 6, 2018 19:12:41 GMT -6
Did you all hear about the baseball hail in CO Springs this PM? The Cheyenne Mountain Zoo had about 11 injuries and 3 animals killed. Lots of cars damaged and people were bussed away from there to a high school. No one was allowed to drive away.
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 6, 2018 19:26:34 GMT -6
I sent a video off FB of the hail to Chris!
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Aug 6, 2018 19:29:36 GMT -6
Did you all hear about the baseball hail in CO Springs this PM? The Cheyenne Mountain Zoo had about 11 injuries and 3 animals killed. Lots of cars damaged and people were bussed away from there to a high school. No one was allowed to drive away. They did reopen the road to the zoo so people can get their cars towed away. Only 2 animals were killed, a muscovy duck and a vulture. This comes on the heels of the zoo owner and the vet team deciding to put their 2 month old giraffe to sleep due to health issues. They are having a hard summer. Plus they don't know when they are going to reopen due to structure damages there. |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Aug 6, 2018 19:50:14 GMT -6
Some folks are getting soaked up on the MO/IA border
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 6, 2018 23:28:33 GMT -6
If they hold together it could get noisy in a few hours. And firing nicely along I-70 west of Columbia
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 7, 2018 3:17:34 GMT -6
Well, I don't live in Illinois, so It's not raining here. This has been rather annoying for months now. We stay mostly dry while things grow big time from St Louis on into IL. Last week I think we managed a quarter inch. Had a few sprinkles tonight. Yay.
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