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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 9:21:50 GMT -6
Heaviest rains definitely appear to have been in the wewst Belleville area. A growing area of 9 + indicated by National Weather Service Doppler
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Post by dragons7stegen on Sept 8, 2018 9:23:29 GMT -6
Just poured out rain gauge and storm total as of 10:23 this morning from yesterday afternoon to today was 6 inches here.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 9:24:51 GMT -6
Well I woke up to my brand new rain gauge that goes up to 5” overflown and a new pond in my backyard where there shouldn’t be a pond Pretty much agrees with Doppler estimates also. I think within 50-mile Doppler is estimating this rather well |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 9:27:09 GMT -6
It looks like the insanely intense stuff is now over. I imagine somewhere in St. Clair County West Belleville or just north of that they will top 10 in
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 9:30:46 GMT -6
Red Bud / Waterloo folks--any word on roads that way? Thinking best bet might be head through Sparta and over to Red Bud. There's no good way out of Marissa to New Athens.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 8, 2018 9:32:10 GMT -6
Here's the MRMS guage corrected rainfall estimate over the last 24 hours. (Note: The MRMS data feed to missing part of the grid.). Widespread 3-6" amounts with some 8"+ lollipops out there.  |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Sept 8, 2018 9:33:47 GMT -6
Highest on radarscope is 6 inches. Which happens to be imby. Do you know how far back your Radarscope goes? That may be just for today storm total goes to 7p 9.6.18. Digital storm total for me is 6.62 inches |
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Sept 8, 2018 9:33:50 GMT -6
Red Bud / Waterloo folks--any word on roads that way? Thinking best bet might be head through Sparta and over to Red Bud. There's no good way out of Marissa to New Athens. I was just driving around town, and it was fine. |
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Sept 8, 2018 9:34:09 GMT -6
Sis, also a MTW member, has had 7” in Ofallon Illinois, as of 9:30am. We have had 4.62 in Mascoutah
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Post by red12 Hillsboro,mo on Sept 8, 2018 9:34:15 GMT -6
5+ inches in imperial,mo rain guage was over flowing
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Sept 8, 2018 9:34:40 GMT -6
Red Bud / Waterloo folks--any word on roads that way? Thinking best bet might be head through Sparta and over to Red Bud. There's no good way out of Marissa to New Athens. So, 13 to 156 wouldn’t work? |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 9:35:13 GMT -6
What the heck is going on in Southwest Missouri? It's like they got a rotation down there with stuff going Southwest and Northeast right next to each other
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Post by John G -west belleville on Sept 8, 2018 9:35:56 GMT -6
I'm no expert on radar products, just reporting what i see. 920 can provide ground report
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 9:38:25 GMT -6
Red Bud / Waterloo folks--any word on roads that way? Thinking best bet might be head through Sparta and over to Red Bud. There's no good way out of Marissa to New Athens. So, 13 to 156 wouldn’t work? Going west out of Marissa is flooded right outside of town and again at Schirwin Farms between Lenzburg and NA. I saw vehicles going through the water just west of Marissa, but it's not a good idea. Schirwin Farms is probably worse. |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 9:39:20 GMT -6
Do you know how far back your Radarscope goes? That may be just for today storm total goes to 7p 9.6.18. Digital storm total for me is 6.62 inches Looking all the other reports coming in from people who have rain gauges that are similar to yours and some that are even higher I doubt that yours is that small. Doppler showing smaller amounts in Marissa and we got a rain gauge that was near 8 in there. Those Doppler estimates tend to be more accurate closer in than far away. |
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 9:43:00 GMT -6
Somebody else in town posted a picture of their basement. The water is halfway up their dryer door.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 8, 2018 9:47:40 GMT -6
It's been brought up a few times already, but there's definitely some growing concern about Florence. Recall that some modeling had Florence squirting through a weakness in the subtropical ridge with the help of a North Atlantic trough and curving out to sea. Well it missed that and is going to get stuck under a building Western Atlantic ridge and this is potentially bad news for the US. There still some hope that she can move around the western periphery of said ridge and miss the East Coast, but this will depend on the strength and location of that ridge (as well as the timing a trough working through the central CONUS too perhaps). As for intensity... After getting shredded by shear the storm is starting to recover and most modeling is pretty bullish on deepening with the best model HWRF (and others) showing a solid Cat 4+ storm approaching the coast. This seems reasonable for now given forecasts of low shear and very warm SSTs.  |
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 8, 2018 9:48:01 GMT -6
1.8" will do it for me in the St. Peters/Harvester area.
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 9:49:54 GMT -6
No going north, either. St.Libory Fire mutual aid of Freeburg, New Athens, Smithton and Fayetteville FD boat responding to a water rescue, vehicle submerged in water and occupied in the area of Pleasant Ridge School Rd at Lickenbrock.
That's actually closer to Darmstadt.
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 9:50:40 GMT -6
It's only a little bit of water. I can make it. Famous last words.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Sept 8, 2018 9:51:26 GMT -6
6.5 inches in my aunt's rain gauge near st. Clair country club.
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Post by Tilawn on Sept 8, 2018 9:54:44 GMT -6
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 8, 2018 9:58:11 GMT -6
Both the GFS and ECMWF did poorly with the placement of the QPF maxima. FV3 did reasonably well especially as we got closer to the event. Of the hurricane models HMON and COAMPS did the best with precipitation placement at long lead times with the later essentially nailing it 5 days out.
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Post by Tilawn on Sept 8, 2018 9:59:08 GMT -6
We have not had much here. If it wasn’t for the heavy drizzle/mist still coming down I would be out working today. Ground isn’t soggy at all here.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 10:01:05 GMT -6
RadarScope shows less in Marissa. We got a rain gauge report of nearly 8 in there. What gives?
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 8, 2018 10:01:05 GMT -6
Not trying to ignore some of the ongoing flooding situation at home, but there's a lot going on for US interests in general. So I should also mention that Hurricane Olivia, while weakening, is expected to move through the Hawaiian Islands.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Sept 8, 2018 10:05:51 GMT -6
So I guess we must conclude that The Radars missed the jackpot which was probably Marissa.
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Post by dschreib on Sept 8, 2018 10:08:06 GMT -6
So I guess we must conclude that The Radars missed the jackpot which was probably Marissa. There are definitely two areas of big totals--our way and Belleville way. It's f'ing absurd that there's no FF warning for St. Clair County. Multiple roads underwater, half of Marissa underwater, vehicle rescue underway. I understand people don't pay attention to them anyway, but really...what does it take? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 8, 2018 10:11:00 GMT -6
Not trying to ignore some of the ongoing flooding situation at home, but there's a lot going on for US interests in general. So I should also mention that Hurricane Olivia, while weakening, is expected to move through the Hawaiian Islands. Florence looks like it’s going to be big trouble for somewhere on the east coast. I think the Euro last night had a major hurricane making landfall just south of Myrtle Beach |
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Sept 8, 2018 10:12:48 GMT -6
Obviously there is a sharp cut off in some areas. We have .7" in the gauge and not complaining. Sorry for those having to deal with serious flooding.
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