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Post by dschreib on Nov 3, 2018 22:07:39 GMT -6
Blues are lifeless again tonight after showing signs of getting out of the funk the past couple games. Since we fire coaches around holidays, Yeo is packing his bags either on Veterans Day or Thanksgiving. Yea, really sad. I had hope after the last couple games but wow I mean they just didn't show the will to play from the first puck drop. How can it look so different from night to night? Apparently Bouwmeester has pictures or video of Yeo...or Army...or both...doing something that they shouldn't. That's the only explanation I have for him still lacing up the skates on game days. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 3, 2018 22:51:20 GMT -6
I haven't been too jazzed about next week's system except for the cold air behind it...that looks legit. Any frozen precip will probably be light and on the tail end here. Now don't start your negativity! 😉 Ya 00z GFS=NOTHING late week |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 3, 2018 23:35:00 GMT -6
I was concerned about fr dz with the setup earlier....but main thing is that the models were showing pretty good setup this early, and when they do that, my thinking would indicate some pretty good storms later this winter.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 4, 2018 7:29:20 GMT -6
00z euro and 6z fv3 suggest the gfs has overcorrected (typical at the day 5 range).
I'm hiking the Grand Canyon with the wife, so somebody else is on weather model duty today lol.
Have a great Sunday everyone!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 4, 2018 7:37:52 GMT -6
00z euro and 6z fv3 suggest the gfs has overcorrected (typical at the day 5 range). I'm hiking the Grand Canyon with the wife, so somebody else is on weather model duty today lol. Have a great Sunday everyone! Yea, actually looks good again. Seems the regular Gfs is in the beginning stages of catching back up at the 06z run. This will be a good early test of the NEW Gfs as we get closer. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 4, 2018 9:21:40 GMT -6
Yeah, EURO would support an advisory level event next week...interesting.
I'm still leaning towards a nuisance/non-event but it still bears watching considering the best model is showing a MEM low scenario.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 4, 2018 10:14:13 GMT -6
Awful early for anything significant. I'm skeptical for that reason alone
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Post by rb1108 on Nov 4, 2018 10:25:24 GMT -6
I gotta say the talk of the cold coming at the end of the week, and even the possibility of flurries or light snow, has really gotten me into the holiday spirit. I hope this weather is continuing when the Holidays are actually here!
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 4, 2018 11:27:12 GMT -6
supergfs continues early am trends.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 4, 2018 11:36:52 GMT -6
supergfs continues early am trends. Yea but old Gfs and Canadian say nope. |
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Post by mchafin on Nov 4, 2018 12:02:57 GMT -6
supergfs continues early am trends. Yea but old Gfs and Canadian say nope. I gotta say that I’m pretty impressed with the superGFS, for obvious reasons. It’s been somewhat consistent, and time will tell if it’s been consistently wrong. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 4, 2018 12:31:00 GMT -6
euro has a quick hit of an inch or 2 Thursday night
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 4, 2018 12:39:50 GMT -6
Is the supergfs, FV3-gfs??
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Post by mchafin on Nov 4, 2018 12:42:15 GMT -6
Is the supergfs, FV3-gfs?? Yup |
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 4, 2018 12:45:19 GMT -6
Looking at the old vs new GFS... couple of trends I think to follow. We need to see how quick the jet across the Ohio Valley exits... if it back builds- I would think this would push things south... Also look at the jet coming into the northern Rockies. New GFS is noticeably more north/south oriented... this will help at least sharpen the flow, keep it more intact and further north.   |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 4, 2018 13:17:50 GMT -6
Cant help but think the super-GFS and euro are onto something. I have a feeling those two are going to become good friends. Much better friends than the old GFS and Euro
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 4, 2018 15:59:41 GMT -6
We've gone from a 60% of rain and snow to a 30% on Thursday. The forecast in st louis is allergic to the word snow, especially since last winter. I find this amusing. Especially since we've had 100% rain chances the last week, including tomorrow now.
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Post by birddog on Nov 4, 2018 16:24:57 GMT -6
I have recorded 2" of rain from The last two rain events this week 1.5" and .5" respectively. Lost a lot of leaves today, between the rain and wind combo.
I am not a meteorologist, but last winter is still pretty fresh in my memory and putting much faith in models this far out...yeah, I'll pass. Seeing is believing.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 4, 2018 16:36:47 GMT -6
The Euro went from a medium-to-high impact event near KC to a low impact event for most of the I-70 corridor.
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Post by pbc12871 on Nov 4, 2018 16:49:14 GMT -6
Can't wait to see our first snowfall product happen..and watch as it get hacked away like a Thanksgiving turkey.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 4, 2018 16:53:23 GMT -6
Can't wait to see our first snowfall product happen..and watch as it get hacked away like a Thanksgiving turkey. PBC, you're definitely my favorite this time of year. Never afraid to brutalize our optimism! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 4, 2018 17:08:09 GMT -6
Can't wait to see our first snowfall product happen..and watch as it get hacked away like a Thanksgiving turkey. PBC, you're definitely my favorite this time of year. Never afraid to brutalize our optimism! Like clockwork... |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 4, 2018 17:30:46 GMT -6
supergfs continues the trend.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 4, 2018 18:02:39 GMT -6
Time to chime in before bed. I've been at Scott AFB all weekend...and soon off to bed.
I am of the opinion that the system for late this week is more a novelty because we are so early in the season...and there is a chance for some snowflakes. Previous beefy solutions were clearly overcooked...fun digital snow pictures for sure...but I think most of us knew that those solutions were unlikely.
Looking at the pattern for late this week...I think something in the flavor of the 18z GFSfv3 and the 12z Euro..makes synoptic sense...and fits more with what we've seen so far this Fall. A lead 500mb shortwave in what is effectively the southern branch of the jet gets forced/sheared/scouped out ahead of the diving/digging polar jet max that is plunging south out of western Canada. The somewhat channeled PVA in advance of this shearing shortwave...along with what appears to be some weak jet streak dynamics in the jet enterance region...will work together to promote a broad, but fairly moisture starved region of weak lift...from KS into MO. This all occurs over the top of a very marginal cold air mass. I suspect this will be a cold, light rain event...that either mixes with or ends as some light snow and/or flurries. At this point...considering wet ground conditions, marginal temps and generally weak forcing...I think accumulations are unlikely. But some mood snow or novelty snow is possible...which makes it notable. But in terms of major systems... it is not. That's my thought at this stage in the game.
In short...operational GFS is too dry. FV3 and Euro are probably still a bit too wet...but closer to reality than the operational GFS.
So...when faced with this forecast in a few hours for the AM show...I will probably go with some cold light rain...possibly mixing with or changing to a touch of light snow or flurries. Mood snow...but nothing of concern.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Nov 4, 2018 20:09:12 GMT -6
Up here Wunderground was at first calling for a few inches, then snow showers, and now it's going to be sunny. Cold, but sunny. I'll be fine with flurries to nothing, getting our new bed that morning (since the movers destroyed our bed in the move).
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 4, 2018 22:02:12 GMT -6
I'd be more than happy with some nice mood snow. That's all ive really thought this system might bring anyway. Its difficult to get accumulating snow around here in early November
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 4, 2018 22:09:31 GMT -6
00z gfs picks up on the 500mb "scoop"
slightly more robust sfc reflections, a la supergfs/EURO
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 4, 2018 22:14:33 GMT -6
00z gfs picks up on the 500mb "scoop" slightly more robust sfc reflections, a la supergfs/EURO Some northern stream/clipper energy getting involved to. I think most of us will see flakes flying late this upcoming week |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 4, 2018 23:32:23 GMT -6
Super GFS still showing possible accumulating snow Thursday evening
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 5, 2018 8:02:01 GMT -6
Anyone know anything about a weather website called goweathernow.com? A relative of my wife said they are calling for a blizzard in central and northern Illinois late this week. I went to the web site and it appears to be little more than a clickbait site. The "about us" page gives no information about who or what organization they are associated with. What better way to generate advertising clicks than to post outrageous weather forecasts?
Just wondering if someone else knows something more about this site that would prove my assessment wrong.
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