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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 7, 2018 0:02:27 GMT -6
Definitely would see some precip with that.  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 7, 2018 0:49:23 GMT -6
Don't look at the euro. Major winter storm next Tuesday. Lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 7, 2018 1:14:39 GMT -6
Don't look at the euro. Major winter storm next Tuesday. Lol Has some characteristics of the Halloween "Perfect Winter-Non Winter" Storm. This time with cold air though |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 7, 2018 1:22:42 GMT -6
Don't look at the euro. Major winter storm next Tuesday. Lol Has some characteristics of the Halloween "Perfect Winter-Non Winter" Storm. This time with cold air though was thinking that too.. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 7, 2018 1:25:30 GMT -6
Has some characteristics of the Halloween "Perfect Winter-Non Winter" Storm. This time with cold air though was thinking that too.. Some of the GEFS members are on board with the euro as well. Something to keep an eye on for sure |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 7, 2018 4:16:35 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 7, 2018 4:26:08 GMT -6
6zGFS has a storm now next Tuesdayish. Has a snow for the mid south and TN valley.
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Post by bororug on Nov 7, 2018 5:35:08 GMT -6
The euro looks beautiful for Tuesday. Please make this happen Snowman!
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Post by toddatfarmington on Nov 7, 2018 7:51:14 GMT -6
I removed this post until I receive clarification that the information I posted is for public consumption.
Sorry for any confusion.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 7, 2018 8:19:41 GMT -6
I removed this post until I receive clarification that the information I posted is for public consumption. Sorry for any confusion. What post did you remove? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 7, 2018 8:23:04 GMT -6
12z nam goes nuts...
Interesting with the usual caveat that the nam does this occasionally.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 7, 2018 8:26:59 GMT -6
Nice cap this morning Chris!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 7, 2018 8:52:58 GMT -6
I think the northern half of the viewing area will see a light coating when they wake up Friday morning. I'm likely singing in the rain down here but may squeeze out a couple flakes at the end.
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Post by weatherj on Nov 7, 2018 9:06:36 GMT -6
I understand Todd's concerns on the link he posted, but I really believe it should be allowed (Chris and the mods decision, of course). It is a great explanation of the new probability of snow product. Fish does an outstanding job breaking it down, it's a great tool and many on this blog would be very interested in the information provided.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 7, 2018 9:08:18 GMT -6
Did I miss something? What link are we debating?
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Post by weatherj on Nov 7, 2018 9:12:22 GMT -6
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Post by toddatfarmington on Nov 7, 2018 9:12:42 GMT -6
Chris has given me permission to post, my concern was not about content or source, simply if the product was ready for public consumption. This is the NWS Probability of Snowfall Experiment 2018-2019, composed by Jim Sieveking, as you would expect, a great view and great content. www.youtube.com/watch?v=hk0V7rRJr9M&feature=youtu.be |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 7, 2018 9:14:56 GMT -6
This group is safe  I think the forecast remains largely on track... cold rain transitions to snow for a few hours....from west to east..some light slushy build up on grass and elevated surfaces is possible...mainly northwest of I-44 and north of I-70. Mostly a mood snow...with limited...if any impacts. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 7, 2018 9:15:25 GMT -6
Hope to see some good things from the gfs at 12z for early next week. With the trend and Euro support, I am intrigued.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 7, 2018 9:16:49 GMT -6
As for Monday night and Tuesday... I sort of ignored that system yesterday and just bought into the cold and didn't talk much about the precip potential as it was very questionable. This morning... I felt the need to add at least some mention about it...and a token "winter mix" for Monday night and Tuesday. In reality... it could still very well be nothing...or it could slide forward or backward by as much as 24 hours (or more)...but I felt it was wise to mention something...but not dwell on it.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 7, 2018 9:18:14 GMT -6
We gotta get the flow to slow down a bit and get it to amplify early so the east coast weenies don't steal it from us. Some good battles early on here in the season between the models.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 7, 2018 9:37:51 GMT -6
The EURO is definitely a beautiful setup for early next week. Haven’t even seen a storm like that show up on models for this period in November in years. If only we could just get half of that pretty picture....
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 7, 2018 10:26:57 GMT -6
We gotta get the flow to slow down a bit and get it to amplify early so the east coast weenies don't steal it from us. Some good battles early on here in the season between the models. this! |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 7, 2018 11:38:13 GMT -6
We gotta get the flow to slow down a bit and get it to amplify early so the east coast weenies don't steal it from us. Some good battles early on here in the season between the models. this! Yeah we need the trof to take on a neutral or negative tilt or the storm will get suppressed well to the south. 00z EURO is pretty much a pipe dream, haha. But there's potential for a good storm somewhere if there is favorable phasing. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 7, 2018 12:16:57 GMT -6
Gfs sure was a buzzkill eh?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 7, 2018 12:21:44 GMT -6
The wind through the DGZ for the system tomorrow evening is going to be pushing and even exceeding 50kts. Dont think we will see any big wet hamsters
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 7, 2018 12:45:43 GMT -6
Euro has a few inches of snow Monday now
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 7, 2018 12:53:59 GMT -6
Super GFS has some snow Sunday. So between the old GFS, euro, and super GFS, we have three different solutions. One of them is probably right lol
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 7, 2018 12:58:20 GMT -6
It's going to be cold enough for something, whatever it is!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 7, 2018 13:03:37 GMT -6
Well it's not 40" but the forecast for west central Kansas is now for 3-5" tomorrow.
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