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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 9, 2018 14:33:33 GMT -6
Just got a strong burst of flurries in O’Fallon, Il.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 9, 2018 14:49:45 GMT -6
healthy snow bursts northest of MZZU radar.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 9, 2018 14:51:41 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 9, 2018 14:52:10 GMT -6
There's still plenty of room for the next system to come further N...actually the upper pattern seems to support that, IMO. Models are awfully far SE with the SLP track given the primary shortwave hanging back by hundreds of miles. The GFS is especially bad with these kind of setups. Hope you're right. Kinda stuck my neck out on this one lol. Chris, any thoughts about Monday? |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 9, 2018 15:05:38 GMT -6
There's still plenty of room for the next system to come further N...actually the upper pattern seems to support that, IMO. Models are awfully far SE with the SLP track given the primary shortwave hanging back by hundreds of miles. The GFS is especially bad with these kind of setups. Hope you're right. Kinda stuck my neck out on this one lol. Chris, any thoughts about Monday? Seasonal trend already has been established that more energy remains intact in the base of the trough as system's eject out. GFS has already shown on several occasion's a biased toward limited QPF in the cold air. I see a fairly week surface reflection... with more banded precip stretched out in the cold air...like layers in a sandwich getting pressed together. I also believe some jet streak dynamics will come into play. I like the idea of a light snow system spreading up near...southeast of I-44 in MO...with metro STL on the northern edge of the snow...and then near amd south I-70 in Illinois. I could see this being a 1-2 type storm from STL to the southeast. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 9, 2018 15:09:14 GMT -6
light snow falling and the sun came out
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 9, 2018 15:17:32 GMT -6
Hope you're right. Kinda stuck my neck out on this one lol. Chris, any thoughts about Monday? Seasonal trend already has been established that more energy remains intact in the base of the trough as system's eject out. GFS has already shown on several occasion's a biased toward limited QPF in the cold air. I see a fairly week surface reflection... with more banded precip stretched out in the cold air...like layers in a sandwich getting pressed together. I also believe some jet streak dynamics will come into play. I like the idea of a light snow system spreading up near...southeast of I-44 in MO...with metro STL on the northern edge of the snow...and then near amd south I-70 in Illinois. I could see this being a 1-2 type storm from STL to the southeast. Thanks for the input. I would take that. |
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arnoldmo
Weather Weenie
141 and Astraway, Arnold MO.
Posts: 29 
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Post by arnoldmo on Nov 9, 2018 15:24:46 GMT -6
Sleetish mix at Lemay Ferry and Revis in South County.
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luvhockey
Junior Forecaster
Arnold MO 1/2 mile from the Meramec Mississippi confluence
Posts: 455 
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Post by luvhockey on Nov 9, 2018 15:25:28 GMT -6
Sleeting in Arnold with a few flurries mixed in
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 9, 2018 15:30:34 GMT -6
Radar is picking up lightning just east of Colombia. There’s that instability
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 9, 2018 15:45:27 GMT -6
Snow in St. Peters. Some very fine flakes and a few larger ones
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2018 15:57:02 GMT -6
18Z GFS finally starting to pick up on the Monday system, still south but a decent shift north with the precip in the cold air. it even has a very light snow/rain/mixing type set up with the WWA Sunday night/Monday AM.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2018 15:58:49 GMT -6
Barely a few small flakes now but that sky just looks like it wants to dump snow. It just has that look.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 9, 2018 16:06:56 GMT -6
18Z RGEM shows some frontgenetic lift Sunday morning into early after noon yielding a light mix right along I-70 especially in Missouri and just getting into the metro
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Post by landscaper on Nov 9, 2018 16:12:56 GMT -6
I’m surprised the radar sure doesn’t look very impressive at this point. Still no real snow yet in Wentzville today
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 9, 2018 16:15:53 GMT -6
flurries and peeks of sun
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 9, 2018 16:21:06 GMT -6
I’m surprised the radar sure doesn’t look very impressive at this point. Still no real snow yet in Wentzville today Those squalls are producing some very heavy snow. Several reports of near whiteout conditions under them |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 9, 2018 16:23:20 GMT -6
ok,but what's it going to do? Snow for a half hour?
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 9, 2018 16:25:39 GMT -6
Sleet/snow mix blowing across the highway in Ste. Gen.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 9, 2018 16:30:36 GMT -6
Have our first flakes of the season, mixed with some sleet....oh how I have missed this sight!!
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304
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Post by padlur on Nov 9, 2018 16:30:56 GMT -6
Big fluffy mood flakes falling
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 9, 2018 16:35:12 GMT -6
it's like clear here, lol
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 9, 2018 16:45:47 GMT -6
ok,but what's it going to do? Snow for a half hour? More like 5-10 mins |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 9, 2018 16:48:35 GMT -6
They should have issued the wwa for the stl metro area for 4pm to 6pm and that's still too long.
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Post by mchafin on Nov 9, 2018 16:54:08 GMT -6
The should have issued the wwa for the stl metro area for 4pm to 6pm and that's still too long. I just drove thru a squall on 44. WWA is appropriate. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 9, 2018 16:54:26 GMT -6
It's looking like a 30-40 min burst of heavy snow.
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Post by Tilawn on Nov 9, 2018 17:06:18 GMT -6
Holy wind with huge burst of snow!! Quickly dusted everything in site. Temp still at 34. Only lasted 3-4 minutes with the heaviest stuff
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Post by bororug on Nov 9, 2018 17:06:55 GMT -6
Darn near clear in Desoto as well. Temp has dropped to 31. Buddy near Washington said it was coming down pretty good out there.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 9, 2018 17:08:20 GMT -6
The should have issued the wwa for the stl metro area for 4pm to 6pm and that's still too long. I just drove thru a squall on 44. WWA is appropriate. Like i said..for maybe 2 hrs..not 8. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 9, 2018 17:08:42 GMT -6
The setting sun was shining on the cumuliform cloud tops earlier...looked like a line of thunderstorms moving in!
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