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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 18:36:29 GMT -6
Sleet snow mix in Perryville right now, though radar doesn't show much. It has been trying to expand over the Ozarks and hopefully should soon.
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Post by bororug on Nov 12, 2018 18:36:49 GMT -6
Starting to snow at a decent clip here in Desoto.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 12, 2018 18:38:56 GMT -6
Consistent light snow in Fairview heights
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 12, 2018 18:45:16 GMT -6
Very light snow but nothing accumulating temp 32
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Post by RyanD on Nov 12, 2018 18:49:02 GMT -6
Absolutely nothing in Waterloo. I haven't even received a dusting so far  If Thursday doesn't pan out then as usual I'll have nothing. Oh well, we rarely see snow this early so tough to complain too much but it may end up another wasted span of cold and storminess. |
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 12, 2018 18:59:29 GMT -6
There is a decent consensus on the EPS and GEFS for a southeast MO and southern IL target zone for the snow maxima on Thursday.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 12, 2018 19:00:30 GMT -6
Officially up to 1.0" of snow at the airport for today as of 6 PM.
I'm down to 29*. Now is the time for icy patch accidents to start.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 12, 2018 19:00:47 GMT -6
i think synoptically, we have something to be interested in. southwestern lows, cutoffs, prospects of nao turning negative. lots of puzzle pieces coming together. if you missed out, this winter is just getting started. everybody will benefit imo, and i really think the southerners will be hit alot.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 19:05:42 GMT -6
Sleet/snow picking up a bit now in Perryville. Cars getting white.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 12, 2018 19:28:39 GMT -6
saw a report of sleet in jackson.
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Post by landscaper on Nov 12, 2018 19:55:27 GMT -6
It has been snowing for hours in Wentzville, you can hardly see the grass any more. Just ran out and untreated roads and lots are finally getting covered. We have been very lucky so far this year we will probably be around 2.5” today, 2” last Thursday and .5” Friday. Thursday could be good, but I could also see it missing us as well.
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 12, 2018 19:58:50 GMT -6
A couple of dustings, nothing covering grass in the last couple of systems in Festus! Glad everyone else is getting lots!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 12, 2018 20:08:56 GMT -6
Radar showing decent returns but just a steady flurry here...the accumulating snow looks to be over. Nice little event...bummer that our southern friends missed out again.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 20:12:39 GMT -6
Snow is still coming down lightly but nonetheless steadily and accumulating here still.
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Post by mosue56 on Nov 12, 2018 20:23:26 GMT -6
Up north means those in Franklin and St Louis counties got snow! Down here in southern Jeffco it’s down south where so far this year it’s a bust! We will wait on winter, it’ll happen!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 12, 2018 20:25:00 GMT -6
Thursday's system is definitely intriguing...but there seems to be a narrow window for the upper low to actually lift NE before being swept along to the E by the N stream shortwave rippling over the de-amplifying ridge upstream. Despite pretty good model consensus, I'm not sold that they have a good handle on the movement and evolution of this storm yet.
Right now I think another advisory level event is possible for the SE half or so of the CWA...but there are quite a few moving parts and relative unknowns to iron out. Normally I wouldn't get too excited about an upper low tracking along or S of the OH river, but models are showing a very well-developed TROWAL feature which spreads snowfall well to the N of the mid-level low. This system reminds me somewhat of the March 4th, 2008 event in that regard...obviously not a perfect match but definitely some similarities there. One big difference is that a fresh cold airmass was arriving during that event and this time it's retreating. So it's a much more borderline situation and will definitely rely on dynamical cooling for snowfall. Because of that, cutoffs and jackpots could be very localized and tough to predict accurately...and it could even be a situation where it's raining outside of the heavy snow band.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 12, 2018 20:31:24 GMT -6
0Z NAM still good for Thursday, if not slightly better looking.
Also faster coming in so it starts off in the Wee hours of Thursday morning before sunrise with the heaviest part allowing for fast accumulations and better chances for an all snow event.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 20:32:41 GMT -6
Nam looks further nw by a bit on thursday
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Post by RyanD on Nov 12, 2018 20:32:57 GMT -6
Radar showing decent returns but just a steady flurry here...the accumulating snow looks to be over. Nice little event...bummer that our southern friends missed out again. nothing new here lol! Happens way too often but oh well.... I try not to complain as much as I used to. No doubt the going forecast busted here since most had me in the maxima and all I got was a dusting while ago. So far I've seen two dustings for a grand total of maybe .2". Hard to complain about that considering we rarely see snow in November. It's crazy though that some places have seen nearly 5" so far! The northern areas were not even supposed to see an inch today. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 12, 2018 20:34:17 GMT -6
00z nam is going to be incredible
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 20:36:27 GMT -6
Steady light snow here in Perryville with some bigger flakes trying to mix in. The HRRR has the back edge sit on us for like 6 hours lol but who knows if that will verify. Getting a taste at least.
And yea about that Nam...this could be fun. Just so unusual that it's tough to buy in just yet.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 12, 2018 20:38:18 GMT -6
NAM almost has a convective look to it with how blotchy and bubbly it’s qpf is
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Post by landscaper on Nov 12, 2018 20:39:11 GMT -6
NAM is beautiful, is giving love to the whole metro are, actually has the heaviest band just northwest of the metro
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 12, 2018 20:39:16 GMT -6
Core of the heaviest snow is just west of the Metro, but that might be too far west and likely will be St. Louis into Carbondale due to the heaviest falling snow in that area at night/early morning then a bit of a pivot of the heavy band along from Rolla into Litchfield before collapsing around Dinner time Thursday (5-8PM) with moderate to heavy snow most of the day in some areas.
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Post by ajd446 on Nov 12, 2018 20:39:18 GMT -6
Ya nam gives metro west a pounding bout like today. However I want the Eastern folks to get some too. I'm at 4 inches in first 2 weeks of November. I good lets spread the love
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 20:39:41 GMT -6
NAM almost has a convective look to it with how blotchy and bubbly it’s qpf is Yea, would be some very heavy snow. Maybe in a couple tight bands which could mean some haves and have nots. But the pivoting action would likely give everyone a taste. Great start to the 00z runs. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 12, 2018 20:40:09 GMT -6
NAM almost has a convective look to it with how blotchy and bubbly it’s qpf is Might be some thunder in there, who knows. Wouldn't surprise me one bit given the oddity of this whole thing. |
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Nov 12, 2018 20:43:25 GMT -6
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Nov 12, 2018 20:43:39 GMT -6
Got a little dusting on the roof of the garage here, that’s it. Same In Maryville IL when I left about an hour ago.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 12, 2018 20:48:10 GMT -6
3KM NAM hits St. Louis to Marion, IL hard between midnight to 3AM Wednesday Night/Early Thursday AM.
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If Thursday doesn't pan out then as usual I'll have nothing. Oh well, we rarely see snow this early so tough to complain too much but it may end up another wasted span of cold and storminess.
