stormspotter63640
Junior Forecaster
Farmington MO
Posts: 273 
Snowfall Events: 11/21/15. First flurries!!!
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Post by stormspotter63640 on Nov 14, 2018 10:50:38 GMT -6
leaving st Francois out of the WSW? I demand a recount  |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 14, 2018 10:51:01 GMT -6
Farmington is knee deep in the WSW.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 10:51:07 GMT -6
The classic pre-storm panic Happens every system almost like clock work. Gotta love it |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Nov 14, 2018 10:51:59 GMT -6
I just want enough to call off school, yet still allow me to get to my deer stand at daybreak tomorrow!  |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 14, 2018 10:54:21 GMT -6
i wonder if stc gets warned more because on the shape of the county. i can still see a sharp gradient in snow totals from one end to the other...shld actually say a bit more sharper gradient as im seeing a faster fwd speed on the bowling ball.
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Post by Farmtown WX on Nov 14, 2018 11:02:49 GMT -6
Except for down here where nobody lives ..... Yep. Not sure how their graphic shows us smack in the middle of the 4-6” area but yet we are not given the WSW. Crazy. |
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Post by landscaper on Nov 14, 2018 11:04:28 GMT -6
I think St. Charles county gets warned because every single model except the GFS shows warning level snow 4-8”. I think that is very likely, most models have the pivot point right over STC with no dry slotting .
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Post by Jeffmw on Nov 14, 2018 11:04:49 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning.
Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season.
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Post by pbc12871 on Nov 14, 2018 11:05:45 GMT -6
That's my fear.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 14, 2018 11:06:29 GMT -6
Farmington is knee deep in the WSW. My bad I clicked in the wrong county... |
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Post by jkfriedmann on Nov 14, 2018 11:07:38 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season.  |
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Post by yypc on Nov 14, 2018 11:08:16 GMT -6
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Post by yypc on Nov 14, 2018 11:09:06 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season. At least its not the last 3 terrible winters anymore. It's been since early January 2014.....that was the last noteworthy storm. A pessimistic outlook would say we will have the next one around 2021 or so  |
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Post by GlendaleWxGuy on Nov 14, 2018 11:09:18 GMT -6
 Pretty Great map for about 90% of us. Not a bad little November surprise. |
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Post by jason0101 on Nov 14, 2018 11:10:25 GMT -6
This is a nice surprise. I'm in the 5" area on that map!
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Nov 14, 2018 11:10:59 GMT -6
Just got off the NWS conference call. 5-7 inches STL proper, out here in Sullivan, 3-5 inches. Max centered just east of the Metro. Onset 6-9pm today for MO, ending in MO noon to 3pm tomorrow. Slight concern for areas that receive 6"+ due to leaves still on the trees...localized power outages are possible.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Nov 14, 2018 11:11:48 GMT -6
Well St Louis didn't bow to the model pressure. Bring It On
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Post by packrat on Nov 14, 2018 11:15:09 GMT -6
Some of you are doing your best to suck all of the fun out of this today but I’m not having it!
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Mirror Mirror
Wishcaster
Wentzville, MO
Posts: 161
Snowfall Events: 2013-14 - Est. Total 25.8"
2014-15 - Est. Total 14.5"
2015-18 - Did it snow?
2018-19 - 22.2" (so far)
Jan 13 2019 - 12.0"
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Post by Mirror Mirror on Nov 14, 2018 11:15:59 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season. I will take the over at any $ amount you want to set. |
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Mirror Mirror
Wishcaster
Wentzville, MO
Posts: 161
Snowfall Events: 2013-14 - Est. Total 25.8"
2014-15 - Est. Total 14.5"
2015-18 - Did it snow?
2018-19 - 22.2" (so far)
Jan 13 2019 - 12.0"
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Post by Mirror Mirror on Nov 14, 2018 11:17:13 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season. Well played. +500 points |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 14, 2018 11:18:51 GMT -6
And we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Also who wants to bet when we are settled after this wave. This will be the only snow we will see this season. I will take the over at any $ amount you want to set. Uh yea, I'm right there with ya. The cold is hardcore locked in Canada. This is not a one-off. Let's not even mention that the EPO and NAO are forecast to tank over the next two weeks. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 14, 2018 11:19:41 GMT -6
Well St Louis didn't bow to the model pressure. Bring It On I love it. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 14, 2018 11:21:12 GMT -6
Just got off the NWS conference call. 5-7 inches STL proper, out here in Sullivan, 3-5 inches. Max centered just east of the Metro. Onset 6-9pm today for MO, ending in MO noon to 3pm tomorrow. Slight concern for areas that receive 6"+ due to leaves still on the trees...localized power outages are possible. That is one thing I was thinking about. This is going to be a wet snow and so many trees are still filled with leaves. I have an apple tree right now that looks like it's in mid summer form almost. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 14, 2018 11:28:08 GMT -6
the only bowing so far this year is the GFS to the EURO
edit: and it turns out his new buddy mr. supergfs isn't feeling too hot either.
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 14, 2018 11:32:34 GMT -6
Well St Louis didn't bow to the model pressure. Bring It On I love it. There are too many QPF watchers. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Nov 14, 2018 11:39:06 GMT -6
I will take the over at any $ amount you want to set. Uh yea, I'm right there with ya. The cold is hardcore locked in Canada. This is not a one-off. Let's not even mention that the EPO and NAO are forecast to tank over the next two weeks. in the past an early cold outbreak presented a concern of draining the artic. thats not the case this year. we are also more prone to spinning up storm system this year. i think we see more winters with higher snow totals when it snows in november. trends in teleconnections wld favor addl snow. i wld bet against this being a one off event this year. |
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Post by ComoEsJn on Nov 14, 2018 11:46:04 GMT -6
well, the kids and teachers are significantly excited, the WSW has done its job, lol
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 14, 2018 11:46:33 GMT -6
With clouds now socked in and a NE breeze I doubt we get above freezing today. That will make 2 days of below freezing temps so the snow will have no problem sticking on surfaces including roads
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Post by dschreib on Nov 14, 2018 11:47:37 GMT -6
There are too many QPF watchers. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me for three years, shame...shame on...we won't be fooled again. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 14, 2018 11:48:25 GMT -6
It is awesome to see this come to fruition. Whether it snows in your back yard 5 inches or 2, this storm, this early, this far south is a thing of beauty and why I personally love the weather! I, like many on this forum, understand the frustration of having and not having. We certainly have a lot of not having. But I have said this many times and continue to believe that getting mad over something you have NO control over is a waste of energy. Just my two cents. I have milk, bread and barley water and will use some PTO tomorrow so I can enjoy whatever happens. Have a great day y'all!
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