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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 12, 2018 0:42:25 GMT -6
Using the Kuchera snow maps, the Euro bullseyes the metro with a foot of snow Thursday lol
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 2:16:04 GMT -6
Euro ensembles have pretty damn good agreement with the operational with the system on Thursday. Have several more inches on top of the 2 or so Monday.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 2:34:03 GMT -6
Looks like 26/50 members plus the control have some decent snow with the late week system. With several very near misses. Interesting.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 12, 2018 3:15:06 GMT -6
That is certainly an interesting run. This is now 3 fantasy storms by my count that have been shown by the Euro in and around Missouri this month. The first 2 were mostly flops relative to how much snow the Euro was advertising 5+ days out so it's hard to be skeptical this go around too especially considering that there isn't much support from the GFS or UKMET.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 4:00:57 GMT -6
ruh roh. The 6zGFS has a good snow here on Thursday. Hmmm
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Post by bororug on Nov 12, 2018 4:33:02 GMT -6
Believe we said this last week around this time but Snowman if you can make this run of the Euro happen for today & Thursday, please do!
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Post by pbc12871 on Nov 12, 2018 5:03:12 GMT -6
Fwiw..I will be in Camden County deer hunting Thursday. This should greatly improve the chances of a decent snow in St.Louis.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 12, 2018 5:13:10 GMT -6
Leaning on a slightly drier EURO for today's forecast. As for thursday... just not sure what to think... it is so wierd. carrying token mix for now... but still not sold on it getting this far west.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 12, 2018 5:29:21 GMT -6
Using the Kuchera snow maps, the Euro bullseyes the metro with a foot of snow Thursday lol Lock that in! |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 5:50:46 GMT -6
Drizzle is reaching the ground with a couple pings of sleet from my Deer stand in Villa Ridge.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 6:26:37 GMT -6
6z Euro continues with big storm over the area Thursday. Actually looks a bit further west than previous runs.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 12, 2018 6:42:53 GMT -6
6z Euro continues with big storm over the area Thursday. Actually looks a bit further west than previous runs. Does it make it any further north? You guys are killing me on snow events so far. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 6:44:18 GMT -6
Nam is also very far west for wed night thurs. Hard to buy into something that crazy but can't deny the model consensus. The retreating attic airmass is helping it form/maintain its cold core I assume?
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 12, 2018 6:49:10 GMT -6
6z Euro continues with big storm over the area Thursday. Actually looks a bit further west than previous runs. Does it make it any further north? You guys are killing me on snow events so far. No, you get nada. I wouldnt say killing. Ive had like .1 so far. Lol. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 12, 2018 6:58:35 GMT -6
6z Euro continues with big storm over the area Thursday. Actually looks a bit further west than previous runs. Does it make it any further north? You guys are killing me on snow events so far. I have not even had the .1 so far lol it’s been more aggravating than fun.... at least Friday night I was in Waterloo and did get to see it snow with a solid dusting ... |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 12, 2018 7:05:50 GMT -6
Does it make it any further north? You guys are killing me on snow events so far. No, you get nada. I wouldnt say killing. Ive had like .1 so far. Lol. I felt like complaining lol. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 12, 2018 7:10:36 GMT -6
Any snow we get today is a bonus.
This is really crazy when you put this in context.
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Nov 12, 2018 7:18:09 GMT -6
Temps are concerning, flirted with 50 yesterday and only down to 37 this morning.
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Post by jmg378s on Nov 12, 2018 7:21:25 GMT -6
Less than 75nm separation between tracks of the 500mb low on the 0z GFS/UKM/ECM/CMC as it deepens and passes to our south later in the week and seeing a TROWAL-like feature on the 700mb theta-e charts. But how cold will it be and how much moisture gets slung back to the north and west? I'm still very skeptical and interested at the same time.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Nov 12, 2018 7:26:16 GMT -6
Any snow we get today is a bonus. This is really crazy when you put this in context. Does seem like the 'bust' potential especially for the metro area grows by the hour. |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 7:27:42 GMT -6
Sure looks like there is a good amount of moisture bubbling up from the south and radar looks to be holding strong.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 12, 2018 7:29:04 GMT -6
Less than 75nm separation between tracks of the 500mb low on the 0z GFS/UKM/ECM/CMC as it deepens and passes to our south later in the week and seeing a TROWAL-like feature on the 700mb theta-e charts. But how cold will it be and how much moisture gets slung back to the north and west? I'm still very skeptical and interested at the same time. That is where I am at too. Have to include a mix in the forecast... but this is a strange setup for sure. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 7:35:06 GMT -6
If Thursday happens there is a lot of moisture being pulled up and around straight from the gulf.
Shame it got a little too warm for today. Most should still get a decent coating on the ground I think.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 7:40:10 GMT -6
Good bubble of development in central mo. Maybe that will ! NOT ALLOWED ! the temp. increase. I'm looking for any and all positives at the moment.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 7:44:24 GMT -6
Good bubble of development in central mo. Maybe that will ! NOT ALLOWED ! the temp. increase. I'm looking for any and all positives at the moment. I’ve gone from 38* to 35* in the last 20 mins. It’s dropping fast. And the wind just sucks lol |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 12, 2018 7:47:54 GMT -6
Seeing and deer movement? Yesterday morning was awesome but last night was dead. Very quiet here this morning as well. Ste. Gen county.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 12, 2018 7:55:23 GMT -6
The latest RPM has ramped back up with today's snow. It kind of lost it a bit at 00z... but now has a much more robust surge of snow... more like what has been forecast...so steady as she goes!
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 7:55:47 GMT -6
Down to 34* now. I’m very high in elevation though and that definitely helps.  |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Nov 12, 2018 7:58:32 GMT -6
Seeing and deer movement? Yesterday morning was awesome but last night was dead. Very quiet here this morning as well. Ste. Gen county. Started off with a lot of movement in the woods. Had one big doe in front of me but quiet ever since and only 3 shots far off in the distance. 8:30 is the magic time here though. Going after a huge 12 on my land. |
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Nov 12, 2018 8:03:05 GMT -6
Well despite the temps at onset it started as all snow. Coming down good now!
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