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Post by Tilawn on Dec 3, 2018 6:06:32 GMT -6
35* Rain/Snow shower here this morning. Still breezy coming out of the NNW at 10-13 mph.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 3, 2018 6:12:18 GMT -6
Enough snow falling out of the sky this morning to coat cars, some grassy surfaces here in COMO... the little band that could streaking into metro stl/north
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 3, 2018 6:37:39 GMT -6
Time to put this weekend storm to bed. It's a southeast storm not a midwest storm. And we're talking mainly 50s for highs and mid 30s to mid 40s for lows LWG.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 3, 2018 6:44:16 GMT -6
Way to early to give up on this storm..... I have been in the sweet spot twice this year only to have the storm go north.... we still have 4 days...
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 6:54:43 GMT -6
It is absolutely not time to give up on the weekend system. I won't until Thursday unless models show it locked in on the coast in the next few runs.
I've seen these types of systems spray some good accumulating snow down here over the years. I don't like the trends, but still have hope.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 3, 2018 6:59:24 GMT -6
The only thing that changes every winter is that we add a name or two to this blog. The opinions stay the same, the reactions are always predictable and the emotions always show. I love this blog. I have since 2007. What bugs me is that no matter what, the same people get angry when the same outcome happens after every model run. YES, I know how this place works, I have the shirt. I will never understand, however, why so many get mad over what they have NO control over. It really gets old. I hope you all have an awesome week, a great holiday and the happiest of New Years!
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 3, 2018 7:33:39 GMT -6
Lol your reactions are the same exact thing every year too, wondering why people get upset over the weather.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 3, 2018 7:54:21 GMT -6
i was looking ahead on the gfs just to see how the op models are handling the overall pattern with the impending warmup after this week. looks like a split flow for the most part and even a wasted bowling ball at 300 hrs. still thinking cold air comes back during the holidays though. closer range, two chances of snow coming up this week....thursday and saturday. like thursdays chance for some wet sloppy snow then on saturday, s of 44 could be good for advisory level snow mainly, with a brief snow shower or two north of that region to points along and s of 70. looks pretty active throughout the period.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 3, 2018 8:18:15 GMT -6
We need the Northern steam energy to come in weaker and slower because it's squashing things.
I mean the GFS has the H5 vorticity over Southern Missouri.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 3, 2018 8:21:41 GMT -6
I dont wonder why people get upset over the weather, I wonder why people get upset when it doesnt pan out the way painted, here, by so many model worshipers. To sort of quote JB, enjoy it, no matter what happens, its the only weather we have.
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 3, 2018 8:27:23 GMT -6
So, I’m not sure where the balmy talk for December is coming from. One thing I use to track trends is my Crappuweather App. I like it because it gives you fifteen day temps and I can easily see the trends. The trends have been 50’s temps in the 10-15 day range only to have anywhere from 10-15 degrees knocked off of them once they start coming into focus. Relax, it’s winter. Snow will come. Rarely do we have a string of 4 abysmal winters in a row.
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Post by pbc12871 on Dec 3, 2018 8:34:35 GMT -6
Maybe I should leave town Friday morning. That seemed to work well for you all a couple of weeks ago.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 3, 2018 9:03:19 GMT -6
It's hilarious that if a storm is south of us that it won't go north but if it is right on is it will go north regardless of legitimate reason.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 3, 2018 9:07:56 GMT -6
dissociated weather tidbit this morning.
I'm watching a live stream from Anchorage to check out the effects of the earthquake. What I noticed is the temperature in Anchorage this morning is the same temperature as St. Louis.
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Post by jkfriedmann on Dec 3, 2018 9:24:13 GMT -6
It's flurrying pretty good in Eureka this morning.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Dec 3, 2018 9:41:17 GMT -6
I'm afraid if nothing comes out of this weekend, then we're going to be waiting for a while, possibly until January for decent snow. Looks like a warm up coming for sure. It can snow with above normal temps, it's just harder. Hope this thing heads north, but not looking good. I have as much faith in the potential warm up as I do, or did, for the potential storm this weekend.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 3, 2018 9:45:49 GMT -6
Thursday looks like a very very cold rain or sloppy snow
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2018 9:50:45 GMT -6
So, I’m not sure where the balmy talk for December is coming from. One thing I use to track trends is my Crappuweather App. I like it because it gives you fifteen day temps and I can easily see the trends. The trends have been 50’s temps in the 10-15 day range only to have anywhere from 10-15 degrees knocked off of them once they start coming into focus. Relax, it’s winter. Snow will come. Rarely do we have a string of 4 abysmal winters in a row. Polar Vortex is being dislodged toward another continent and taking the cold with it at least for a while.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 10:05:49 GMT -6
Looks like GFS is gonna wash it downstream. Damn.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 3, 2018 10:06:16 GMT -6
I'm getting a pretty good snow flurry now. Intensity varies
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 3, 2018 10:10:32 GMT -6
Suppression city. Arkansas nailed.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 10:13:44 GMT -6
Stupid high pressure.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 3, 2018 10:15:03 GMT -6
That track matches what you might expect from the composites of modiki el nino winters.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 3, 2018 10:20:18 GMT -6
Tomorrow is just a weird looking little system...quick moving and compact shortwave...limited moisture...but I wouldn't be surprised...as others have mentioned...to get some decent snow squalls tomorrow with some minor accumulations...especially near or just north of I-70.
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Post by pbc12871 on Dec 3, 2018 10:32:26 GMT -6
Apparently,El Nino winters are not conducive to snow here? If La Nina winters are no good for snow here, it is not hard to see why we have had four crappy winters in a row. Every winter seems to be one or the other.
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Post by rb1108 on Dec 3, 2018 10:37:37 GMT -6
Apparently,El Nino winters are not conducive to snow here? If La Nina winters are no good for snow here, it is not hard to see why we have had four crappy winters in a row. Every winter seems to be one or the other. It depends on the El Nino! You cannot lump all El Ninos (or La Nina's for that matter) together!! What one may mean for our weather can be completely different from another.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2018 11:09:50 GMT -6
The GEFS still offers some hope if your looking for it with the late week system. It still favors south central Mo as the most likeky area for accumulating snow
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 11:20:39 GMT -6
FV3 GFS has come back north and the GEM is holding on to some hope. Its just hard to watch the models crank up a storm right in our wheelhouse (N TX and OK) even getting into SW MO before sliding it downstream. The Euro needs to show some sign of coming back north but I'm not sure we'll get it.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2018 11:31:29 GMT -6
FV3 GFS has come back north and the GEM is holding on to some hope. Its just hard to watch the models crank up a storm right in our wheelhouse (N TX and OK) even getting into SW MO before sliding it downstream. The Euro needs to show some sign of coming back north but I'm not sure we'll get it. I think southerners have a better than 50/50 chance of getting accumulating snow. It still could come north, but the south trend is pretty consistent the last several model cycles
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 3, 2018 11:54:09 GMT -6
We need the Ron Paul meme...stat!
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