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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 3, 2018 11:58:51 GMT -6
Personally I would rather miss this one. Hope we get one for Christmas time.
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stormspotter63640
Junior Forecaster
Farmington MO
Posts: 273 
Snowfall Events: 11/21/15. First flurries!!!
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Post by stormspotter63640 on Dec 3, 2018 12:31:11 GMT -6
I am supposed to be at Branson on Friday. Watching closely.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 3, 2018 12:38:57 GMT -6
Just got back from running errands. Hit a couple of snow/sleet/grauple squalls. Enough to wet the pavement
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Dec 3, 2018 12:44:43 GMT -6
what does euro show
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2018 12:56:34 GMT -6
A big, huge, amazing... Mid-Atlantic storm. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 3, 2018 13:08:22 GMT -6
A big, huge, amazing... Mid-Atlantic storm. Lol |
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Dec 3, 2018 13:08:47 GMT -6
well I guess it's still early. but hate to see the big ones miss us.
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 3, 2018 13:16:05 GMT -6
Man, you’d think we were 500 miles north or something. It’s December 3rd...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2018 13:19:28 GMT -6
The euro gets a nice deformation zone going well to the S and SE of the metro thanks to an upper low that gets going around Memphis into Kentucky. If we could get that low to strengthen quicker and pull further north, we could see something. It’s an outside shot though
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 3, 2018 13:25:26 GMT -6
Bummer!
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Post by rb1108 on Dec 3, 2018 13:27:48 GMT -6
If it's gotta warm up for a week or two, I would much rather it get here now, and then hopefully be outta here near Xmas. I would really like if Dave's white Xmas prediction came true.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 3, 2018 13:58:07 GMT -6
I feel like the CFS barely gets above freezing the entire month of December.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 3, 2018 14:10:36 GMT -6
Chris, we need a new thread before tonight's model runs! Maybe it'll bring us some luck!
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 3, 2018 15:42:33 GMT -6
SPC tornado reports are up to 24 for Saturday. The Taylorville tornado has a preliminary rating of EF2. It and the Easton tornado are the only two with reported injuries.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 3, 2018 15:46:09 GMT -6
For some reason or another youtube recommended me this video, and I though it was too dang interesting to not share, especially after the monster occluded low we dealt with overhead this weekend.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 3, 2018 15:48:18 GMT -6
Are those streamers on radar moving parallel to the Mississippi and heading for the metro reaching the ground? They look like they might be significant.
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 3, 2018 15:48:33 GMT -6
The afternoon disco seems to string along some hope...
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 3, 2018 16:05:07 GMT -6
18gfs might try to go off. significantly further west with the positioning of the jet streak at 250
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 3, 2018 16:07:08 GMT -6
certainly much closer with this run.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 16:16:10 GMT -6
Well hello there 18z Gfs. A blip or indication of things to come? I'm ridin' the wave y'all haha.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 3, 2018 16:19:30 GMT -6
18z gfs is depicting a much stronger, negatively tilted trough entering west Texas Saturday morning. That would be our key trend that we need to pull this one out.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 3, 2018 16:23:23 GMT -6
Went from an 80% chance of snow on sat to just mostly cloudy. Lol. 18z gfs is just a blip I'm sure.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2018 16:26:46 GMT -6
18z gfs is depicting a much stronger, negatively tilted trough entering west Texas Saturday morning. That would be our key trend that we need to pull this one out. Would fit the trend. We'll see. |
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snowcat
Junior Forecaster
Bowling Green, MO
Posts: 280 
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Post by snowcat on Dec 3, 2018 16:28:54 GMT -6
I'm in Hannibal, where it's been snowing lightly but steadily for at least a half hour. Nothing sticking, roads are just wet. We had light snow all the way here from Bowling Green.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2018 17:07:11 GMT -6
18z GEFS backs up the operational run. Would be nice if this was the start of the north trend
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 3, 2018 17:26:51 GMT -6
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Dec 3, 2018 17:49:28 GMT -6
so still a chance storm comes further north?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2018 18:00:12 GMT -6
18z FV3 looks pretty darn good too.
But this year you better have the euro on your side.
Still a chance, but definitely more in the "puncher's chance" category.
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 3, 2018 18:27:25 GMT -6
Between DVN, ILX, and LSX there have been 22 confirmed/surveyed tornadoes in Illinois so far. According to the list published on ILX NWS webpage that makes Saturday the biggest December tornado outbreak on record for that state.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 3, 2018 19:35:21 GMT -6
Went from an 80% chance of snow on sat to just mostly cloudy. Lol. 18z gfs is just a blip I'm sure. You and BWG go to timeout. This one is ours because it’s going to happen on my birthday and that’s just how this is going to go. |
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