sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141 
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Jan 10, 2019 14:42:03 GMT -6
Well, someone has to be the first one to go  So here I am... With all the data available and having watched all this develop...I am going with 14" IMBY...6 miles NW of Sullivan. Let's see if I have to eat crow...anyone got a good recipe??? lol |
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Post by ElburnDave on Jan 10, 2019 14:44:56 GMT -6
Imagine if that was all rain!😜
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2019 14:49:12 GMT -6
The NAM is a carport buster.
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 10, 2019 14:50:47 GMT -6
School Administrators are in a tough spot tomorrow afternoon
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Jan 10, 2019 14:50:50 GMT -6
Remember yesterday when the NAM was the outlier. That was a funny time. Goodness, I guess numbers will start to go up now?
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2019 14:51:32 GMT -6
Imagine if that was all rain!😜
Don't have to, already happened a couple times this season |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2019 14:54:24 GMT -6
Imagine if that was all rain!😜 Not that far off from at least some rain. Temps saturday night around 30 before they start rising predawn hours. Once daylight hours happen we will have to rely on processes to jeep temps in check. Just chkd nws forecast for st chuck, they also mentioned steady or slowly rising temps ( guess temps can stay at 30 in theory) |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2019 14:55:21 GMT -6
Been a long time to see the big winter weather centered on us  |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2019 14:56:41 GMT -6
School Administrators are in a tough spot tomorrow afternoon
Early release on a Friday seems straightforward, assuming precip is forecast to start early afternoon.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 10, 2019 14:57:37 GMT -6
I wonder how big the font will be when Friv sees that posts about it? The LLJ IS Screaming. But the juiciest part is after the initial thump. It's probably a bit overdone. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 10, 2019 15:00:07 GMT -6
The NAM is a carport buster. Omg!!!!!! That is freakin hilarious! 🤣🤣🤣😂😂 |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 10, 2019 15:00:17 GMT -6
I love the snow.. but I have to work till 1am tomorrow night. That drive from festus to dittmer is gonna suck.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 10, 2019 15:00:50 GMT -6
The NAM drops 6-8" by 10pm tomorrow night.
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sullivanjohn
Wishcaster
Sullivan, MO
Posts: 141
Snowfall Events: Code Monkey
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Post by sullivanjohn on Jan 10, 2019 15:01:25 GMT -6
On the NWS call now...STL Metro slated for 6-8" per NWS...
Winter Storm warnings coming...both sides of the river...
Quick burst of sleet...then transition to all snow...
Again, this is all per NWS conference call...
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Post by Jeffmw on Jan 10, 2019 15:02:16 GMT -6
At this point is this storm a lock or still a chance for a bust?
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2019 15:03:24 GMT -6
At this point is this storm a lock or still a chance for a bust? The chance for a bust is <.01% according to the euro |
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 10, 2019 15:04:08 GMT -6
NWS sticking with totals in this graphic: www.weather.gov/lsx/weatherstory6-8" metro 4-6" Farmington, Columbia, Jeff City MO, Quincy, Salem and Centralia IL An upgrade to Winter Storm Warning will be forthcoming |
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Post by jeepers on Jan 10, 2019 15:05:48 GMT -6
IM not even sure what to say. This is inside the NAMs reliability window and agrees with the EURO/EPS  I'm not buying into anything but .......... Holy Jumpin Up and Down Martha. How do you NOT go there looking at this? |
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:06:16 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM?
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 10, 2019 15:07:13 GMT -6
The tracks of the 850mb and 700mb lows on the NAM are ideal for the metro area with regards accumulating snow continuing Saturday afternoon into the night.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2019 15:07:19 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM? How much is it |
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:10:19 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM? How much is it 18" downtown STL with up to 22" west of the city. |
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Post by tedrick65 on Jan 10, 2019 15:10:51 GMT -6
School Administrators are in a tough spot tomorrow afternoon
Early release on a Friday seems straightforward, assuming precip is forecast to start early afternoon.
Early dismissals are nightmares for all involved... especially if they are called too late. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2019 15:12:48 GMT -6
So no one is buying the NAM? Really no reason to forecast numbers like the NAM right now. Sure it could be right but forecasted numbers can always go up tomorrow. 6-8” is a nice safe forecast right now that allows for some bump up tomorrow if the models continue to unload on the area |
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2019 15:13:37 GMT -6
That's tough to do
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Post by yypc on Jan 10, 2019 15:14:14 GMT -6
NAM is calling for 1982 level snow
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Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Jan 10, 2019 15:14:56 GMT -6
Well, someone has to be the first one to go So here I am... With all the data available and having watched all this develop...I am going with 14" IMBY...6 miles NW of Sullivan. Let's see if I have to eat crow...anyone got a good recipe??? No good recipes for crow! Deep fry like chicken and dig in! |
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Post by jason0101 on Jan 10, 2019 15:15:10 GMT -6
I dont buy a low end at this point. I think the NAM is overcooked. My final answer only is an 8-14 with spots above that.
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Post by REB on Jan 10, 2019 15:16:09 GMT -6
Early release on a Friday seems straightforward, assuming precip is forecast to start early afternoon.
Early dismissals are nightmares for all involved... especially if they are called too late. You can't win with weather delays or cancellations. Somebody is mad. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2019 15:16:33 GMT -6
18" downtown STL with up to 22" west of the city. [br well ive got the 22 inches but im saving it, so ill pass. |
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So here I am...
