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Post by TK on Jan 11, 2019 21:52:07 GMT -6
Are kidding me? 40 Eastbound closed at Clayton not because of an accident but because the overpass is too dangerous...I can't remember a time where it has been this serious on so many highways other than 82....
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 11, 2019 21:52:38 GMT -6
Ummm. Glenn? I’ve got 8” on the ground. With several more hours of snow to go. How much will be on the ground at 7am? The idea of a lull will likey be overnight into morning. Before the 850mb low starts pressing through MO. Then we are really in the LLJ cross hairs.
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 11, 2019 21:53:28 GMT -6
I just got to 6". First time I've reached major winter storm accumulation in over 5 years.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 11, 2019 21:56:26 GMT -6
Ummm. Glenn? I’ve got 8” on the ground. With several more hours of snow to go. How much will be on the ground at 7am? The idea of a lull will likey be overnight into morning. Before the 850mb low starts pressing through MO. Then we are really in the LLJ cross hairs. I wasn’t very clear: Models look to keep snow going for a while. I’m trying to understand what will happen. If he’s saying 7-9” by 7am. Thinking there will be a larger range on the ground by 7am.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 11, 2019 21:57:18 GMT -6
Snow is coming down like crazy here. Even a bit wind blown
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jan 11, 2019 21:57:25 GMT -6
I'm closing in on 7 inches. Just went and made my last measurement for the night. It's a shame we've got this beautiful storm, and I started feeling like I'm getting a sinus infection! The dog was wanting to play in the snow, but I didn't feel up to it. So, is this change in the weather the result of the ssw?
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Post by dschreib on Jan 11, 2019 21:59:49 GMT -6
Non-snow PSA for any of my fellow bourbon drinkers: if you haven't tried the Woodford Double Oaked, you're missing out on one of the finest bourbons made today.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jan 11, 2019 22:03:06 GMT -6
The idea of a lull will likey be overnight into morning. Before the 850mb low starts pressing through MO. Then we are really in the LLJ cross hairs. I wasn’t very clear: Models look to keep snow going for a while. I’m trying to understand what will happen. If he’s saying 7-9” by 7am. Thinking there will be a larger range on the ground by 7am. Doesn’t he mean an additional to total we now have?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2019 22:03:21 GMT -6
I'm closing in on 7 inches. Just went and made my last measurement for the night. It's a shame we've got this beautiful storm, and I started feeling like I'm getting a sinus infection! The dog was wanting to play in the snow, but I didn't feel up to it. So, is this change in the weather the result of the ssw? Partially. The true beauty of the SSW and PV is about to reveal itself in a big way the next couple weeks. Huge cold pool in Canada and blocking developing.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 11, 2019 22:04:06 GMT -6
The idea of a lull will likey be overnight into morning. Before the 850mb low starts pressing through MO. Then we are really in the LLJ cross hairs. I wasn’t very clear: Models look to keep snow going for a while. I’m trying to understand what will happen. If he’s saying 7-9” by 7am. Thinking there will be a larger range on the ground by 7am. Yeah. I would think by 7AM most of us in the immediate metro will be around 10"
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Post by ComoEsJn on Jan 11, 2019 22:06:51 GMT -6
I wasn’t very clear: Models look to keep snow going for a while. I’m trying to understand what will happen. If he’s saying 7-9” by 7am. Thinking there will be a larger range on the ground by 7am. Yeah. I would think by 7AM most of us in the immediate metro will be around 10" annoying "backyard" question, but if I'm only at about 5 1/2 in noco, even around here?
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2019 22:09:18 GMT -6
Radar keeps filling in I think all of st.chuck and st Louis counties a foot by sunrise. I an at 7.1 with .9 in last 40 min
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 11, 2019 22:09:29 GMT -6
We’re about to get pounded here Friv
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 11, 2019 22:10:08 GMT -6
Yeah. I would think by 7AM most of us in the immediate metro will be around 10" annoying "backyard" question, but if I'm only at about 5 1/2 in noco, even around here? Yes. That's why Dave Murray gave one number. The better snows overnight are falling NW of STL. You will be under heavier snow longer and redevelopment. The front end laid more out along and SE of 44/64. But the better snows overnight is along i70. The overlap point is NW of STL like St. Peters or Warrensberg
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Post by amstilost on Jan 11, 2019 22:10:27 GMT -6
hamsters on steroids in de soto. Huge flakes
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 22:10:44 GMT -6
Yeah. I would think by 7AM most of us in the immediate metro will be around 10" annoying "backyard" question, but if I'm only at about 5 1/2 in noco, even around here? Uneducated opinion, but I think you are ok. Even at 0.5" per hour you would be at 10" by sunrise if we can keep that pace.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 11, 2019 22:12:40 GMT -6
TWC (via Mike Siedel) reporting 7" at 10pm from Lambert.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 11, 2019 22:13:24 GMT -6
We’re about to get pounded here Friv Yeah in about 45 mins. Then a break. We probably won't see another big blast of accumulations until tomorrow. But I think after this beasting takes place. Moderate snow on and off all night tho. Probably 10-12" by morning
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csafozzie
Wishcaster
Wildwood, MO. Jefferson, Franklin and St Louis County borders
Posts: 139
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Post by csafozzie on Jan 11, 2019 22:13:42 GMT -6
Almost at 8" in Wildwood. Snow still coming down at a decent rate.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2019 22:13:51 GMT -6
00z ggem basically has my dream run in a week.
Its pretty clear there is a storm of interest for the Midwest when this one ends.
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Post by mchafin on Jan 11, 2019 22:14:51 GMT -6
I wasn’t very clear: Models look to keep snow going for a while. I’m trying to understand what will happen. If he’s saying 7-9” by 7am. Thinking there will be a larger range on the ground by 7am. Doesn’t he mean an additional to total we now have? That would make more sense. But I heard it the other way.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 11, 2019 22:15:50 GMT -6
Finally settled into my hotel room after dinner and a few beverages. Looking at current radar trends...both here and upstream...and comparing to various short term model solutions...I think the storm total of 8-12 is still going to work well.
The focus for heavy snow is shifting northeast with time... and based on what has already been observed (3" to 8")...what is going on now (band of heaviest snow lifting north)...and what the models are and have been advertising (slowly weakening 850mb low) I see maybe another 3 to 5" along and north of I-70... and maybe 1-3 south...at most. That gets us to about 8-12..maybe 13. Thats where I see it right now...from way out east in Cincinatti.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 11, 2019 22:16:41 GMT -6
I'll be lucky to get much more accumulating snow in afraid. But I just experienced the biggest flakes I've ever seen in my life. Not kidding, some were 3+ inches around.
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Post by bororug on Jan 11, 2019 22:17:13 GMT -6
Biggest flakes of the day falling currently. HUGE hamsters!
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Post by jkfriedmann on Jan 11, 2019 22:17:33 GMT -6
One of our friends left work at 3:00 this afternoon and is still sitting on 44 WB near Lone Elk Park. So crazy!
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 334
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Post by bob on Jan 11, 2019 22:19:03 GMT -6
glen thinks next weekend could be a storm like this one. what is he basing that on
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 11, 2019 22:20:14 GMT -6
Keep in mind when looking at 00z runs... almost the entire first six hours worth of snow on the model has already fallen!
So if you had 5" at 6pm... and 7" now...and the model says you have another 6" to go on to...thats 6" from what you had at 00z/6pm...not 6" on top of what you have now.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2019 22:20:58 GMT -6
glen thinks next weekend could be a storm like this one. what is he basing that on All 3 global models show cold air and a storm. I disagree that it will look the same though. Next week could be a wound up low that rapidly deepens. Result could still be the same, but different mechanisms.
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Post by eurekakim on Jan 11, 2019 22:21:10 GMT -6
That's not too far from the truth... That’s Antire Hill at 44 too lol
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jan 11, 2019 22:21:37 GMT -6
Biggest flakes of the day falling currently. HUGE hamsters! That near 32deg air..if not a smidge above...causing them to get sticky and clump together
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