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Post by maddogchief on Feb 2, 2019 19:40:35 GMT -6
You’re exactly right. I think we will have to see how the weekend storm behaves and then exactly how much snow is left. Still think I80 and north maintains the majority of it. Heck, I still have a pack on north and west facing hillsides as well as in the woods. I just wish it would go away. If we have 40s tomorrow and near 50 Monday, my snowpack will be gone. Rockford had close to an 18 inch pack, so maybe it is colder there, but I would say you are underestimating how quick this stuff melts at those temperatures. The locals seem to think it’ll stay. They’ve closed the sled trails, but seem pretty confident in opening them back up next week. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2019 20:04:32 GMT -6
Frankly this "channel 2+2 and channel hive" crap is old and childish anymore. It was cute for the first month we did it. We are all adults we can handle saying channel 4 and channel 5.
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Post by tedrick65 on Feb 2, 2019 20:58:16 GMT -6
Frankly this "channel 2+2 and channel hive" crap is old and childish anymore. It was cute for the first month we did it. We are all adults we can handle saying ! station that is 2x2 ! and ! station that sounds like "hive" !. Wasn't that something Chris implemented? I thought there were issues with his management about him sponsoring a board that directly referenced competitors and discouraging critical comments about meteorologists on other stations. That was a long time ago, so my memory may not be correct. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 2, 2019 21:07:39 GMT -6
There was also a time when some trolls were impersonating other mets from those stations. I distinctly remember a user by the name of "KentE" and that was a long time ago.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 2, 2019 21:38:37 GMT -6
00z Icon is definitely a Northern Illinois ice storm, meaning rain for the metro.
On to the gfs.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Feb 2, 2019 21:54:36 GMT -6
There was also a time when some trolls were impersonating other mets from those stations. I distinctly remember a user by the name of "KentE" and that was a long time ago. Ya that guy was banned. If I remember correctly he was the next person after the first one who went crazy after a case of ptsd set in from a traumatic wheel well incident. It was done on distaste to make fun of that met who apparently got in some scandalous high water and demoted. Thinking the two might have been twins. Barriers are there for idiots like this. ...back to weather... |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 2, 2019 22:03:40 GMT -6
Gfs looking like a whole lot of cold rain. That's gonna suck.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 2, 2019 22:09:46 GMT -6
Gfs looking like a whole lot of cold rain. That's gonna suck. Ggem just looks sheared so nothing to talk about tonight. I would bet the euro bails on the wrapped up system, but if the cold air can't undercut the precip it might as well just be a sheared mess. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 2, 2019 22:20:02 GMT -6
Chris did start it..but all in good fun if i remember correctly. He made it so it automatucally changed to that if someone said channel 4 or 5 I think. Anyway, that time is passed, the trolls are gone.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 2, 2019 22:51:44 GMT -6
Gfs looking like a whole lot of cold rain. That's gonna suck. Its actually really warm. Like one cold night Tuesday night but back to 50 the next day. Then it's 50s at night and 60s duribg the day. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 3, 2019 1:04:39 GMT -6
Jesus, euro and gfs are nothing but rain rain rain for the next 10+ days with every damn system. GREAT FEBRUARY
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 3, 2019 5:31:38 GMT -6
I think there's a good chance will crack into the seventies today..
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 3, 2019 5:38:36 GMT -6
Squish squish squish splash splash slurp slurp suck suck.
This is the sound of me walking in our yard.
There will be more splashes after 2 or 3 inches of rain.
So sick of the damn rain.
It just can't dry out.
70s. Yay.
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 3, 2019 5:52:10 GMT -6
Going to start a new thread Chris? Because this...this is not winter.  |
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 3, 2019 6:28:31 GMT -6
Going to start a new thread Chris? Because this...this is not winter. The new thread could say “Really, Freaking Spring is here Already?” or “Where in the hell did Winter go?” or my classic favorite “Two More Weeks”. |
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Post by pbc12871 on Feb 3, 2019 7:59:42 GMT -6
Yes. Things seem to be shaping up nicely for our annual late winter/early spring air snow storm.
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Post by rb1108 on Feb 3, 2019 8:33:09 GMT -6
Jesus, euro and gfs are nothing but rain rain rain for the next 10+ days with every damn system. GREAT FEBRUARY You know models will change 7+ days out solutions. |
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Post by amstilost on Feb 3, 2019 8:38:15 GMT -6
BTW, how is our model snow/reality snow comparison going??? Or, do we need to wait until winter is over to get the results???
Edit: why does the emoticon show up when you use (1) question mark?
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Post by amstilost on Feb 3, 2019 8:41:32 GMT -6
Let's try it here in the quick post. why does the emoticon pop up after posting when using one question mark?
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Post by amstilost on Feb 3, 2019 8:42:19 GMT -6
Nevermind, won't do it now.
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Post by landscaper on Feb 3, 2019 9:17:42 GMT -6
I’m at 39 and very cloudy, I thought it was going to be a nice day
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 3, 2019 9:18:35 GMT -6
BTW, how is our model snow/reality snow comparison going??? Or, do we need to wait until winter is over to get the results??? Edit: why does the emoticon show up when you use (1) question mark? I'm still keeping track of it. I don't have time to post the data right now. I'll definitely post an end-of-winter update...probably in April. |
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 3, 2019 10:20:59 GMT -6
At least the models are finally starting to get some run to run consistency
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 3, 2019 10:45:12 GMT -6
Going to be a great day to fire up the grill and take the new car for a spin with the windows down
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Post by amstilost on Feb 3, 2019 10:53:38 GMT -6
BTW, how is our model snow/reality snow comparison going??? Or, do we need to wait until winter is over to get the results??? Edit: why does the emoticon show up when you use (1) question mark? I'm still keeping track of it. I don't have time to post the data right now. I'll definitely post an end-of-winter update...probably in April. OK, awesome, and thanks. That should be fun/depressing all in one. Depressing in 'my' sense of getting excited by what the model is showing only to be thrown back into reality. I kind of expect a correlation to 'climotology'. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 3, 2019 11:25:09 GMT -6
BTW, how is our model snow/reality snow comparison going??? Or, do we need to wait until winter is over to get the results??? Edit: why does the emoticon show up when you use (1) question mark? Not bad. This was hyped with anticipation/speculation. The models had snow on say less than 2% of their solutions. And ice on less than 5%. If you throw out the icon and fv3 which clearly have a suppression/cold bias in the medium/long range that drops to next to nothing. The models haven't been selling false hope. Sometimes members could probably be more clear with that. But I don't think it was excessive. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 3, 2019 11:30:34 GMT -6
The epo domain ridge is to far West with no blocking and a decent SE ridge.
The models show no blocking coming up.
If we had blocking this would potentially historically epic.
Without it we need a sharper ridge closer to the Cali coast so systems dig into Southern Texas.
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Feb 3, 2019 11:32:18 GMT -6
God, enjoy the beautiful weather. If it snows again, great. If not, that’s okay too. I would like to not have to go to school past Memorial Day, so I’m okay with the 70’s. The people who have to live out in the elements are thankful, I’m sure. If it rains, don’t walk in the yard. Not that hard. It’s been a decent winter, considering the last few. But some are never satisfied. Must suck to be miserable all the time.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 3, 2019 11:34:59 GMT -6
Still like my previously communicated idea of wet and not white or icy through the metro this week with some caution for icing in the far nw burbs and rt now their icing may be limited to elevated surfaces such as tree limbs mainly toward the end of the week. Once the last of the waves comes through, then cold air should filter into the region before the next warmup ahead of the next surface reflection early next week. Gfs does have a beaut of a snowstorm just beyond d7, but its taking a closed system and punching into a se ridge, something that isnt to be trusted this far in advance, although i do believe we stand a better chance at a more variety of precip types as we very gradually step back down into winter.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 3, 2019 11:46:21 GMT -6
The epo domain ridge is to far West with no blocking and a decent SE ridge. The models show no blocking coming up. If we had blocking this would potentially historically epic. Without it we need a sharper ridge closer to the Cali coast so systems dig into Southern Texas. I was going to post almost exactly the same thing, though not as elegantly as you put it. Everything has set up further west than i expected with little chance of east progression. If things retrogress any further the plains and rockies into the upper ms valley get the winter action. Cld happen. My boss in minneapolis is aggravated by their lack of snow. We got it all down here. Been quite a winter so far. I still am hedging bets that february will end up snowy for us. Losing confidence in cold though. This many mild days cant offset for those who follow averages in the seasonal pattern we are in. |
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