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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 4, 2019 11:27:45 GMT -6
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Post by bear1 on Feb 4, 2019 11:29:50 GMT -6
All 3 of my therms are setting at 68° as of 11:30a.m. 2/4/19 
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 11:33:04 GMT -6
That was the super bowl commercial for the cbs affiliate in cape. Lol
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 12:49:02 GMT -6
Wow no chatter. Nothing. Big rains followed by cold in the forecast but no chatter tells me models are progging a boring stretch of weather.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 4, 2019 12:56:05 GMT -6
My outdoor thermometer is showing 70° at 1 PM
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Post by msnotos on Feb 4, 2019 13:04:12 GMT -6
My accurite shows 69degrees in st charles at 94/70. beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO, lets hope this cold front only moves the clouds and we get to keep this perfect weather a little longer. LOL |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 13:15:31 GMT -6
My accurite shows 69degrees in st charles at 94/70. beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO, lets hope this cold front only moves the clouds and we get to keep this perfect weather a little longer. LOL Working from home with the windows opened again. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 4, 2019 13:23:51 GMT -6
This weather is absolutely disgusting.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 13:28:42 GMT -6
This weather is absolutely disgusting. You back in columbia? |
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 4, 2019 13:39:37 GMT -6
This weather is absolutely disgusting. You back in columbia? No, still in Clayton. My apartment is on the third floor without an elevator. Doc suggest I at least recover here until I can start putting weight on my ankle. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Feb 4, 2019 14:01:47 GMT -6
You can actually feel the humidity out here today....pretty pathetic for February
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 14:22:48 GMT -6
Yeah it does feel humid. The 12z gfs offers no hope of any storm track favorable for snow and keeps the neg epo to far to the west.
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 4, 2019 14:38:59 GMT -6
It feels like June. Honestly this.may be one of the.most extreme temperature rides within a 5 day period I have ever seen
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 4, 2019 14:55:55 GMT -6
It feels like June. Honestly this.may be one of the.most extreme temperature rides within a 5 day period I have ever seen Its up there. We've seen it crash down in similar manners, but rarely do you see it go from the negatives to 70+ a few days later. Personally I'm good with it. If its not going to snow, may as well make it easy on the utility bills. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 4, 2019 15:08:31 GMT -6
I'm down 20 degrees in two hours. Haven't been out but I would think the humidity should be starting to feel better.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Feb 4, 2019 15:08:31 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 4, 2019 15:23:24 GMT -6
The humidity today was a bit much. I can take warmth in winter but not the warmth accompanied with spring like humidity
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 4, 2019 15:36:40 GMT -6
Oh no it’s dropped 3 deg from 68 to 65! A few drops of rain on the windshield!
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Post by ajd446 on Feb 4, 2019 15:37:21 GMT -6
Own to 48 now.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 4, 2019 15:50:13 GMT -6
Its weird when u go from 60s to low 40s. I was like brrrrrr when i got out to get gas. Went from Saint Charles to Troy MO. Must of drove thru the front! I felt colder today in the low 40s then i did last week when we were below zero!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Feb 4, 2019 15:56:24 GMT -6
Yeah it does feel humid. The 12z gfs offers no hope of any storm track favorable for snow and keeps the neg epo to far to the west. Yeah it's not looking good at all. Pretty much all of February is going down the drain unless we see blocking finally make an appearance. Otherwise it's looking straight awful with relative cold to rain. It has the hallmarks of an upper Midwest winter pattern. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Feb 4, 2019 16:08:25 GMT -6
Yeah it does feel humid. The 12z gfs offers no hope of any storm track favorable for snow and keeps the neg epo to far to the west. Yeah it's not looking good at all. Pretty much all of February is going down the drain unless we see blocking finally make an appearance. Otherwise it's looking straight awful with relative cold to rain. It has the hallmarks of an upper Midwest winter pattern. Blah! Thats not good!!! |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 16:11:28 GMT -6
Sw flow is showing no sign of buckle. Cpc still says below temps above precip for next 2 weeks. How will that happen with sw flow and cutters? Each storm is preceded by warmup to upper 50s then a temporary cool down after frontal passage. Things have set up way too far to the west. My earlier thinking of cold and snowy february is not going to happen with this regime. Upper midwest will get an abundance of snow. Places like minneapolis, wisconsin, etc.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 16:14:14 GMT -6
Some ensemble members show neg nao after valentine day but thats not reliable ten days in advance. Seen the prediction back off by 7 days too often this winter.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 4, 2019 16:16:25 GMT -6
Some ensemble members show neg nao after valentine day but thats not reliable ten days in advance. Seen the prediction back off by 7 days too often this winter. Two weeks? ;-) |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 4, 2019 16:28:29 GMT -6
But numerous people posted an ungodly number of times how snowy february was going to be. Even when it was pretty apparent that at a minimum the first 10 days was a warm wet waste. It needs to dry out, which abviously wont happen. Grrat looking pattern
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 4, 2019 16:52:37 GMT -6
Impressive temp drop so far this afternoon. Went from 70° to 40° in roughly 3 hours.
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Post by landscaper on Feb 4, 2019 17:17:46 GMT -6
Models definitely look terrible for the next two weeks, they looked decent a week ago, now not so much
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 4, 2019 17:33:59 GMT -6
Yeah it does feel humid. The 12z gfs offers no hope of any storm track favorable for snow and keeps the neg epo to far to the west. Luckily, it’s the only one showing that |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 4, 2019 17:45:33 GMT -6
But numerous people posted an ungodly number of times how snowy february was going to be. Even when it was pretty apparent that at a minimum the first 10 days was a warm wet waste. It needs to dry out, which abviously wont happen. Grrat looking pattern Yep i was one of those. Even when i knew this was a rainy week. I was expecting the se ridge to progress to the east. It will not...if anything ive seen a retrogression further west. February will not go down as i envisioned earlier. Will it get colder? At this point my thinking is our snow will come from a chance encounter with timing. No big snow in sight at this time. We will be wetter than normal but temps will be too warm during precip. The far nw burbs can see some minor icing and we can see a mix over the weekend, but next week will not be a lock into a winter pattern as i previously thought. While the nao is trending down, it seems to want to bounce back up pretty immediately. We can still get big snows but now thats more of a chance encounter instead of a locked in multiple firing of southern storm systems that i had envisioned. Winter is not over. We still have a ways to go....just not as dramatic as i thought. Anyway we still need 6 more inches of snow for my 24 to verify. I think we can get that. |
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