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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 17, 2019 20:19:30 GMT -6
Just looking at the name at h5 I bet it has no snow for us More progressive and disorganized than earlier. Ugh, hopefully it's messing up with the energy over texas |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 17, 2019 20:19:43 GMT -6
Guess it's good most were drinking for this run...
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 17, 2019 20:19:57 GMT -6
"Ummmm....not great."
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 20:19:59 GMT -6
In the 70s we'd find out the morning of the storm that it wasn't coming. This is better.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 20:20:46 GMT -6
Hey Mo, how’s that NAM run “Ummm....not great” |
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snowcat
Junior Forecaster
Bowling Green, MO
Posts: 280 
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Post by snowcat on Jan 17, 2019 20:22:19 GMT -6
Stores are already crowded. Im cheap i shop at aldi...no parking avble. My husband reported the same thing in Hannibal this evening at the Aldi there. Packed and shoppers being very aggressive. Also, no bread to be found there or at Walmart. He said WM was out of many things and had signs up everywhere saying they hadn't had a lot of deliveries due to the weather. |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 17, 2019 20:23:30 GMT -6
I don't drink. I guess I'll just chuckle.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 20:23:49 GMT -6
Just looking at the name at h5 I bet it has no snow for us More progressive and disorganized than earlier. Ugh, hopefully it's messing up with the energy over texas Ya the 500 charts looks pretty terrible |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 20:24:36 GMT -6
Stores are already crowded. Im cheap i shop at aldi...no parking avble. My husband reported the same thing in Hannibal this evening at the Aldi there. Packed and shoppers being very aggressive. Also, no bread to be found there or at Walmart. He said WM was out of many things and had signs up everywhere saying they hadn't had a lot of deliveries due to the weather. people are jittery about the 'S' word that's for sure. |
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 17, 2019 20:27:55 GMT -6
More progressive and disorganized than earlier. Ugh, hopefully it's messing up with the energy over texas Ya the 500 charts looks pretty terrible Horrible. Out to lunch |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 17, 2019 20:29:11 GMT -6
What's for lunch?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 17, 2019 20:30:33 GMT -6
The $5 fill up box from DQ minus the blizzard.... I'll see myself out. |
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 17, 2019 20:31:55 GMT -6
Well that was fun. Time for a fresh drink.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 20:32:11 GMT -6
I don't know if I would trust this run anyways. Hrr out to 36 looks great. We may have to rely on it
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 17, 2019 20:32:53 GMT -6
The $5 fill up box from DQ minus the blizzard.... I'll see myself out. Well WSC - this one just might be for you..I’m glad I’m drinking. |
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Post by grizzlebeard on Jan 17, 2019 20:33:49 GMT -6
Classic Model Reaction....Steady as she goes, folks. I posted this about 15 years ago. 10. System hits Texas and Oklahoma. Every user gives up hope of seeing any snow at all (24 hours earlier, the models indicated 6-8 inches at their cross-street.) 11. Users try not to use off-color language to indicate their frustration with not getting any snow at all. Read more: morethanweatherstl.com/thread/3/idiots-guide#ixzz5cvG7dgBT |
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 17, 2019 20:34:33 GMT -6
So what Chris posted and shared will not come to fruition? I'll take 3 inches in Festus! I'd be happy and just fine with that. The wind has to blow something around!
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 17, 2019 20:35:08 GMT -6
The NAM pulled a Jake Allen.
Berube is proving he isn't a competent coach.
Armstrong wants to be fired.
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 17, 2019 20:36:47 GMT -6
So what Chris posted and shared will not come to fruition? I'll take 3 inches in Festus! I'd be happy and just fine with that. The wind has to blow something around! It's hard to say at this point but the backside jet on the storm has been trending weaker and weaker and weaker and weaker and this was inevitable. The Nam model got some really weird things going on at the mid levels on this run but it may not be that far off. One good thing about it possibly being a bad run is the fact that the high-resolution version was just as awful. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jan 17, 2019 20:41:38 GMT -6
The Nam around hour 18 starts trying to close off the mid level system and things go haywire from there.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 20:43:18 GMT -6
The NAM might be 100% correct, but one thing I’ve learned since joining this blog is never trust the NAM without seeing the other guidance
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Post by jason0101 on Jan 17, 2019 20:44:33 GMT -6
The NAM might be 100% correct, but one thing I’ve learned since joining this blog is never trust the NAM without seeing the other guidance Its the NAM. Having only the NAM on your side is the kiss of death |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 17, 2019 20:45:33 GMT -6
I mean, the nam 3k still has the deformation zone. It is just way south. The 18z run was too bullish. Now it overcorrected.
2-5 inches until proven otherwise.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 20:47:26 GMT -6
Oz hrr is awesome at end if run. We may need to now cast with them
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 17, 2019 20:50:03 GMT -6
the nam illustrates a typical scenario in this part of the country where we get windy and cold with snow showers behind a storm system that lays down the heavy snow well to our north. Perhaps the later models are more interesting, but I'm not staying up. I had figured we'd end up roughly akin to where we were at at 12Z, and we still may, but I am not seeing a high impact system any longer. Looking ahead, the final pacific storm on its heels to impact us midweek, but there has been a trend toward warmer solution resulting in more of a liquid situation for us. I never considered that a big storm for us anyway, so looking further ahead, we will then rely on clippers from the northwest for much of the duration of the remaining days of January.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 17, 2019 20:54:19 GMT -6
the nam illustrates a typical scenario in this part of the country where we get windy and cold with snow showers behind a storm system that lays down the heavy snow well to our north. Perhaps the later models are more interesting, but I'm not staying up. I had figured we'd end up roughly akin to where we were at at 12Z, and we still may, but I am not seeing a high impact system any longer. Looking ahead, the final pacific storm on its heels to impact us midweek, but there has been a trend toward warmer solution resulting in more of a liquid situation for us. I never considered that a big storm for us anyway, so looking further ahead, we will then rely on clippers from the northwest for much of the duration of the remaining days of January. Model volatility with next week's storm has been a joke. The spread is huge. Take a look at the 12z ggem if you want some hope. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 17, 2019 20:56:22 GMT -6
The 21z SREF mean jumped almost a whole inch from the last run to 5.22”
The individual members are all over the place. Some are clustered in the 0-2” range. Some are clustered in the 4-6” range, and others are clustered in the 8-10” range. One even has over a foot
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Post by landscaper on Jan 17, 2019 21:05:39 GMT -6
0z RGEM still looks solid on the black and white charts
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 17, 2019 21:08:17 GMT -6
Rgem is even better than 18z. Bour 3 to 7 inches for the metro
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 17, 2019 21:09:21 GMT -6
Well the icon isn't much better. That decreases the chance of the nam having a "bad" run.
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