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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 19, 2019 9:23:25 GMT -6
1/2mi vis SN
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Post by scmhack on Jan 19, 2019 9:24:13 GMT -6
JFC. With reports like that it almost sounds like the deformation wants to form on top of us
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 9:24:30 GMT -6
FB "friend" from Mountain Home, AR, reporting snow.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jan 19, 2019 9:26:35 GMT -6
I don't know what to think lol. I did not think it would miss to the south though. I still wouldn't be surprised if it pulled a last second coup for the southern half of the area. Together we can WILL this to happen. Northward ho!
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 19, 2019 9:27:16 GMT -6
On a side note, Tuesday storm doesn’t look like a slam dunk one way or the other yet either.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 19, 2019 9:28:42 GMT -6
Kinda eerie here. We have pretty decent droplets, but not many of them. It's like it wants to cut loose. Still 35 though
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Post by pbc12871 on Jan 19, 2019 9:30:08 GMT -6
We had our slam dunk storm already. It will be another ten years before that happens again. (the guidance actually being in agreement and correct)
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 19, 2019 9:33:26 GMT -6
Forty miles is a pretty big jump. It is but I have seen it many times
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Post by scmhack on Jan 19, 2019 9:37:03 GMT -6
Forty miles is a pretty big jump. It is but I have seen it many times So many times since 2006
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 326
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Post by bob on Jan 19, 2019 9:37:57 GMT -6
so any big storms to watch in next 2 weeks
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 9:39:12 GMT -6
40 miles is pretty significant this close. But...with model performance/consensus as atrocious as it has been leading up to this, who wants to say it's completely out of the question?
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 19, 2019 9:42:01 GMT -6
I gotta say it. This reminds me of '82. I know it's not gonna happen that way but they lost confidence in that one before all hell broke loose. Trust me, I know we aren't gonna get anything like that. It just seems the atmosphere is ripe to rip.
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Post by scmhack on Jan 19, 2019 9:43:03 GMT -6
I gotta say it. This reminds me of '82. I know it's not gonna happen that way but they lost confidence in that one before all hell broke loose. Trust me, I know we aren't gonna get anything like that. It just seems the atmosphere is ripe to rip. I mean yeah it would be amazing to be surprised, but the forecasting of now vs then is just so much better
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 19, 2019 9:43:43 GMT -6
Northern extend of the def. zone is still building north. Approaching I-44 now but not sure how much further it goes. With that being said the banding looks very intense. Let's do this!
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Post by scmhack on Jan 19, 2019 9:44:15 GMT -6
I keep watching the radar and vort max and cannot still comprehend HOW its going to set up as far south as forecasted. NOTHING about it says it should be there.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 19, 2019 9:45:18 GMT -6
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 19, 2019 9:46:19 GMT -6
40 miles is pretty significant this close. But...with model performance/consensus as atrocious as it has been leading up to this, who wants to say it's completely out of the question? I agree.... I’m not saying I think it will... just more wishing so everyone gets some snow today
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Post by lizard7151971 on Jan 19, 2019 9:48:25 GMT -6
Chris, IDK how you don't go off on some of the comments on Facebook. Almost don't want to read them. Makes me want to go off for you.. LOL
Meanwhile, I have some light flakes blowing around up here, kinda like a fine mist. Wind is picking up a bit.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 19, 2019 9:48:46 GMT -6
I gotta say it. This reminds me of '82. I know it's not gonna happen that way but they lost confidence in that one before all hell broke loose. Trust me, I know we aren't gonna get anything like that. It just seems the atmosphere is ripe to rip. I mean yeah it would be amazing to be surprised, but the forecasting of now vs then is just so much better Of course it is. They really have done well on this one.
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Jan 19, 2019 9:50:58 GMT -6
Light snow in Wentzville. Very showery fine flakes.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 19, 2019 9:51:13 GMT -6
My mantra apparently worked. We didn't get ice.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 19, 2019 9:53:07 GMT -6
What's happening in Farmington? Should be approaching the transition soon.
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Post by scmhack on Jan 19, 2019 9:53:42 GMT -6
I mean yeah it would be amazing to be surprised, but the forecasting of now vs then is just so much better Of course it is. They really have done well on this one. I've been had
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Post by birdsonthebat (MO'Fallon) on Jan 19, 2019 9:55:34 GMT -6
Light snow in Wentzville. Very showery fine flakes. I’m getting a pretty decent snow at 40/64 and HwyN. Elevated surfaces starting to cover.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 19, 2019 9:58:22 GMT -6
Sure hope snow takes over quickly..... sick of rain had another .6 last night after an inch plus last weekend.... after all it is January
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Post by rb1108 on Jan 19, 2019 9:58:41 GMT -6
Dave says "it's too early to bust....want to give it several more hours". So there's that.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 19, 2019 10:00:48 GMT -6
Chris, IDK how you don't go off on some of the comments on Facebook. Almost don't want to read them. Makes me want to go off for you.. LOL Meanwhile, I have some light flakes blowing around up here, kinda like a fine mist. Wind is picking up a bit. I almost did to the guy who called him chicken little.
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Post by guyfromhecker on Jan 19, 2019 10:01:10 GMT -6
Snow beginning just west of Hecker
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 19, 2019 10:05:33 GMT -6
Come on cold air...let's not waste much of this precip.
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Post by perryville on Jan 19, 2019 10:07:26 GMT -6
What's happening in Farmington? Should be approaching the transition soon. Moderate rain here (7 miles west of Perryville). I will Keep you updated. We have definitely been the Little Joe (Mike Tyson Punchout) during storms the past few months. Definitely agree that something was due for us down here in the land of the lost. If it verifies, a lot of people in the general public are going to be shocked.
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