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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 11, 2019 2:18:27 GMT -6
Temp is not dropping off much tonight.
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luvhockey
Junior Forecaster
Arnold MO 1/2 mile from the Meramec Mississippi confluence
Posts: 455 
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Post by luvhockey on Apr 11, 2019 5:30:47 GMT -6
Could be a wild one at the ballgame today depending on which way the wind is blowing.
I hope we make it back to the car afterwards before getting hit with the rain. I'll probably leave the umbrella in the car.
Umbrella with 40mph wind gusts = futility.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 11, 2019 7:38:03 GMT -6
My goodness...E/central SD is going to get buried today! Easily the strongest TROWAL I've ever seen...would not be surprised to see 24"+ amounts and 3"/hr rates.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 11, 2019 8:07:27 GMT -6
My goodness...E/central SD is going to get buried today! Easily the strongest TROWAL I've ever seen...would not be surprised to see 24"+ amounts and 3"/hr rates. Thought about posting some screen shots from South Dakota DOT webcams but it would be pretty much a waste of time. The visibility is so bad it's essentially just white out conditions. Can't really make out any detail. www.safetravelusa.com/sd/ |
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Post by unclesam6 on Apr 11, 2019 8:07:58 GMT -6
I was just speaking with a viewer about this on Facebook. Remembering back to last year I think I covered maybe one or two severe thunderstorm warnings on air-- I can't speak for the year prior when I was in Golden, though. Uncle sam do you have a "corner" in Columbia or a blog? Negative. I try to stay pretty active on Facebook though. I don't know if I have the type of following to start something like that... |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 11, 2019 9:29:03 GMT -6
Not sure I have ever seen this before… but there is a severe thunderstorm warning in Western Minnesota for large hail in an area were they are also currently under a blizzard warning... And where the nearest observation is reporting snow
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Post by Chris Higgins on Apr 11, 2019 9:33:50 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Apr 11, 2019 9:52:52 GMT -6
Wow that is really impressive! LOTS of lightning up there too. The past 6 months have certainly made up for our lack of cyclones in the few years leading up to it.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 11, 2019 10:34:44 GMT -6
Euro is pretty wet through area over the next 7-8 days. It sure is...the active pattern shows no sign of slowing down. Active as in alot of rain or severe storms here?? |
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Post by rb1108 on Apr 11, 2019 10:48:43 GMT -6
Given how warm it's been, 44* on Sunday is going to feel down right COLD!
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Post by unclesam6 on Apr 11, 2019 11:39:42 GMT -6
supergfs signals another thumper of a cyclone middle of next week.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 11, 2019 11:48:36 GMT -6
supergfs signals another thumper of a cyclone middle of next week. It also brings heavy snow to Columbia on Sunday morning... |
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Post by unclesam6 on Apr 11, 2019 12:21:39 GMT -6
supergfs signals another thumper of a cyclone middle of next week. It also brings heavy snow to Columbia on Sunday morning... I'm waiting for more of the meso's to get in range. They seem to have a better handle on these dynamic cooling events. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Apr 11, 2019 12:27:57 GMT -6
supergfs signals another thumper of a cyclone middle of next week. It also brings heavy snow to Columbia on Sunday morning... I wonder if they ever corrected the super gfs low level cold bias. I’ve been careful looking at its ptype charts knowing that |
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Post by jeepers on Apr 11, 2019 12:32:51 GMT -6
My aunt in Northern WI is forecasted to get 6-8. Cousin who lives an hour north of Milwaukee, 2-3. Everyone is very unhappy about this turn of events.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 11, 2019 12:39:29 GMT -6
It also brings heavy snow to Columbia on Sunday morning... I wonder if they ever corrected the super gfs low level cold bias. I’ve been careful looking at its ptype charts knowing that I don’t know, but the euro has the snow band too, so I’m confident there will be one. Euro is just a touch stronger and further northwest with the fun. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Apr 11, 2019 12:43:34 GMT -6
Euro goes bonkers next week too...
We were about 3 weeks off from having a historic season.
These would be 6-12 inchers back to back easy
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Post by Snowman99 on Apr 11, 2019 13:16:24 GMT -6
Where the euro has the snow falling..in IA has already had a historic season. It's not going to snow here. No history. Sad.
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 11, 2019 14:07:18 GMT -6
It also brings heavy snow to Columbia on Sunday morning... I wonder if they ever corrected the super gfs low level cold bias. I’ve been careful looking at its ptype charts knowing that Yeah I think I heard they were making progress on that, but it was unclear to me if the fixes have been rolled in yet. Seem like I've still been seeing some significant cold issues with it still though... |
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Post by jmg378s on Apr 11, 2019 14:15:55 GMT -6
Have to see what this midweek storm next week does in terms of track and warm sector but there's a chance, even if small, that we may get a CAPE/shear/lift combo enough to support some sort of categorical severe risk eventually.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Apr 11, 2019 15:10:02 GMT -6
I could be wrong, but it sure seems like the EURO has been suffering a cold bias in the medium range as well...but not nearly as bad as the FV3.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Apr 11, 2019 16:54:24 GMT -6
Pretty sad line of rain/storms that have developed.....
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 11, 2019 16:57:29 GMT -6
Pretty sad line of rain/storms that have developed..... That's what i was thinking, too. |
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Post by ajd446 on Apr 11, 2019 17:18:37 GMT -6
Seems like the gulf moisture never made it here
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Post by tedrick65 on Apr 11, 2019 18:22:55 GMT -6
Pretty sad line of rain/storms that have developed..... That's what i was thinking, too. I'm sitting in my van near highway 30 and Schumacher waiting out what is a pretty good storm, especially the lightning |
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Post by tedrick65 on Apr 11, 2019 18:25:47 GMT -6
That's what i was thinking, too. I'm sitting in my van near highway 30 and Schumacher waiting out what is a pretty good storm, especially the lightning And absolutely pouring |
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Post by tedrick65 on Apr 11, 2019 18:52:26 GMT -6
Rainbow to the southwest and sunset to the Northwest   |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 11, 2019 19:49:34 GMT -6
There are a few good downpours here and there. But I've not had anything more than a light shower since it started at 530 or so. Though I did just hear a very distant rumble of thunder.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Apr 11, 2019 20:16:09 GMT -6
This morning Chris did say the rain would intensify as it moved east through Illinois. And that does seem to be happening. The line of rain along the front has filled in in the last hour off so.
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Post by ams3389 on Apr 11, 2019 21:06:14 GMT -6
Hope it doesn’t verify... I’ve said for awhile that Meramec could go crazy this year... it’s already been high and out of banks in Arnold and at 141/21 from Mississippi back up... do they have a forecast at that location? It appears to be going down now. With the all the snow north again, that has to come down too so we will have to watch Missouri and Mississippi again now in time. Crazy active times. Euro has 3-6 inches of rain in the Bourbeuse and Meramec river basins along 44 corridor area the next 10 days. Yay. |
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