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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 26, 2019 16:24:13 GMT -6
Not sure about anything severe, but HRRR has been very wet around the metro tonight for several runs now
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 26, 2019 17:05:54 GMT -6
Storms firing around the Lake, but moving ese it looks like, would stay south of here. I guess we'll see what happens the next couple hours.
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 26, 2019 18:06:17 GMT -6
My son and I just got home to Festus from our Bonne Terre cabin! Lovely storm this pm! Bro in law rolled in from CO safely! He was totally thrilled driving across MO all day in the rain! Hopefully he and my hubs can crash and catch up before the next storm rolls in!
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Aug 26, 2019 19:04:39 GMT -6
Guess we might get something this evening after all. Things look to be slowly blossoming out west. Slow moving too. Which is NOT good for the local rivers.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 26, 2019 19:08:07 GMT -6
Surprised to see that much development in the wake of that complex this afternoon.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 26, 2019 19:11:02 GMT -6
Surprised to see that much development in the wake of that complex this afternoon. Shows what I know, lol. That supercell down towards Joplin looks like the real deal...wow! |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 26, 2019 19:17:56 GMT -6
Surprised to see that much development in the wake of that complex this afternoon. Shows what I know, lol. That supercell down towards Joplin looks like the real deal...wow! Nervous for them that’s for sure. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 26, 2019 20:24:02 GMT -6
Well so far tonight everything that has come my way has vanished before it got here. Kinda has a stl split/death by arch effect feel to it tonight.
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Post by cozpregon on Aug 26, 2019 20:48:26 GMT -6
Looks to be developing along the 850 boundary this evening  NAM picks up the 850 jet over the next few hours... so very well could increase over the next few hours  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 26, 2019 21:13:43 GMT -6
Wow, OKC under a warning for 70mph winds and ping pong hail. That's nuts.
Nature, you crazy!
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Post by jmg378s on Aug 27, 2019 5:54:38 GMT -6
Models and ensembles, as well as the official NHC forecast track, are bringing Dorian right up next to Florida in 5 days. It appears a strengthening Bermuda high could even steer it right into Florida. Intensity forecast still looks very tricky too.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 27, 2019 7:31:35 GMT -6
No rain for the next couple of days, please. The guy showed up this morning to seal our driveway. We've been waiting to get this done since July 1 but it's been raining so much they are running that far behind.
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Aug 27, 2019 9:21:01 GMT -6
Live from the Davis on the roof residing in North St. Pete - "1.2 inches of rain last night." Carry on.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 27, 2019 9:36:28 GMT -6
It's so wet the subdivision has shut off the sprinkler system.
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 27, 2019 11:55:25 GMT -6
Looks like a quiet stretch of weather coming up around here. Anyone have some ideas to pass the time on here?
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Post by Steven Penrod- HLEW on Aug 27, 2019 12:20:49 GMT -6
Looks like a quiet stretch of weather coming up around here. Anyone have some ideas to pass the time on here? Don’t rely on active weather to “pass time”. |
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 27, 2019 12:34:50 GMT -6
As of 8/26 the airport record 41.53" which is the highest ever year-to-date value.
We've had 0.45" so far on the 27th which brings us to a total of 41.97" so far.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 27, 2019 15:59:06 GMT -6
If we only get average precipitation through Dec 31st... this will be around the 5th wettest year on record.
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Aug 27, 2019 19:51:44 GMT -6
A 9 minute rain delay in Milwaukee for the Cards/Brewers game. The roof was open and it started pouring. I remember at the start of the game they said it was a beautiful night for baseball, the roof is open. I wonder if 9 minutes is a record shortest time for a rain delay. .
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 27, 2019 20:22:36 GMT -6
Yeah they don’t watch radar in Milwaukee?
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Post by nascarfan999 on Aug 27, 2019 21:04:46 GMT -6
A 9 minute rain delay in Milwaukee for the Cards/Brewers game. The roof was open and it started pouring. I remember at the start of the game they said it was a beautiful night for baseball, the roof is open. I wonder if 9 minutes is a record shortest time for a rain delay. . Not only is it not the shortest rain delay in MLB history, it isn't the shortest rain delay in Miller Park history. They had a similar incident in 2012 which led to a 7 minute rain delay. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 28, 2019 1:49:13 GMT -6
GFS keeps Dorian off the FL coast and scrapes the outer banks of NC then out to sea. GEFS seem to be further west
UKMET looks like it comes to a crawl over the Bahamas.
EURO has a landfall sig. hurricane on the east coast of FL, then into the Gulf barely, with a 2nd landfall in the panhandle of FL. Then is a carolina coastal cruiser.
EPS is kinda ill defined but looks like a track across FL as well.
So as usual, fantastic agreement.
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 28, 2019 3:28:23 GMT -6
NHC track has Dorian just off FL coast late Sunday night as a 100mph hurricane. In the discussion they mention further increases in intensity forecast is possible. This looks to be one to watch carefully over the holiday weekend.
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304 
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Post by padlur on Aug 28, 2019 6:13:13 GMT -6
Can we just freeze today's weather for the next 2 months? Nice crisp morning with the doors and windows open, followed with a dry air lower 80s and plenty of sun...This I could deal with for a good length of time
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 28, 2019 6:27:41 GMT -6
What a deal!! I never got Fox 2 t-shirts when I rode the school bus! Maybe because I never rode the school bus.
Great PR, there, Chris!!
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Post by toddatfarmington on Aug 28, 2019 9:29:57 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 28, 2019 9:44:08 GMT -6
Yea, this is starting to look pretty serious. Lots of time for it to intensify unfortunately. Time it spends over the islands will have a big effect. |
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 28, 2019 10:29:06 GMT -6
I'm leaving Jacksonville today so I won't have to worry about it. My coworker may have to deal with it though.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 28, 2019 11:09:59 GMT -6
Yea, this is starting to look pretty serious. Lots of time for it to intensify unfortunately. Time it spends over the islands will have a big effect. Yeah, with the latest forecast track further towards the right, land interaction is minimized which could allow greater intensification...but it also increases the odds of a recurve offshore approaching at a higher latitude. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 28, 2019 12:21:00 GMT -6
Dorian became a hurricane at 1PM CST. Looking healthy on radar out of PR.
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