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Post by amstilost on Dec 15, 2019 20:04:23 GMT -6
Seems to be a decent consensus building for some high snow totals tomorrow..I guess we'll see I fell for it yesterday....and maybe the storm before that....and maybe the storm before that......well, and maybe most every storm before THAT....but not this time....no sir eee bud. I will go out tomorrow morning and try and finish the chicken coop.   . |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 15, 2019 20:05:56 GMT -6
NAM is pretty forward with the mid-level warm nose. Would be a tight squeeze between heavy snow/freezing rain. NAM has monster lift from the SFC to 300mb
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 15, 2019 20:08:02 GMT -6
Yeah pretty huge consensus to bring 6" tomorrow along 44 into the metro.
Ugh
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 15, 2019 20:10:34 GMT -6
why ugh lol
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Post by RyanD on Dec 15, 2019 20:11:06 GMT -6
Can someone pay the maps from the NAM and RAP for tomorrow? Hoping I'm in good shape in Waterloo. Got 2" today. Would like to make it to 4 or 5".
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 15, 2019 20:11:20 GMT -6
What time do the models show the snow starting tomorrow?
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Post by mchafin on Dec 15, 2019 20:13:05 GMT -6
Too good to be true? Lucy taking away football? |
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 15, 2019 20:16:27 GMT -6
The upside potential on the 21Z SREF is laughable.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 15, 2019 20:21:46 GMT -6
Can someone pay the maps from the NAM and RAP for tomorrow? Hoping I'm in good shape in Waterloo. Got 2" today. Would like to make it to 4 or 5". Take it for what it is but here's the NAM tomorrow
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Post by amstilost on Dec 15, 2019 20:31:00 GMT -6
You can take a line from north Jeff CO border and shave off all of the snow north of that.....(insert Dr. Bombay laughter here)
For the younger folks, a reference to the sitcom Bewitched.
Ground outside the house is just wet...temp up to 30* 7 miles west of de soto. Be safe out there.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 15, 2019 20:34:10 GMT -6
Looks good on WV  1.6" here near Grant's Farm today. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 15, 2019 20:34:30 GMT -6
Wow... some of those soundings tomorrow are flirting right on the line between ZR+ and SN+... and isothermal...so if it is snow...it is likely to be heavy wet hamsters.
The 00z data so far is pretty impressive. Widespread 1-3 may not be enough. I need to look at bufkit cross sections to inspect for CSI... but the simulated radar sure looks like it.
One thing about ZR potential... it will be with borderline temps at the surface...so main impacts may be more to elevated surfaces.
One thing is certain... tomorrow could be a pretty narly day. Figures... I dropped a boat load of money on Blues tickets.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 15, 2019 20:35:47 GMT -6
Today was kind of like thinking you are taking a bite of a chocolate chip cookie and instead it’s oatmeal raisin.
Hopefully tomorrow covers the grass!
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Post by mchafin on Dec 15, 2019 20:37:39 GMT -6
The all important question again. Late AM flight and need to drive to the airport. Does it go? Does the drive to the airport from Mercy South area even make sense?
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 15, 2019 20:40:43 GMT -6
Wow... some of those soundings tomorrow are flirting right on the line between ZR+ and SN+... and isothermal...so if it is snow...it is likely to be heavy wet hamsters. The 00z data so far is pretty impressive. Widespread 1-3 may not be enough. I need to look at bufkit cross sections to inspect for CSI... but the simulated radar sure looks like it. One thing about ZR potential... it will be with borderline temps at the surface...so main impacts may be more to elevated surfaces. One thing is certain... tomorrow could be a pretty narly day. Figures... I dropped a boat load of money on Blues tickets. Son is home on leave for Christmas and we are thinking about a blues game while he is here. Almost bought 4 tickets for tomorrow. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 15, 2019 20:49:20 GMT -6
Maybe I’ll get in on it at work in northern Ste. Gen county tomorrow. Or I’ll sit here and watch you guys get hammered lol. Just give me a couple inches for God’s sakes. Or some sleet.
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Post by TK on Dec 15, 2019 20:49:25 GMT -6
The all important question again. Late AM flight and need to drive to the airport. Does it go? Does the drive to the airport from Mercy South area even make sense? Same here - Looks like airlines are able to handle this. Only question is leaving early enough to avoid all the traffic mess...I am allowing plenty of time to get there.....We should be able take off before wave 2 hits.... |
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Post by RyanD on Dec 15, 2019 21:02:41 GMT -6
Can someone pay the maps from the NAM and RAP for tomorrow? Hoping I'm in good shape in Waterloo. Got 2" today. Would like to make it to 4 or 5". Take it for what it is but here's the NAM tomorrow
Wow, thanks! I'll take 6-8" but man that cutoff to the south is still razor thin. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 15, 2019 21:02:50 GMT -6
NWS really increased numbers for tomorrow in updated zone forecast
Has around 4 for stl
4-5 here in union
an inch out in central MO
4-5 in belleville
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Post by tedrick65 on Dec 15, 2019 21:10:23 GMT -6
NWS really increased numbers for tomorrow in updated zone forecast Has around 4 for stl 4-5 here in union an inch out in central MO 4-5 in belleville It'd be nice if they'd get the point forecasts updated to help get a few of these bigger suburban districts to call it off. |
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Dec 15, 2019 21:10:49 GMT -6
Trees have a crystal coating on them already!
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Post by TK on Dec 15, 2019 21:11:28 GMT -6
Looks like evening rush will be nasty
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202 
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Post by BDS on Dec 15, 2019 21:13:52 GMT -6
The upside potential on the 21Z SREF is laughable. Uh...wow. Yeah it is. Quite the variation on those plumes. Nothing to over 12. Mean of 5.7 |
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on Dec 15, 2019 21:14:54 GMT -6
NWS really increased numbers for tomorrow in updated zone forecast Has around 4 for stl 4-5 here in union an inch out in central MO 4-5 in belleville It'd be nice if they'd get the point forecasts updated to help get a few of these bigger suburban districts to call it off. They did. St. Louis area is 3-5 inches with heavy snow. |
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nrs2420
Wishcaster
Pacific, MO
Posts: 227
Snowfall Events: It has snowed several times.
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Post by nrs2420 on Dec 15, 2019 21:17:17 GMT -6
Wow... some of those soundings tomorrow are flirting right on the line between ZR+ and SN+... and isothermal...so if it is snow...it is likely to be heavy wet hamsters. The 00z data so far is pretty impressive. Widespread 1-3 may not be enough. I need to look at bufkit cross sections to inspect for CSI... but the simulated radar sure looks like it. One thing about ZR potential... it will be with borderline temps at the surface...so main impacts may be more to elevated surfaces. One thing is certain... tomorrow could be a pretty narly day. Figures... I dropped a boat load of money on Blues tickets. If I would have known, I would have given you a deal. I sold my tickets to a friend for 60. I only have two seats, section 305. If you ever want 2 tickets just pm me and see if it’s a game I’m not going to |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 15, 2019 21:22:57 GMT -6
Can someone pay the maps from the NAM and RAP for tomorrow? Hoping I'm in good shape in Waterloo. Got 2" today. Would like to make it to 4 or 5". Take it for what it is but here's the NAM tomorrow
Is that storm total or just for Dec 16? |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 15, 2019 21:28:18 GMT -6
Take it for what it is but here's the NAM tomorrow
Is that storm total or just for Dec 16? Dec 16 |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 15, 2019 21:28:55 GMT -6
Take it for what it is but here's the NAM tomorrow
Is that storm total or just for Dec 16? That’s from 6pm tonight onward |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 15, 2019 21:30:40 GMT -6
I foresee some very heavy sleet somewhere in that transition zone tomorrow as well. Models are holding on to the back edge of snow enough to give us all a taste by the time it’s done with.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 15, 2019 21:32:56 GMT -6
Can someone post the NWS zone forecast that you had spoken of?
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