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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 13, 2019 18:24:15 GMT -6
In the metro that run, the euro drops 2-4" of snow followed by 0.15" - 0.25" of ice followed by another 1-3" of snow
Farmington sees >0.50" of freezing rain
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2019 18:25:01 GMT -6
Well thats warning criteria
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2019 18:25:47 GMT -6
Thank you could not see the map real well
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 13, 2019 18:26:34 GMT -6
Well thats warning criteria Just one of the many possible scenarios
But ya if it unfolded like that it would be an impactful system for sure
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 13, 2019 18:30:30 GMT -6
Hope hwy A and bus 21 is doctored up for driving to a dental appt on Monday early pm! Lovely!
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 13, 2019 18:34:26 GMT -6
18z euro came in further north but beefier  I must say...you're doing a great job of manning the BBQ grill on this one. Just need to get unclesam to step up his game in the deserts department. |
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 13, 2019 18:44:47 GMT -6
In all seriousness the 18Z Euro is pretty juicy actually. Being careful to account for the junk QPF tomorrow there is still widespread 0.5" and pockets of 0.7" north of I-44. Obviously north of I-70 fairs better owing to less ptype problems.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 13, 2019 18:48:20 GMT -6
18z euro came in further north but beefier Wow. You aren’t Kiddin’ That’s some BEEF. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 13, 2019 18:49:48 GMT -6
That’s a boomer of a run.
Tonight’s runs will be interesting
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 19:47:14 GMT -6
HRRR 0Z showing some interesting potential tomorrow AM with 1-3" of wet snow northwest of the immediate metro.
0Z NAM hints at it as well, though a county or 2 farther north.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 19:50:18 GMT -6
RAP's on it as well. Who mentioned about tomorrow's surprise heavy burst of snow? They might of nailed it. RAP spitting out 2-3" with spots of 4" west of the metro. Overcooking it... Yeah, but still something to watch over the next several hours.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:07:31 GMT -6
Unsurprising with tomorrow's system farther north, so is Sunday's event. NAM is much, much warmer now for Sunday. Especially when referring to temps aloft. This is definitely an ice storm event.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2019 20:17:12 GMT -6
Nam is all rain
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:18:18 GMT -6
Temps close to 40* at the surface when precip breaks out Sunday evening, it's liquid rain for all but the northern most counties which is a rain snow mix with all snow just outside our area.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:21:36 GMT -6
NAM really want to dig this puppy which would allow it to really pump up the 'heat' or warmth rather and could bring t-storms to the southeastern counties if it does what I think it's gonna do. Might also bring 60s to St. Louis if that's the case. Could be entirely wrong but lets see how the rest of the NAM pans out.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 13, 2019 20:23:43 GMT -6
Guys we all know the NAM has a strength bias at this range. Besides wet bulb temps are in the mid 20’s when precep breaks out across the area. That’s ice
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:24:11 GMT -6
Iowa gets hammered by wave one. Main energy still out west at hour 51. Our temps have dropped to 32-34 range at hour 51.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2019 20:25:45 GMT -6
Ya this is just nam and its usual self. Plus i believe it has a north bias
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:25:59 GMT -6
Temp at 33*F doing nothing at hour 54.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:27:42 GMT -6
Guys we all know the NAM has a strength bias at this range. Besides wet bulb temps are in the mid 20’s when precep breaks out across the area. That’s ice Assuming anything makes it to the ground at all. those upper 10s and low 20s is pretty bone dry with a easterly wind at the surface. |
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 13, 2019 20:30:31 GMT -6
NAM really want to dig this puppy which would allow it to really pump up the 'heat' or warmth rather and could bring t-storms to the southeastern counties if it does what I think it's gonna do. Might also bring 60s to St. Louis if that's the case. Could be entirely wrong but lets see how the rest of the NAM pans out. could bring t-storms might bring 60s could be entirely wrong but lets see how the rest pans out
About covers it
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:31:12 GMT -6
like 18Z, the 0Z nam fails to form the 2nd wave. Already singing in the sunshine in shades by hour 63. Lamest run ever.. XD
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 13, 2019 20:31:25 GMT -6
My god..just stop already good lord. Lol
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:32:05 GMT -6
NAM really want to dig this puppy which would allow it to really pump up the 'heat' or warmth rather and could bring t-storms to the southeastern counties if it does what I think it's gonna do. Might also bring 60s to St. Louis if that's the case. Could be entirely wrong but lets see how the rest of the NAM pans out. could bring t-storms might bring 60s could be entirely wrong but lets see how the rest pans out
About covers it
Would of been far more exciting then the junk it actually printed out. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 13, 2019 20:33:34 GMT -6
Interesting to see how all of the moisture is well east of the greater dynamics. Classic tell tale sign of a sheared out system.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 13, 2019 20:33:51 GMT -6
Just relax- Nobody wants to hear the play by play
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 13, 2019 20:37:27 GMT -6
Guys i agree with snowman. Lets all chill. As a plow driver if its not snow i dont want it. As ice os just dangerous. But its the nam. And I am.going to be dedicated to keeping all of stlouis parking ice free and cleared. Inam going to stick to the thoughts of chris of 1 to 3. Also i would love the snow at my house in st.peters but if it could be a bit easier in the city i would be ok with that
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Post by bororug on Dec 13, 2019 20:44:00 GMT -6
If I could afford the Tapatalk VIP monthly fee. I’d have a GIF of popcorn eating w/ massive laughter after reading some of these posts the past ten minutes.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 13, 2019 21:01:35 GMT -6
I know there’s weather going on and I hope folks don’t mind but need to let it out. We had to put down our wonderful dog of 6 and a half years this afternoon. I knew I would be sad, but wow. We are devastated. He was just unlike any other. I’m just glad we are pregnant with our first (7 months along) because if we didn’t have that it would be even harder. Thanks for everyone’s kind words and private messages the other day when I first posted about it. It just feels like the pain won’t ever end with his loss though I know it will.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 13, 2019 21:03:48 GMT -6
Sorry to hear about that STG. Losing a long time pet is very difficult
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