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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2020 13:36:12 GMT -6
Euro sounding looks pretty good- it's moving quick though  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 13:38:24 GMT -6
18z HRRR coming in hot with a batch of heavy sleet and snow up 44 Saturday
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Jan 10, 2020 13:47:28 GMT -6
I'm beginning to think that this will be the "Winter of Two More Weeks" again!
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 10, 2020 13:48:19 GMT -6
18z HRRR coming in hot with a batch of heavy sleet and snow up 44 Saturday If only the cold air could filter in a bit faster. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 10, 2020 13:52:13 GMT -6
HRRR definitely a step in the right direction.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 10, 2020 13:57:40 GMT -6
Slight Risk will be moving north with the next update.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 10, 2020 14:02:25 GMT -6
Look at the nam caving a bit.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 10, 2020 14:03:57 GMT -6
Nothing like the possibility of a nuisance 2-3" snow with a little sleet and crashing temps right during rush hour for a Blues game after 6" of rain
Good luck, Mets...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 14:05:34 GMT -6
Slight Risk will be moving north with the next update. Looks like the metro is now under a slight risk. Could be a fun 24-36 hours with a squall line tonight and wintry weather Saturday |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 10, 2020 14:18:18 GMT -6
Trends are definitely SE including the latest NAM. I don't really have a dog in the fight other than the severe potential late tonight but I think it is looking better for you STL folks tomorrow.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Jan 10, 2020 14:24:56 GMT -6
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Post by amstilost on Jan 10, 2020 14:25:48 GMT -6
Holy Smokes...GFS 10 day total precip is a whopping 12-12" over a large portion of Missouri. If only it was all snow. Some looks to be, I could not differentiate the amounts though.
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Post by amstilost on Jan 10, 2020 14:29:32 GMT -6
I can't remember what the earlier version was, but it seems like a pretty big jump to the north. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 10, 2020 14:31:09 GMT -6
Already a couple nasty rain-wrapped meso cyclones out of SGF this afternoon.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 14:31:16 GMT -6
Decent looking couplet north of Springfield near Bolivar MO
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 10, 2020 14:32:01 GMT -6
I can't remember what the earlier version was, but it seems like a pretty big jump to the north. Really they just lassoed the northern edge of the slight risk area around the STL metro. |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 14:32:52 GMT -6
Wow both nams took a big step towards the GFS.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 10, 2020 14:55:29 GMT -6
Nasty vell headed toward st.pete. im not home so can say if there is any hail wiyh it
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 10, 2020 15:01:45 GMT -6
What a strange place for a tornadic storm...right in the middle of a rain shield like that.
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Post by shrapnel - Arnold, MO on Jan 10, 2020 15:11:19 GMT -6
How many tornado warnings does it take before they issue a watch? SMDH EVen a confirmed touchdown now in Fairplay MO.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 10, 2020 15:15:45 GMT -6
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 15:17:07 GMT -6
According to kfvs, some schools are closing early in se mo and s il due to flash flooding that is already occurring down there...where nobody lives. Im telling you, ppl who say "thankful this is rain not snow" are thinking this is garden variety rain. Not the case, and the main show is at night. Be careful out there.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 15:24:24 GMT -6
You have to somewhat agree that it is better to be rain than all snow. I mean we would be talking feet of snow if it was that way. Not that I’m undermining the severity of this amount of rain and severe potential.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 10, 2020 15:27:15 GMT -6
Wow both nams took a big step towards the GFS. In my untrained opinion the GFS has been the winning model this winter..... it’s not been perfect but the Euro has been out to lunch many times |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 15:33:47 GMT -6
You have to somewhat agree that it is better to be rain than all snow. I mean we would be talking feet of snow if it was that way. Not that I’m undermining the severity of this amount of rain and severe potential. See, the moisture is never there for all that snow. Its akin to saying imagine if all of tonights rain is snow. Apples and oranges. It wld take something wild to pull 4 to 6 inches of moisture into the cold air sector. 12 inches of snow is less destructive than 4 to 6 inches of rain falling in a 12 hour period. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 15:40:18 GMT -6
Now, if we got 40 to 60 inches of snow in lieue of 4 to 6 inches of rain, then yes, i wld agree with those ppl. We dont live in the mountains or in a locale that gets that kind of snow so its never going to happen. When ppl say that, theyd rather get an inch or 2 of rain over 6 inches of snow, that is understandable. But to ignore the flooding component and still prefer that over our snow tells me they arent taking the message seriously enough.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2020 15:42:42 GMT -6
Omg.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2020 15:46:34 GMT -6
Now, if we got 40 to 60 inches of snow in lieue of 4 to 6 inches of rain, then yes, i wld agree with those ppl. We dont live in the mountains or in a locale that gets that kind of snow so its never going to happen. When ppl say that, theyd rather get an inch or 2 of rain over 6 inches of snow, that is understandable. But to ignore the flooding component and still prefer that over our snow tells me they arent taking the message seriously enough. 90% of the people don't follow weather like we do. It's just ignorance- can only say so much... it's like talking to a wall. You have been pounding the flood aspect for days- but you're not really telling us on the forum something we don't already know. |
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Post by snowjunky on Jan 10, 2020 15:47:19 GMT -6
I need a Crown and Coke double after reading all that.
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 10, 2020 15:47:50 GMT -6
I need a Crown and Coke double after reading all that. Captain for me |
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