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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2020 16:02:48 GMT -6
Couple shots of jaeger. Bloody Mary. Sambuca. Top it off with a tequila shooter
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 10, 2020 16:04:25 GMT -6
Cpc does have below normal temps forecast beyond 8 days...along with enhanced below normal precip.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 10, 2020 16:06:48 GMT -6
Just had some thunder. Second time in a little over an hour. Heavy downpour both times
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 16:14:13 GMT -6
18z gfs remains steady with an artic blast and ice storm late next week
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 16:19:14 GMT -6
Has NWS updated any of their snow or ice laps for tomorrow yet?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 10, 2020 16:30:27 GMT -6
Surprised nobody mentioned the 18z rgem.
It is really picking up on a mesoscale band that would drop several inches of snow for those in the northern and eastern metro.
That is the feature to watch if it’s going to work out for anyone around STL
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 16:30:38 GMT -6
Has NWS updated any of their snow or ice laps for tomorrow yet?  Can’t get the ice map to update since last season. |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 16:38:39 GMT -6
Has NWS updated any of their snow or ice laps for tomorrow yet?  From LSX NWS Facebook post |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 16:44:48 GMT -6
NWS has held pretty steady with their snow maps for the last couple days now.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 16:47:15 GMT -6
NWS has held pretty steady with their snow maps for the last couple days now. I think they’re afraid to change it with all the uncertainty being shown in the models. So glad I don’t have to make the professional forecasts. |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 16:59:48 GMT -6
Haven’t been able to look at models......is current radar accurate with what modeling has shown recently?
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Jan 10, 2020 17:01:22 GMT -6
Haven’t been able to look at models......is current radar accurate with what modeling has shown recently? I don’t know how to read the models. Hence my reliance on all the experts in this forum. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 17:07:24 GMT -6
Certainly not an expert, but we need to wait until tomorrow morning and see where things stand. That's when the system will start pulling north and strengthening. The backside precep and any associated enhanced bands will be a nowcast thing
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 17:21:03 GMT -6
Snowstorm, let us know what the 18z Euro shows. It will be interesting tonight to watch the high res models come in and if they pick up on any banding
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 17:28:07 GMT -6
Just saw on Dave’s FB page that Betelgeuse may go supernova soon (from our point of view). Now that would be cool
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Post by ElKay23 - Columbia, IL on Jan 10, 2020 17:31:29 GMT -6
If like to check-in one day and see a new thread titled “You’re going to need a bigger box”
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 10, 2020 17:40:51 GMT -6
Just saw on Dave’s FB page that Betelgeuse may go supernova soon (from our point of view). Now that would be cool Been reading about that a while. Could have happened already or might be in 100000 years. It would be so cool to see though |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 17:57:13 GMT -6
I think there’s going to be some big snow busts up north and west. It’s probably the subtropical moisture feed of storms robbing the moisture
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 10, 2020 18:00:20 GMT -6
18z EURO. Not too shabby.  |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Jan 10, 2020 18:11:56 GMT -6
Tornado warning including warrenton.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 10, 2020 18:12:41 GMT -6
Bookend vortex signature working into Hermann...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 18:16:17 GMT -6
18z EURO. Not too shabby. Ya shows the metro getting clipped by the deformation zone pretty good. I think accumulations will be hard to come by thanks to low ratios and borderline temps but could still see an inch or so in the metro. More west and north |
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Post by landscaper on Jan 10, 2020 18:24:42 GMT -6
That is my prediction 1” or less should cover most of the metro pretty well. Most likely on the grass due to the warm temperatures. If we get a period of sleet that could change things
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philbilly
Weather Weenie
Wentzville, MO
Posts: 47
Snowfall Events: To much snow, bring on Summer!
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Post by philbilly on Jan 10, 2020 18:38:14 GMT -6
Sirens going off in Wentzville.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 10, 2020 18:45:35 GMT -6
That’s a big ol tornado warning
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snowcat
Junior Forecaster
Bowling Green, MO
Posts: 280 
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Post by snowcat on Jan 10, 2020 18:45:46 GMT -6
Sirens just went off here in Bowling Green.
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Post by nascarfan999 on Jan 10, 2020 18:45:55 GMT -6
Not everyday you see an 8 county tornado warning.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 10, 2020 18:47:21 GMT -6
On the very southern edge of the warning here and just very heavy rain with 30+ mph winds
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 10, 2020 18:48:34 GMT -6
Been pretty quiet here in st Clair for awhile now.
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 10, 2020 19:06:44 GMT -6
looks like a meso-low is starting to develop now
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